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Predictions graded

Boras85Norrkoping88

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 18:04 Predictions graded

Predictions15–479%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Boras and Norrkoping.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Boras	17	18	22	28
Norrkoping	22	33	16	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Norrkoping's 4-1 start and 96.4 points per game meet a Boras side scoring 80.7 at home, and the 40-minute read lands near 86-91 to the visitors, with Boras' four straight home wins in this series the obvious counter.

Norrkoping -1.5 at 1.86 is the stronger of the two prices that hold up, with over 173.5 combined points at 1.77 a smaller edge. Boras +1.5 at 1.72 asks too much of the home side.

Context

Boras have scored 80.7 points per game across three home games this season while Norrkoping average 96.4; both teams come in rested, six days for Boras since 17 October and seven for Norrkoping since 16 October, so current scoring form separates them rather than schedule. Boras' L. Johansson did not appear in the latest box score after playing on 13 October, with no confirmed update.

Borås lifted last season's title and remain the reference point in the league, which is why the 113-81 home defeat stands out. Luleå stayed close through the first half and then blew the game open after the break, with Borås unable to stop the scoring once it started coming in bunches. That defensive variance is the relevant question here: a home game against Norrköping will again test how Borås respond when an opponent's shot-making arrives in bursts, and whether 9 October was an outlier or a pattern that better teams will keep exploiting.
- BC Luleå won 113-81 on the road in Borås on 9 October.
- Luleå produced a dominant second half to turn the game into a rout.
- Borås went into that game as the reigning Swedish champions.
Graham arrived with little fanfare and produced straight away, opening his Borås career with a 20-rebound game and keeping his scoring and rebounding numbers high through the first three rounds. That interior output changes how Borås can play: it gives them a rebounding base on both ends and a big man who scores without plays being called for him. Norrköping's frontcourt is the next test of whether that volume is real, and three games is too short a sample to settle whether the rebounding dominance survives against stronger, more physical opposition.
- Graham averaged 15.7 points, 15.3 rebounds and 1.7 blocks over his first three games in the Swedish league.
- He collected 20 rebounds in his first appearance for Borås.
Odinks is a teenager whose minutes have grown this autumn, and the 16 October performance showed what he offers when the shots drop: four three-pointers and 18 points from a forward spot. A power forward who can stretch the floor pulls his defender away from the rim, which opens driving lanes for Norrköping's guards and makes their pick-and-roll harder to load up against. The uncertainty is consistency, because one hot shooting night does not establish that the spacing holds up against a set, physical defence like Borås'.
- Odinks scored 18 points and made four three-pointers in a league game on 16 October.
- He also recorded one steal in that game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Norrkoping -1.5

1.86fair 1.55

Market 53.8% · BetBugs 64.4%

+10.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this. Norrkoping has the stronger current-season scoring margin and a clear road offense, while Boras' home scoring has been below its overall average. I still expect Boras' home setting and recent head-to-head success to keep it close, with Norrkoping slightly ahead.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 173.5

1.77fair 1.65

Market 56.5% · BetBugs 60.6%

+4.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. The game has more than 173.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Norrkoping has the stronger current-season scoring margin and a clear road offense, while Boras' home scoring has been below its overall average. I still expect Boras' home setting and recent head-to-head success to keep it close, with Norrkoping slightly ahead.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonNorrkoping +2.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNorrkopingEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonNorrkopingEstimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.86
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · HandicapwonNorrkoping -1.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonNorrkopingEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonNorrkoping -0.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Boras cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBoras +2.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonNorrkopingEstimated chance56.5%

