Pro BFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Caen74Poitiers79

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions14–767%

Points by period: Caen and Poitiers.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Caen	17	21	14	22
Poitiers	14	26	22	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 3-2 teams meet in Pro B with Caen missing Lee Moore (14.0 points a game) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0), while Poitiers play a second road game in three days.

Poitiers look the likelier winners, taking about two games in three including overtime, and a 3.5-point start covers in roughly three of four. No quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Caen are without Lee Moore (14.0 points a game) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0), which reshapes their guard rotation, while Poitiers' replayed Fos-sur-Mer fixture leaves them with two road games in three days.

Moore is Caen's playmaker and went off injured in Tuesday's 72-81 defeat by Quimper, the club's second league loss in a row. Caen have set no return date, saying only that he will miss at least this game, so the hosts must reorganise their offence for the second of two home fixtures in the same week. Antoine Rojewski is also unavailable, which further limits the options available to the coaching staff and is likely to redistribute the ball-handling and minutes among the remaining guards. When Moore might return in the following rounds remains open.
- Lee Moore was injured on 20 October in Caen's 72-81 home defeat by Quimper.
- Caen will be without him for the reception of Poitiers on 23 October at the least, with his exact unavailability still to be established.
Rojewski is unavailable because of a psoas problem that has been reported without any link to a specific match, and no timetable for his return has been given. Coming in the same week as Moore's injury, it means Caen enter the Poitiers game with a shortened group and a bench that will have to cover more minutes than usual, with the coaching staff yet to indicate how the minutes will be shared. A return in the following rounds is possible but has not been suggested by the club.
- Antoine Rojewski is affected in the psoas and is ruled out of the Poitiers game.
- His absence adds to Lee Moore's injury, so Caen face Friday's match without two members of the squad.
Harley has been missing since the start of October, when the club confirmed it would play Nantes without its captain and gave the armband to 22-year-old Imanol Prot. A further update on 20 October said Poitiers would still be without him for the coming matches, without a diagnosis or a return date. His absence takes the captain and an experienced voice out of a group that is in the middle of a two-game road week, and it leaves leadership and organisation to Prot and the other guards. Whether Harley could be ready for Caen has not been indicated.
- Poitiers announced they would be without their captain for the home game against Nantes on 9 October.
- Imanol Prot, 22, was handed the captain's role for the first time in that game in Harley's absence.
- On 20 October Poitiers were still without their captain for the matches that followed.
Poitiers' round-five fixture in Fos-sur-Mer was called off on the day it was due, 20 October, as storms hit the Bouches-du-Rhône, and was replayed the following evening. Andy Thornton-Jones' team won 80-67 there, their first away success of the campaign, and the club had already framed the week as a two-game road trip ending in Normandy. Caen, in contrast, played both of their week's matches at home. The rearranged date leaves Poitiers with two away games in three days and a single clear day between the final whistle in Fos and Friday's tip-off, so the staff may spread minutes more widely than usual. The club has not said how it will handle the load.
- Poitiers' game at Fos-sur-Mer, due on 20 October, was cancelled because of very heavy rain in Bouches-du-Rhône and moved to 21 October at 20:00.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 October for their first away win of the season.
- The club had already described the week as a two-game road trip, Fos-sur-Mer first and Caen second, with the next home game on 30 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostCaen +6.5Estimated chance76.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · HandicapwonPoitiers +3.5Estimated chance74.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPoitiers +1.5Estimated chance68.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPoitiersEstimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPoitiersEstimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPoitiers +0.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPoitiersEstimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostPoitiers +0.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPoitiersEstimated chance56.7%

