LNB ÉliteFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Saint Quentin81Dijon91

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–190%

Points by period: Saint Quentin and Dijon.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Saint Quentin	21	15	27	18
Dijon	25	24	22	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Unbeaten Dijon visit a Saint-Quentin side on a three-game league losing run and without Paul Rigot for six weeks.

The expected score after 40 minutes is 92.3-84.5 to Dijon, and the visitors are favoured to win, including overtime. No listed price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Dijon's 4-0 league start and Saint-Quentin's three straight defeats, including 92, 98 and 102 points conceded, frame the matchup. Paul Rigot's confirmed six-week absence removes a home rotation piece, though the new medical joker's immediate role is not confirmed.

Saint-Quentin confirmed the problem themselves, so the absence is not in doubt: six weeks of rest and treatment for an Achilles issue that surfaced in the opening month of the season. The club acted the same day, signing a medical joker so the rotation is not short-handed when Dijon visit. A six-week block also rules Rigot out of the home games that follow, at a point when Saint-Quentin are trying to stop a three-match slide. The open question is replacement quality rather than intent: no return date has been offered beyond the treatment period, and the newcomer has to learn the system quickly.
- Saint-Quentin announced on 21 October that Paul Rigot has pain in his Achilles tendon and will rest and receive treatment for six weeks.
- The club signed Aurèle Brena-Chemille as a medical joker to cover the absence.
The signing is a direct response to losing a forward for six weeks, and the head coach has already framed it as his answer rather than a stopgap: asked about the three home games that open with Dijon, he explained why he had turned to Brena-Chemille. The guard was one of the stories of Poitiers' 2026 play-off run and had planned to move to the NCAA before taking a medical-joker contract in Betclic ÉLITE. His effect on Friday depends on how much ball-handling and shot creation the staff hand him straight away, which has not been specified, and on how quickly he settles into a new group.
- Saint-Quentin announced the arrival of Aurèle Brena-Chemille on 21 October as a medical joker.
- Brena-Chemille was a breakout performer in Poitiers' 2026 play-off run and had been expected to move to the NCAA before signing in Betclic ÉLITE.
- On 22 October Pascual explained his choice of Brena-Chemille before a run of three home games that begins with Dijon.
The season opened with an overtime win over Bourg-en-Bresse and has since unravelled: a 75-92 defeat at Limoges, an 87-98 home loss to Le Mans and a 102-89 reverse at Pau-Lacq-Orthez on 17 October. They conceded 92, 98 and 102 across those three games, so the problem is the defensive end rather than scoring volume. Dijon arrive unbeaten, and the home side's response will decide whether the losing run becomes an early-season crisis. The clearest structural change available to the coach is the new medical joker, who gives him another ball-handler to use against Dijon's pressure.
- Saint-Quentin lost 102-89 at Pau-Lacq-Orthez on 17 October, their third straight league defeat.
- Their only league win so far was 106-103 in overtime at home to Bourg-en-Bresse on 26 September.
- The three defeats came by 75-92 at Limoges, 87-98 at home to Le Mans and 102-89 at Pau.
Dijon's start has been built inside-out. Thompson, a 213cm centre, was perfect from the field at Gravelines and pulled down 11 rebounds, while Ndjock's 19 points gave the offence a second scorer on a night when the visiting guards were kept quieter. The run includes a 28-point win at Pau-Lacq-Orthez and a 108-96 home win over Limoges. Friday is their first road game against a side with a losing record, and the question is whether a team that has won every game by at least nine points can handle a tight fourth quarter in a loud hall.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 October for a fourth straight league win.
- Shevon Thompson scored 16 points on 7-of-7 shooting with 11 rebounds, and Elwin Ndjock added 19 points.
- Dijon's earlier wins were 81-72 over Strasbourg, 89-61 at Pau-Lacq-Orthez and 108-96 over Limoges.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon win in about 73 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDijonEstimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonDijonEstimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Saint Quentin cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Saint Quentin and 15 for Dijon, across seasons and competitions.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSaint Quentin +5.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonDijonEstimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonDijonEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Saint Quentin and 15 for Dijon, across seasons and competitions.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonDijon -0.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonDijonEstimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostDijonEstimated chance56.4%

