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Predictions graded

La Rochelle79Evreux85

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions16–480%

Points by period: La Rochelle and Evreux.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
La Rochelle	15	27	25	12
Evreux	19	18	27	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

La Rochelle, 1-4 and without Sasha Derradji for the season, host an Evreux side that has lost two straight after a 3-0 start.

Evreux are the pick, roughly 87.6 to 84.3 after 40 minutes, ahead at the end of regulation in about 58 of 100 games like this. Under 171.5 combined points at 1.77 is not worth backing, and no other price on the game is.

Context

Derradji's season-ending knee injury removes La Rochelle's leading creator, with a new guard signed as cover, while Evreux arrive on a two-game losing run of their own.

Derradji joined La Rochelle in the offseason and had been the best-rated player in Élite 2 at 20, leading the league at 8.8 assists, before the club confirmed on 21 October that the knee problem from his summer with France Under-20 ends his season. The news lands with the club 1-4 and on a four-game losing run, so the visit of Evreux is their next fixture without their main passer. No return date was given beyond ruling him out until the end of the campaign, and the open question for Friday is how La Rochelle move the ball without him.
- La Rochelle announced on 21 October that Sasha Derradji will be absent until the end of the season.
- The knee injury was sustained in the summer while he was with the France Under-20 team.
- Derradji had the top evaluation rating in Élite 2 and led the league with 8.8 assists per game.
Crusol arrives as a playmaker on the same week that Sasha Derradji was ruled out until the end of the season, and he is La Rochelle's third short-term recruit of the campaign, underlining how stretched the backcourt has been. The club announced the move on 22 October and described him as a point guard who plays for the collective. La Rochelle have not said whether he will be registered and used against Evreux, so his involvement is possible rather than settled, and a new ball handler will need time with teammates he has not played with.
- La Rochelle announced the arrival of point guard Timothé Crusol on 22 October.
- The club presented him as a team-first player.
- The signing is La Rochelle's third injury replacement of the season.
Evreux began the campaign with three wins and stood at 3-2 after conceding 97 at home to Nantes on 20 October, their second defeat in a few days. The two defeats have shifted attention back to their defensive rigour, and they travel to La Rochelle looking to avoid a third straight loss. La Rochelle are themselves 1-4, so the game sets a side trying to rediscover its early-season defence against a host still searching for a second win.
- Evreux opened the season with three consecutive wins.
- They then lost two games in a matter of days, the second 82-97 at home to Nantes on 20 October.
- Evreux stand at 3-2 after five rounds.
La Rochelle's only win of the season came in the opening round, and the four defeats since then include a 76-75 loss at Rouen on 20 October in which a strong final quarter was not enough. The hosts have also lost at home this season, so the visit of Evreux is a chance to stop the slide in front of their own crowd. The uncertainty is whether a reshuffled backcourt settles quickly, with Evreux arriving on a two-game losing run of their own.
- La Rochelle lost 76-75 at Rouen on 20 October.
- It was their fourth consecutive defeat, leaving them with one win from five games.
- La Rochelle also lost at home in the third round, 81-84.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux cover +4.5 (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · HandicapwonEvreux +4.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostEvreux +2.5Estimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonEvreux +2.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonEvreux +1.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux win in about 60 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEvreuxEstimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonEvreuxEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLa Rochelle +2.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostEvreuxEstimated chance55.5%

Points10 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonEvreux over 17.5Estimated chance81.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle over 17.5Estimated chance74.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance70.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle over 18.5Estimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonEvreux over 83.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostEvreux over 41.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle under 22.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostEvreux over 20.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonLa Rochelle under 87.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. Evreux score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for La Rochelle and 15 for Evreux, across seasons and competitions.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonEvreux over 20.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: La Rochelle 84.3, Evreux 87.6. La Rochelle score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- La Rochelle are 1-4 in Pro B, scoring 87.4 and allowing 90.6 per game; at home they scored 88.0 and allowed 86.0 in two games (9/25 and 10/9).
- Evreux are 3-2, scoring 88.4 and allowing 84.8; away from home they scored 88.3 and allowed 83.3 over three Pro B games, including the 10/16 overtime loss at St. Chamond.
- La Rochelle scored 82.0 per game in their two games without Sasha Derradji (10/16 and 10/20) after averaging 91.0 in the three games he played, and the club confirmed on 21 October that he is out for the season.
- Over 13 accepted box scores La Rochelle shoot 55.5% on two-pointers, 35.8% on three-pointers and 74.9% on free throws; Evreux over 14 boxes shoot 51.5%, 31.4% and 63.5%.
- Evreux average 34.9 rebounds and 15.2 turnovers per game, while La Rochelle average 26.7 rebounds and 14.0 turnovers.
- The latest h2h meetings were close and low-scoring: La Rochelle won 81-80 at home on 30 April 2026, and Evreux won 77-70 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonLa Rochelle under 43.5Estimated chance57.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 22, 17:47

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 172+ points

2 pp below break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W81–80

La Rochellev Evreux

Evreux

Apr 30, 2026·PRO

L77–70

Evreuxv

La Rochelle

Jan 16, 2026·PRO

W79–70

La Rochellev Evreux

Evreux

Jan 30, 2024·PRO

W77–90

Evreuxv

La Rochelle

Dec 22, 2023·PRO

W86–77

La Rochellev Evreux

Evreux

Mar 3, 2023·PRO

L71–58

Evreuxv

La Rochelle

Nov 29, 2022·PRO

152.7Avg total points

8.7Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Pro B · Elite 2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

La Rochelle

1–420%

Evreux

3–260%

Recent Form

La Rochelle

5W 10L · last 15

at Rouen75–76 Oct 20PRO

at Ada Blois89–102 Oct 16PRO

vs St. Chamond81–84 Oct 9PRO

at Hyeres-Toulon97–103 Oct 2PRO

vs ASA95–88 Sep 25PRO

at Toulouse82–87 Sep 15FRE

vs Chalons-Reims69–90 May 22PRO

at Nantes89–107 May 19PRO

vs St. Chamond87–76 May 15PRO

at Ada Blois67–86 May 9PRO

vs Evreux81–80 Apr 30PRO

at Vichy70–73 Apr 24PRO

vs Orleans84–77 Apr 21PRO

at Caen92–74 Apr 17PRO

vs Nantes88–98 Apr 10PRO

Evreux

4W 11L · last 15

vs Nantes82–97 Oct 20PRO

at St. Chamond86–89 OTOct 16PRO

at Vichy93–81 Oct 9PRO

vs Fos-sur-Mer95–77 Oct 2PRO

at Poitiers86–80 Sep 25PRO

at Caen79–82 Sep 15FRE

vs Ada Blois68–97 May 15PRO

at Quimper83–102 May 8PRO

at La Rochelle80–81 Apr 30PRO

vs Nantes85–89 Apr 24PRO

vs Denain-Voltaire79–81 Apr 21PRO

at Poitiers85–92 Apr 17PRO

vs Rouen78–76 Apr 10PRO

at Antibes76–91 Apr 7PRO

at Roanne75–103 Apr 3PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

La Rochelle

13 games

Stats

4–1

Evreux

14 games

La Rochelle leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+4.0pp

55.5%

+4.0pp

51.5%

3-point %+4.4pp

35.8%

+4.4pp

31.4%

Free-throw %+11.4pp

74.9%

+11.4pp

63.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.4pp apart

31.1%

3.4pp apart

27.7%

Free throws per shot0.7pp apart

36.7%

0.7pp apart

36.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+8.2

26.7

+8.2

34.9

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

14.0

1.2 fewer

15.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.