Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Litomerice 77.9, Valecnici Decin 81.3. Litomerice cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Litomerice and 15 for Valecnici Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Valecnici Decin are 4-0 in the 2026-27 1. Liga through Oct 16, averaging 82.0 points and conceding 75.0 (328-300).
- Litomerice are 1-3 in the same league through Oct 16, averaging 79.3 points and conceding 83.8 (317-335); their home games were a 70-76 loss to Jindrichuv Hradec and a 74-81 overtime loss to USK Prague B.
- Over the 15-game overall sample ending Oct 16, Litomerice average 80.9 points for and 83.3 against, with 26.2% three-point shooting and 69.5% free-throw shooting.
- Over Decin's 15-game overall sample ending Oct 16, they average 79.1 points for and 79.6 against, with 22.7% three-point shooting and 59.2% free-throw shooting.
- Decin's only 2026-27 away game was a 68-64 overtime win at Jindrichuv Hradec on Sep 27, a lower-scoring road output.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were split in 2025-26: Decin won 80-66 at Litomerice on Oct 10, 2025, and Litomerice won 93-91 at Decin on Dec 14, 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Handicaplost
Litomerice +4.5Estimated chance69.8%
Litomerice +4.5Estimated chance69.8%








