VTB United League Promo-CupFinished

Predictions graded

Samara65Zenit Petersburg99

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–1055%

Points by period: Samara and Zenit Petersburg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Samara	19	13	19	14
Zenit Petersburg	31	17	27	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Samara are 0-5 and host a Zenit side that won all four meetings last season by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points.

Zenit should win, though their two away league games this season produced only 66.0 points scored and a 73-72 loss at Lokomotiv Kuban on 18 October. Prices are quoted throughout, but none stands out and the evidence behind the forecasts is too thin to back one.

Context

Samara are 0-5 in the league and have conceded 95.4 points per game, so the open question is how heavily Zenit win by rather than who wins; Zenit's 66.0 points per game in two away league games this season tempers that.

Howard is Zenit's headline backcourt addition: a guard who left Baskonia after more than four seasons and signed a two-year deal through 2027-28, returning to the coach under whom he averaged 19.5 EuroLeague points. Ivanović had publicly acknowledged the club's interest in the market on 11 October, three days before the move was completed, and the salary arrangement leaves Zenit paying half of a 2.2 million euro season. Zenit then lost 73-72 at Lokomotiv Kuban on 18 October, and it is not yet established whether Howard featured in that game or how large a role he will get in Samara. His presence would give Zenit another high-usage scorer in the backcourt; his first appearance and minutes remain open.
- Zenit completed the signing of Markus Howard on 14 October, taking the guard from Baskonia on a contract through 2027-28.
- Howard played under Zenit coach Duško Ivanović and averaged 19.5 points in the EuroLeague in that spell.
- Baskonia and Zenit are splitting Howard's salary, with 2.2 million euros due this season and 2.4 million next season.
- Ivanović said on 11 October that Zenit were interested in every good player on the market and called Howard a good player.
Zenit's latest league outing was decided by a single basket, a 73-72 defeat at Lokomotiv Kuban on 18 October, and the Samara game follows three days later. The narrow margin points to a tight, low-scoring night rather than a collapse, but it also means the staff has little recovery time before another road-style assignment. Whether that short turnaround changes Zenit's rotation, and whether the newly signed Markus Howard is part of it, has not been established.
- Lokomotiv Kuban beat Zenit 73-72 on 18 October.
Samara reached the first weekend of October still chasing a first victory, and the league's own schedule note treated their game against Dynamo Vladivostok as the day one of the two winless teams would break through. They now meet a Zenit side that has just added a proven EuroLeague scorer, which makes this a clear step up in opposition. That early-season position is background rather than a forecast, and it says nothing about Samara's current availability or rotation.
- The league's 4 October match-day note said either Samara or Dynamo Vladivostok would record a first win of the season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg win in about 95 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance94.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 94 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance94.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 87 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance87.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance79.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg cover -2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonZenit Petersburg -2.5Estimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance70.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara cover +26.5 (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · HandicaplostSamara +26.5Estimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara cover +14.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostSamara +14.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara cover +6.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostSamara +6.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg cover -3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonZenit Petersburg -3.5Estimated chance55.1%

Points4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostZenit Petersburg over 20.5Estimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg score fewer than 95.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostZenit Petersburg under 95.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara score more than 15.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostSamara over 15.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg score fewer than 24.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostZenit Petersburg under 24.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSamara over 16.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg score fewer than 48.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonZenit Petersburg under 48.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara score more than 33.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSamara over 33.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Zenit Petersburg score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Samara and 15 for Zenit Petersburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonZenit Petersburg over 21.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Samara 71.1, Zenit Petersburg 91.8. Samara score more than 69.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Samara are 0-5 in the VTB United League, scoring 72.0 and conceding 95.4 points per game (5 games through 17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit are 3-2 in the VTB United League, scoring 82.8 and conceding 78.4 points per game (5 games through 18 Oct 2026).
- In Samara's three home league games this season they scored 73.7 and allowed 103.0 points per game (4-17 Oct 2026).
- Zenit's two away league games this season produced 66.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed per game (4 and 18 Oct 2026).
- Zenit won all four meetings in 2025-26 by 37, 61, 39 and 49 points; Samara averaged 58.8 and Zenit 105.3 in those games.
- Samara had 4.1 days of rest and Zenit 3.2 days before the 21 October game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSamara over 69.5Estimated chance56.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 20, 01:05

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

47%

Chance of 165+ points

5 pp below break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 47%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L63–100

Samarav

Zenit Petersburg

Mar 30, 2026·VTB

L113–52

Zenit Petersburgv Samara

Samara

Feb 1, 2026·VTB

L95–56

Zenit Petersburgv Samara

Samara

Dec 10, 2025·VTB

L64–113

Samarav

Zenit Petersburg

Oct 15, 2025·VTB

L115–57

Zenit Petersburgv Samara

Samara

Mar 5, 2025·VTB

L73–106

Samarav

Zenit Petersburg

Jan 24, 2025·VTB

L54–103

Samarav

Zenit Petersburg

Jan 8, 2025·VTB

L92–61

Zenit Petersburgv Samara

Samara

Oct 30, 2024·VTB

L109–55

Zenit Petersburgv Samara

Samara

Feb 7, 2024·RUS

L47–70

Samarav

Zenit Petersburg

Jan 17, 2024·RUS

159.8Avg total points

43.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

VTB United League Promo-Cup · VTB United League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Samara

0–50%

Zenit Petersburg

3–260%

Recent Form

Samara

0W 15L · last 15

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg75–94 Oct 17VTB

at Enisey70–91 Oct 14VTB

vs Unics Kazan62–117 Oct 7VTB

vs Dynamo Vladivostok84–98 Oct 4VTB

at Saratov69–77 Sep 26VTB

at MBA Moscow61–79 Apr 22VTB

vs Nizhny Novgorod76–78 Apr 20VTB

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg74–99 Apr 15VTB

at Parma Perm65–76 Apr 8VTB

vs CSKA Moscow72–109 Apr 4VTB

at Unics Kazan71–95 Apr 1VTB

vs Zenit Petersburg63–100 Mar 30VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban63–104 Mar 25VTB

at Nizhny Novgorod75–80 Mar 22VTB

vs Enisey73–94 Mar 17VTB

Zenit Petersburg

5W 10L · last 15

at Lokomotiv Kuban72–73 Oct 18VTB

vs Saratov91–71 Oct 11VTB

vs Parma Perm99–85 Oct 7VTB

at Unics Kazan60–95 Oct 4VTB

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg92–68 Sep 25VTB

at Igokea79–83 Sep 20VTB

vs Anadolu Efes76–100 Sep 18VTB

at Unics Kazan73–78 Sep 17VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban76–84 Jun 12VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban85–91 Jun 9VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban81–85 Jun 7VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban64–61 Jun 3VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban82–80 Jun 1VTB

at Unics Kazan55–64 May 28VTB

vs Unics Kazan73–78 May 25VTB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Samara

0 games

Stats

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Zenit Petersburg

0 games

Not enough shared stats for a comparison.

Shooting· 0–0

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Scoring mix· style, not ranked

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Possession· 0–0

Rebounds per game—

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Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.