KorisliigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Pyrinto Tampere80Kataja62

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions11–955%

Points by period: Pyrinto Tampere and Kataja.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Pyrinto Tampere	20	22	21	17
Kataja	12	15	23	12

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Kataja's three-game league slide meets a Pyrintö side that scored 96 at home last week, with both teams 2-3 and the return game in Joensuu three days later.

Pyrintö are the likelier winners, roughly 91-88 after 40 minutes. Plenty of prices are quoted, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Kataja's three consecutive Korisliiga defeats and Pyrintö's 96-point home win on 16 October frame a meeting of teams level at 2-3, and the same clubs meet again in Joensuu on 24 October. No player availability is confirmed for either side.

Kataja have dropped three straight league games, the latest a 16 October visit to Kouvot where the offence stalled, turnovers mounted and the one-on-one defence kept conceding straight-line drives. Commentary around that game called the stretch Kataja's weakest ten minutes of the season and recalled how Kantonen, Tumba and Harmon lifted the club close to a title a year earlier, the implication being that fresh faces may be needed. Jalen Lake was the only Kataja player able to score consistently in Kouvola while the starting group of Strong, Timonen, Palmi, Springs and Harris fell behind early. Against a Pyrintö side that scored 96 at home last week, Kataja's half-court attack and perimeter defence are the areas under most pressure; whether the staff changes the starting five remains open.
- Kataja lost at Kouvot on 16 October, a third consecutive league defeat.
- Honka won a high-scoring game against Kataja on 10 October.
- Kataja's weakest ten-minute stretch of the season came in the Kouvot game, with turnovers piling up and drives to the rim going unchallenged.
Permanto had not played for Kataja since preseason, so his appearance against Kouvot on 16 October ends a long absence and restores a Finnish option to a rotation that has leaned on its imports. He hit two corner three-pointers in that first game back, the sort of spot-up shooting Kataja's half-court offence has lacked during a three-game losing run. His return matters for a week that continues with a home game against the same Tampere club on 24 October, because a deeper bench gives the staff room to manage legs. Whether he keeps a place in the rotation, and how many minutes he gets in Tampere, is not yet clear; Kataja have not published a lineup for the game.
- Permanto made his first Kataja appearance since preseason against Kouvot on 16 October.
- He had already made two corner three-pointers in that game.
Pyrintö's 96-91 home win over Kipinä on 16 October ran through three players: West's 24 points and seven rebounds, Mason's 23 points and Hopkins's 18. Mervola added seven points and five assists, but the scoring load sat heavily on that trio, which is the open question against a Kataja defence that conceded heavily in a high-scoring home loss to Honka on 10 October and again at Kouvot. Mason's passing is Pyrintö's main creative source, and if Kataja take it away the rest of the rotation will need to convert. Whether Pyrintö repeat that shooting night at home is the uncertainty.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä Basket 96-91 on 16 October.
- West scored 24 points and took seven rebounds, Mason scored 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Mervola added seven points and five assists in the same game.
Mervola came through Kataja's youth system and now handles the ball for Pyrintö, handing out five assists in the 16 October win over Kipinä while scoring seven points. He is close to becoming only the second Kataja-developed player to reach 200 Korisliiga appearances, with Niina Sedano, who also represents Pyrintö this season, the comparable long-career case on the women's side. Facing the club that produced him gives the Tampere game a personal thread, and his distribution is part of how Pyrintö keep Mason and West supplied. His role is unlikely to change because of the milestone, but his minutes may grow if the game stays close.
- Mervola is close to becoming the second Kataja-developed player to reach 200 Korisliiga appearances.
- Mervola represents Pyrintö this season.
- Mervola had seven points and five assists in Pyrintö's 16 October win over Kipinä.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere cover +2.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · HandicapwonPyrinto Tampere +2.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pyrinto Tampere and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPyrinto Tampere +1.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPyrinto Tampere +1.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonPyrinto Tampere +1.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pyrinto Tampere and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPyrinto Tampere +1.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPyrinto TampereEstimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPyrinto TampereEstimated chance55.5%

