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Predictions graded

Zalgiris Kaunas105Lyon-Villeurbanne85

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–1038%

Points by period: Zalgiris Kaunas and Lyon-Villeurbanne.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Zalgiris Kaunas	29	21	31	24
Lyon-Villeurbanne	20	14	25	26

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 2-4 EuroLeague teams meet in Kaunas, where Zalgiris' 59.2% two-point shooting over their last 15 games meets an ASVEL side conceding 103.0 points per EuroLeague road game.

Zalgiris are the likelier winners, ahead after 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 such games and winning roughly 58 with overtime included. No price on the board stands out at our numbers.

Context

Williams-Goss's hamstring is unresolved after his 16 October return and Tubelis is set to play in a mask, changing how Zalgiris organise at both ends; ASVEL's interior is thinner with Dossou-Yovo reported sidelined until November by an adductor injury.

Williams-Goss is Kaunas' starting point guard and principal organiser. The club ruled him out for about two weeks on 25 September after he injured the hamstring in the Round 1 win over Crvena Zvezda, and he was cleared to return only on 16 October, when he came off the bench against Anadolu Efes. That comeback brought renewed discomfort in the same hamstring, and further tests will decide whether Kaunas face ASVEL without their main creator. Saben Lee and Carsen Edwards would absorb extra ball-handling, and the reported move for Keenan Evans shows how seriously the club views the risk. His participation on Friday is unresolved.
- Zalgiris announced on 25 September that Williams-Goss would miss around two weeks with a hamstring injury suffered in the Round 1 win over Crvena Zvezda.
- The club cleared him for selection again on 16 October, and he reported renewed discomfort in the same hamstring during the home loss to Anadolu Efes.
- Further medical tests are scheduled, and reporting on 21 October said he could be out for an extended period.
Tubelis is one of Kaunas' frontcourt scorers and a regular starter next to Jonas Valanciunas, so his condition shapes how much size Zalgiris can put on the floor. He was hurt in the domestic win over Taurage and has been training in a mask since, with the club declining to confirm him for Friday while describing him as likely to play. A masked Tubelis would still give Kaunas an inside option against Joel Bolomboy, Bodian Massa and Nate Sestina; if he is held out, the frontcourt load shifts further onto Valanciunas and Marek Blazevic.
- Tubelis suffered a facial injury in a Lithuanian league game and has since trained in a protective face mask.
- Zalgiris said he would stay under medical supervision and did not confirm his availability for the ASVEL game.
- The Round 7 injury list issued on 22 October describes him as expected to play.
Evans remains under contract to Kaunas and has spent the start of the season in London, where he scored 21 points against Tenerife on 6 October after two injury-hit years. Recalling him now would hand Tomas Masiulis another ball-handler exactly as Nigel Williams-Goss' hamstring problem drags on and Saben Lee and Carsen Edwards carry the creation. A recall, EuroLeague registration and joining the squad would all have to be completed before he could appear against ASVEL, so his involvement on Friday is not established.
- Keenan Evans is playing this season on loan at London Lions and scored 21 points in the EuroCup win over La Laguna Tenerife on 6 October.
- Reporting on 21 October said Zalgiris were close to recalling him from that loan.
Dossou-Yovo arrived to give ASVEL a mobile five alongside Joel Bolomboy, Bodian Massa and Nate Sestina, after a French league season of 17.8 points and 7.3 rebounds. The adductor injury from pre-season has kept him out of every EuroLeague squad list so far, and the club responded on 7 October by signing Juhann Begarin as a one-month medical replacement. With Dossou-Yovo unavailable until November, the interior work against Jonas Valanciunas and Tubelis falls to Bolomboy, Massa and Sestina, leaving Tony Parker little room to absorb foul trouble.
- ASVEL signed Juhann Begarin on 7 October as a medical replacement for Mathis Dossou-Yovo for one month.
- Dossou-Yovo was named among the absentees for ASVEL's EuroLeague games against Valencia, Crvena Zvezda and Real Madrid.
- His adductor problem is expected to keep him out until November.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +11.5 (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +11.5Estimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zalgiris Kaunas and 15 for Lyon-Villeurbanne, across seasons and competitions.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +4.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +6.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +6.5Estimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +3.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zalgiris Kaunas and 15 for Lyon-Villeurbanne, across seasons and competitions.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonZalgiris Kaunas +0.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance56.1%