Points7 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPoitiers over 18.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen score fewer than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCaen under 84.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonCaen over 17.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPoitiers over 81.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonCaen under 21.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPoitiers over 40.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonCaen under 41.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Caen score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostCaen over 18.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPoitiers over 20.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Caen and 15 for Poitiers, across seasons and competitions.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Caen 79.3, Poitiers 84.8. Poitiers score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Caen's five Pro B games through 20 Oct show a 448-440 overall points line, but both overtime games were level after 40 minutes; their three regulation-decided league games are 238-238.
- Poitiers are 3-2 with a +26 point differential in Pro B through 21 Oct, averaging 86.8 points scored and 81.6 conceded.
- Poitiers won 80-67 at Fos-sur-Mer on 21 Oct and now play a second road game in three days; Caen last played at home on 20 Oct and has one extra rest day.
- Caen's 22 Oct injury report rules out Lee Moore (14.0 ppg) and Antoine Rojewski (10.0 ppg); Moore was hurt in the 72-81 home loss to Quimper.
- Across 13 box-score games, Poitiers average 37.4 rebounds to Caen's 34.5, while shooting 51.6% on twos and 31.5% on threes; Caen shoot 52.8% on twos and 32.9% on threes.
- The last meeting at Caen was 89-87 on 2 Apr 2026, but Poitiers won the December 2025 meeting 90-65 at home; the head-to-head is a small, dated sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostPoitiers over 20.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 22, 18:51

Selected line

166.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

46%

Chance of 167+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 46%.

Move the line main 166.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 46%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 54%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W89–87

Caenv

Poitiers

Apr 2, 2026·PRO

L90–65

Poitiersv

Caen

Dec 27, 2025·PRO

W74–78

Poitiersv

Caen

Jan 17, 2025·PROOT

W95–91

Caenv

Poitiers

Sep 13, 2024·PROOT

L92–80

Poitiersv

Caen

Mar 15, 2019·PRO

W86–85

Caenv

Poitiers

Dec 7, 2018·PRO

W77–89

Poitiersv

Caen

Mar 31, 2018·PRO

L83–86

Caenv

Poitiers

Dec 19, 2017·PRO

168.4Avg total points

7.9Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Pro B · Elite 2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Caen

3–260%

Poitiers

3–260%

Recent Form

Caen

8W 7L · last 15

vs Quimper72–81 Oct 20PRO

at Vichy76–80 Oct 16PRO

vs Hyeres-Toulon90–77 Oct 9PRO

at Angers79–77 Oct 6FRE

at St. Chamond115–111 OTOct 2PRO

vs Aix Maurienne95–91 OTSep 25PRO

vs Evreux82–79 Sep 15FRE

at Antibes93–86 May 15PRO

vs Chalons-Reims75–99 May 8PRO

at Roanne71–75 May 1PRO

vs ASA70–79 Apr 24PRO

at Challans98–106 Apr 21PRO

vs La Rochelle74–92 Apr 17PRO

at Aix Maurienne76–61 Apr 10PRO

vs Quimper85–77 Apr 7PRO

Poitiers

9W 6L · last 15

at Fos-sur-Mer80–67 Oct 21PRO

vs Chalons-Reims92–77 Oct 16PRO

vs Nantes90–73 Oct 9PRO

vs Orleans80–70 Oct 6FRE

at Ada Blois92–105 Oct 3PRO

vs Evreux80–86 Sep 25PRO

at Bordeaux80–79 Sep 15FRE

at Pau-Orthez73–86 Jun 18PRO

vs Pau-Orthez72–81 Jun 15PRO

at Pau-Orthez106–82 Jun 12PRO

vs Nantes85–75 Jun 9PRO

at Nantes88–79 OTJun 6PRO

vs Nantes80–83 OTJun 3PRO

vs Saint Quentin76–73 May 31PRO

at Saint Quentin81–84 May 27PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Caen

13 games

Stats

3–2

Poitiers

13 games

Caen leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.2pp

52.8%

+1.2pp

51.6%

3-point %+1.4pp

32.9%

+1.4pp

31.5%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

72.8%

+0.1pp

72.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.5pp apart

32.8%

0.5pp apart

33.3%

Free throws per shot6.5pp apart

30.4%

6.5pp apart

36.9%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+2.9

34.5

+2.9

37.4

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

14.5

0.4 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.