Points7 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNorrkoping over 20.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Boras score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostBoras over 19.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Boras score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBoras over 19.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.77
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. The game has more than 173.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 173.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping score more than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · Team PointslostNorrkoping over 89.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Boras score fewer than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBoras under 88.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Boras score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBoras under 22.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. Norrkoping score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNorrkoping under 23.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boras and 15 for Norrkoping, across seasons and competitions.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boras 85.9, Norrkoping 91.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Boras is 3-3 this season, averaging 86.7 points for and 89.7 against; at home they have scored 80.7 per game across three games (86-78 vs Umea on 17 Oct, 81-113 vs BC Lulea on 9 Oct, 75-79 vs Nassjo on 25 Sep).
- Norrkoping is 4-1, averaging 96.4 points for and 83.6 against; on the road they scored 97 at Sloga Uppsala on 13 Oct and 89 at Nassjo on 29 Sep.
- In last season's six playoff meetings, Boras averaged 88.8 points and Norrkoping 85.0, but those games are from 2025-26 and involved different form.
- Over 15 tracked games, Boras shoots 38.2% from three and 79.7% from the line; Norrkoping shoots 37.3% from three and 75.1% from the line, with nearly identical rebounds (34.3 vs 34.4) and turnovers (10.9 vs 11.3).
- Rest is similar: Boras has six days since 17 Oct, Norrkoping seven days since 16 Oct.
- Boras' L. Johansson (5.6 points, 23.5 minutes) was missing from the latest box score after playing 13 Oct; no confirmed availability update was supplied.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 45.5Estimated chance56.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 22, 17:47

Selected line

173.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

61%

Chance of 174+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.

Move the line main 173.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W87–78

Borasv

Norrkoping

May 7, 2026·BAS

W84–88

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

May 5, 2026·BAS

W91–81

Borasv

Norrkoping

May 2, 2026·BAS

W106–88

Borasv

Norrkoping

Apr 30, 2026·BAS

L93–80

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

Apr 27, 2026·BAS

L86–81

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

Apr 25, 2026·BAS

L83–80

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

Mar 13, 2026·BAS

L108–81

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

Nov 22, 2025·BAS

W101–84

Borasv

Norrkoping

Nov 7, 2025·BAS

L74–73

Norrkopingv Boras

Boras

May 19, 2025·BASOT

172.7Avg total points

10.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Ligan · Basketligan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Boras

3–350%

Norrkoping

4–180%

Recent Form

Boras

8W 7L · last 15

vs Umea86–78 Oct 17BAS

at Jamtland99–92 Oct 13BAS

vs BC Lulea81–113 Oct 9BAS

at Koping Stars89–80 Oct 2BAS

at Hogsbo90–96 Sep 29BAS

vs Nassjo75–79 Sep 25BAS

vs Norrkoping87–78 May 7BAS

at Norrkoping88–84 May 5BAS

vs Norrkoping91–81 May 2BAS

vs Norrkoping106–88 Apr 30BAS

at Norrkoping80–93 Apr 27BAS

at Norrkoping81–86 Apr 25BAS

at Jamtland90–83 Apr 21BAS

vs Jamtland99–104 Apr 19BAS

at Jamtland96–107 Apr 17BAS

Norrkoping

9W 6L · last 15

vs Koping Stars103–80 Oct 16BAS

at Sloga Uppsala97–90 Oct 13BAS

vs Sodertalje85–94 Oct 9BAS

at Nassjo89–79 Sep 29BAS

vs Umea108–75 Sep 25BAS

at Boras78–87 May 7BAS

vs Boras84–88 May 5BAS

at Boras81–91 May 2BAS

at Boras88–106 Apr 30BAS

vs Boras93–80 Apr 27BAS

vs Boras86–81 Apr 25BAS

vs BC Lulea106–89 Apr 18BAS

at BC Lulea72–76 Apr 15BAS

at BC Lulea97–88 Apr 13BAS

vs BC Lulea87–79 Apr 10BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Boras

Stats

3–2

Norrkoping

Boras leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.1pp

53.2%

+0.1pp

53.3%

3-point %+0.9pp

38.2%

+0.9pp

37.3%

Free-throw %+4.6pp

79.7%

+4.6pp

75.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.3pp apart

44.6%

4.3pp apart

40.3%

Free throws per shot5.6pp apart

29.1%

5.6pp apart

34.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.1

34.3

+0.1

34.4

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

10.9

0.4 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.