Points5 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPyrinto Tampere over 83.5Estimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pyrinto Tampere and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance74.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. The game has more than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 169.5Estimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 83.5Estimated chance71.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPyrinto Tampere over 41.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pyrinto Tampere and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPyrinto Tampere over 19.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostPyrinto Tampere over 20.5Estimated chance66.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Pyrinto Tampere score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPyrinto Tampere over 21.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Kataja score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pyrinto Tampere and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKataja over 20.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Kataja score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostKataja over 42.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. Kataja score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKataja over 86.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 43.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pyrinto Tampere 90.7, Kataja 88.2. The 1st quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Pyrintö beat Kipinä 96-91 at home on 16 October, with West scoring 24, Mason 23 and Hopkins 18.
- Kataja lost 76-95 at Kouvot on 16 October, their third straight Korisliiga defeat; they conceded 91, 108 and 95 in those three games.
- In five Korisliiga games this season Kataja average 89.6 points for and 89.6 against; Pyrintö average 87.6 for and 92.4 against.
- Kataja's three away games this season average 82.3 points for and 85.7 against; Pyrintö's two home games average 87.5 for and 94.0 against.
- Across 15 box scores Kataja average 36.5 rebounds to Pyrintö's 30.1 and shoot 30.9% from three to Pyrintö's 29.6%.
- The last four Pyrintö-Kataja meetings, all in 2025-26, were won by the home side, including Pyrintö 82-71 on 4 March 2026 and Kataja 75-71 on 18 March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 43.5Estimated chance56.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 20, 01:05

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

73%

Chance of 170+ points

+17 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 73%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 73%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 27%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L75–71

Katajav

Pyrinto Tampere

Mar 18, 2026·KOR

W82–71

Pyrinto Tamperev Kataja

Kataja

Mar 4, 2026·KOR

L91–72

Katajav

Pyrinto Tampere

Dec 30, 2025·KOR

W95–78

Pyrinto Tamperev Kataja

Kataja

Oct 25, 2025·KOR

W91–97

Katajav

Pyrinto Tampere

Dec 4, 2024·KOR

L66–100

Pyrinto Tamperev Kataja

Kataja

Oct 4, 2024·KOR

L68–79

Pyrinto Tamperev Kataja

Kataja

Dec 16, 2023·KOR

L77–71

Katajav

Pyrinto Tampere

Oct 11, 2023·KOR

W106–83

Pyrinto Tamperev Kataja

Kataja

Nov 26, 2022·KOR

L94–86

Katajav

Pyrinto Tampere

Nov 16, 2022·KOR

165.3Avg total points

13.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Korisliiga · Korisliiga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Pyrinto Tampere

2–340%

Kataja

2–340%

Recent Form

Pyrinto Tampere

4W 11L · last 15

vs Kipina96–91 Oct 16KOR

at KTP Kotka Basket72–88 Oct 9KOR

at Honka96–97 OTOct 6KOR

vs Salon Vilpas79–97 Oct 3KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95–89 Sep 30KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa68–74 Sep 16SUO

at Salon Vilpas73–90 Sep 11SUO

at Salon Vilpas71–95 Apr 3KOR

vs Salon Vilpas65–74 Apr 1KOR

at Salon Vilpas70–69 Mar 28KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–82 Mar 26KOR

at Salon Vilpas64–112 Mar 23KOR

at Kataja71–75 Mar 18KOR

vs Kouvot Kouvola78–93 Mar 14KOR

vs Lahti Basketball93–77 Mar 10KOR

Kataja

7W 8L · last 15

at Kouvot Kouvola76–95 Oct 16KOR

vs Honka99–108 Oct 10KOR

at Lahti Basketball85–91 Oct 7KOR

at Bisons Loimaa86–71 Oct 3KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls102–83 Sep 29KOR

at Lahti Basketball77–73 Sep 19SUO

vs Helsinki Seagulls85–93 Sep 9SUO

at Salon Vilpas69–100 May 19KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–59 May 16KOR

at Salon Vilpas81–90 May 14KOR

vs Salon Vilpas79–86 May 12KOR

at Salon Vilpas45–82 May 9KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–70 May 5KOR

at Salon Vilpas84–75 May 2KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls65–58 Apr 28KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Pyrinto Tampere

Stats

2–3

Kataja

Kataja leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.6pp

47.5%

+0.6pp

48.1%

3-point %+1.3pp

29.6%

+1.3pp

30.9%

Free-throw %+0.8pp

76.7%

+0.8pp

75.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.6pp apart

28.5%

6.6pp apart

35.1%

Free throws per shot2.8pp apart

30.5%

2.8pp apart

27.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+6.4

30.1

+6.4

36.5

Turnovers per game0.6 fewer

11.0

0.6 fewer

11.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.