Points3 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · Team PointswonLyon-Villeurbanne over 81.5Estimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostLyon-Villeurbanne over 40.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 92.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · Team PointslostZalgiris Kaunas under 92.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostZalgiris Kaunas under 46.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostZalgiris Kaunas under 23.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonZalgiris Kaunas under 23.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostLyon-Villeurbanne over 20.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostLyon-Villeurbanne over 20.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 88.9, Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.2. Lyon-Villeurbanne score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In six EuroLeague games this season, Zalgiris is 2-4 and averages 81.7 points scored and 86.2 allowed, as of 22 October.
- In six EuroLeague games, ASVEL is 2-4 and averages 87.8 scored and 95.3 allowed; in three EuroLeague road games they scored 89.7 and allowed 103.0.
- Across 15 tracked games, Zalgiris shoots 59.2% on two-pointers, 41.0% on threes and 75.0% on free throws with 32.9 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers.
- Across 15 tracked games, ASVEL shoots 52.3% on two-pointers, 33.6% on threes and 69.5% on free throws with 29.4 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers.
- Zalgiris beat ASVEL 96-77 away on 20 January 2026 and 96-59 at home on 30 October 2025, though ASVEL won 88-79 at home on 27 March 2025.
- Nigel Williams-Goss reported renewed hamstring discomfort after his 16 October return and his Friday status is unresolved; Azuolas Tubelis is expected to play in a mask per the 22 October injury list.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLyon-Villeurbanne over 20.5Estimated chance56.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 22, 17:47

Selected line

174.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 175+ points

+2 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 174.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W77–96

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Zalgiris Kaunas

Jan 20, 2026·EUR

W96–59

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Oct 30, 2025·EUR

L88–79

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Zalgiris Kaunas

Mar 27, 2025·EUR

L72–78

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Dec 20, 2024·EUR

L93–79

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Zalgiris Kaunas

Jan 4, 2024·EUR

L88–91

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Nov 2, 2023·EUR

W85–67

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Mar 9, 2023·EUR

W76–93

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Zalgiris Kaunas

Nov 10, 2022·EUR

L68–72

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Mar 23, 2022·EUR

L88–76

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Zalgiris Kaunas

Oct 1, 2021·EUR

162.1Avg total points

13.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Zalgiris Kaunas

2–433%

Lyon-Villeurbanne

2–433%

Recent Form

Zalgiris Kaunas

11W 4L · last 15

vs Taurage96–76 Oct 18LKL

vs Anadolu Efes70–85 Oct 16EUR

at Fenerbahce80–99 Oct 13EUR

at Nevezis80–76 Oct 11LKL

at Barcelona88–81 Oct 9EUR

vs Lietkabelis97–68 Oct 4LKL

at Paris78–82 Oct 1EUR

vs Olympiacos91–93 Sep 29EUR

vs Siauliai101–82 Sep 27LKL

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83–77 Sep 24EUR

at Neptunas93–69 Sep 20LKL

at Gargzdai98–77 Sep 17LKL

vs Juventus95–77 Jun 12LKL

at Juventus100–69 Jun 9LKL

vs Juventus107–75 Jun 7LKL

Lyon-Villeurbanne

7W 8L · last 15

at Limoges97–94 OTOct 17LNB

at Real Madrid92–111 Oct 15EUR

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82–84 Oct 13EUR

vs Roanne96–77 Oct 11LNB

at Paris98–96 Oct 7EUR

at Gravelines-Dunkerque70–65 Oct 4LNB

vs Valencia92–105 Oct 2EUR

at Panathinaikos79–102 Sep 30EUR

at Cholet97–85 Sep 27LNB

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv84–74 Sep 24EUR

at Roanne71–73 Sep 19LNB

vs Cholet75–80 OTMay 30LNB

at Cholet65–77 May 28LNB

vs Cholet75–67 May 26LNB

at Paris76–87 May 16LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Zalgiris Kaunas

Stats

5–0

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Zalgiris Kaunas leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+6.9pp

59.2%

+6.9pp

52.3%

3-point %+7.4pp

41.0%

+7.4pp

33.6%

Free-throw %11/11 games+5.5pp

75.0%

+5.5pp

69.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.3pp apart

31.8%

3.3pp apart

35.1%

Free throws per shot11/11 games9.2pp apart

31.7%

9.2pp apart

40.9%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+3.5

32.9

+3.5

29.4

Turnovers per game0.9 fewer

13.2

0.9 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.