Points2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Saint Quentin 84.5, Dijon 92.3. Saint Quentin score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 4-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.5 and conceding 78.0 per game; all four wins from 25 Sep to 18 Oct came by at least nine points.
- Saint Quentin are 1-3, conceding 92, 98 and 102 in three straight league defeats from 3 to 17 Oct after an overtime home win over Bourg.
- In 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 59.3% on twos, 38.6% on threes and 79.8% from the line; Saint Quentin shoot 51.3%, 32.7% and 71.2%.
- Dijon won 92-83 at Gravelines-Dunkerque on 18 Oct and 89-61 at Pau on 3 Oct; Saint Quentin lost 89-102 at Pau on 17 Oct.
- The most recent meeting at Saint Quentin was Dijon's 83-77 win on 13 Dec 2025, though the head-to-head sample includes older rosters.
- Saint Quentin's Paul Rigot is confirmed out for six weeks with an Achilles problem (club statement, 21 Oct); he averaged 3.8 points in 12.4 minutes this season.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonSaint Quentin over 20.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 22, 17:47

Selected line

175.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

55%

Chance of 176+ points

+2 pp above break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 55%.

Move the line main 175.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W119–127

Dijonv

Saint Quentin

Mar 15, 2026·LNBOT

L77–83

Saint Quentinv Dijon

Dijon

Dec 13, 2025·LNB

L92–79

Dijonv

Saint Quentin

May 23, 2025·LNB

W85–72

Saint Quentinv Dijon

Dijon

Mar 29, 2025·LNB

W85–91

Dijonv

Saint Quentin

Nov 16, 2024·LNB

W77–73

Saint Quentinv Dijon

Dijon

Apr 20, 2024·LNB

L77–69

Dijonv

Saint Quentin

Nov 18, 2023·LNB

172.3Avg total points

8.3Avg margin

7meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Saint Quentin

1–325%

Dijon

4–0100%

Recent Form

Saint Quentin

5W 10L · last 15

at Pau-Orthez89–102 Oct 17LNB

vs Le Mans87–98 Oct 11LNB

at Limoges75–92 Oct 3LNB

vs JL Bourg106–103 OTSep 26LNB

at Besancon74–123 Sep 15FRE

at Poitiers73–76 May 31PRO

vs Poitiers84–81 May 27PRO

at Poitiers96–100 OTMay 24PRO

at Nancy71–84 May 16LNB

vs Le Mans85–88 May 9LNB

at JL Bourg89–71 May 3LNB

vs Strasbourg109–87 Apr 18LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne70–86 Apr 12LNB

vs Boulazac88–81 Apr 4LNB

at Nanterre75–80 Mar 28LNB

Dijon

9W 6L · last 15

at Gravelines-Dunkerque92–83 Oct 18LNB

at St. Chamond82–71 Oct 13FRE

vs Limoges108–96 Oct 9LNB

at Pau-Orthez89–61 Oct 3LNB

vs Strasbourg81–72 Sep 25LNB

at Le Portel126–80 May 16LNB

vs JL Bourg101–83 May 9LNB

at Nanterre69–87 May 2LNB

vs Boulazac103–85 Apr 17LNB

at Cholet74–111 Apr 11LNB

at Monaco95–108 Apr 5LNB

vs Paris76–92 Mar 27LNB

at Nancy94–96 Mar 20LNB

vs Saint Quentin119–127 OTMar 15LNB

at Strasbourg98–96 OTMar 7LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Saint Quentin

14 games

Stats

1–4

Dijon

14 games

Dijon leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+8.0pp

51.3%

+8.0pp

59.3%

3-point %+5.9pp

32.7%

+5.9pp

38.6%

Free-throw %+8.6pp

71.2%

+8.6pp

79.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.8pp apart

32.6%

0.8pp apart

33.4%

Free throws per shot0.5pp apart

34.0%

0.5pp apart

33.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.6

32.8

+2.6

30.2

Turnovers per game1.3 fewer

13.4

1.3 fewer

12.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.