PAOK87Ulm78

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions17–385%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: PAOK and Ulm.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
PAOK	19	27	13	28
Ulm	20	22	13	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both arrive 2-1 in Group D and the edge sits with PAOK: the expected score after 40 minutes is PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3.

PAOK should win it, though Ulm's rebounding and Rataj's scoring keep the game close. Over 84.5 combined first-half points at 1.85 is the one price here that offers something.

Context

PAOK's organiser Nick Calathes and starting centre Kyle Alexander both missed the 17 October league game with no stated reason and their availability for Wednesday is unresolved, while Donatas Motiejunas has only just joined; Ulm's full rotation appears in their latest box score.

Calathes, 37, is the organiser PAOK's offence is built around, controlling tempo in pick-and-roll and setting up Cedi Osman and the bigs. He played in the EuroCup opener against Manresa and in the 13 October defeat at Lietkabelis, then dropped out of the twelve for the league trip to Rhodes, which PAOK won 88-84 without him. The club gave no reason for the omission and has not confirmed whether he will be in the twelve on Wednesday, so his participation is unresolved. If he sits, Trevor Hudgins, Naz Mitrou-Long and Breein Tyree share creation and the half-court attack leans more on isolation and Osman's shot-making.
- PAOK listed Nick Calathes among the absentees for the 17 October Stoiximan GBL game at Kolossos Rhodes.
- Calathes had played in PAOK's EuroCup game at Lietkabelis on 13 October.
- Assistant coach Max Menetti praised PAOK's response to his absence after the 88-84 win in Rhodes.
Alexander is PAOK's starting centre, protecting the rim and finishing above the defence in the pick-and-roll. He played in Lithuania on 13 October and was then left out in Rhodes alongside Calathes without a stated reason, with Nikos Chougkaz and the newly arrived Donatas Motiejunas covering the middle. Ulm go inside through Simisola Shittu on the glass and Michael Rataj's scoring around the elbow and block, so an available Alexander is Trinchieri's best answer to that size. His status for Wednesday is unclear; if he is missing, the interior defence and rebounding rest on Motiejunas, who has only just joined.
- PAOK listed Kyle Alexander as out for the 17 October league game at Kolossos Rhodes.
- Alexander had played in PAOK's EuroCup game at Lietkabelis on 13 October.
PAOK went into the season short in the middle and moved for Motiejunas, a Lithuanian five with NBA and EuroLeague experience who offers post scoring, pick-and-pop shooting and a second rim protector. He debuted in the EuroCup at Lietkabelis on 13 October and was added to the Greek league list two days later, so he is now eligible in both competitions. His conditioning and his grasp of Trinchieri's coverages will decide how long he stays on the floor against Ulm's frontcourt of Shittu and Rataj, and whether PAOK can defend the paint without fouling.
- Donatas Motiejunas made his first EuroCup appearance for PAOK in the 13 October game at Lietkabelis.
- On 15 October PAOK added him to their Greek league list, making him available domestically.
Osman is PAOK's leading scorer and the focus of their half-court attack, working off screens and shooting over closeouts while the guards organise. His 37 points in Rhodes came while other rotation members struggled, and PAOK needed all of them to edge Kolossos by four. Ulm conceded 101 at Manresa on 7 October and 107 at home to Hagen on 17 October, so how they cover Osman on the wing and how quickly they send help are central to the game. PAOK's reliance on his shot-making is also their main risk if his shooting cools.
- Osman scored 37 points as PAOK won 88-84 at Kolossos Rhodes on 17 October.
- He has 145 points across seven competitive appearances in the Greek league, Super Cup and EuroCup.
- PAOK have won all three of their Greek league games.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 84.5

1.85fair 1.59

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 62.7%

+8.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. PAOK have been the steadier side in this competition, defending at a low 81.7 points per EuroCup game while Ulm have been leaking points both in Europe and, more heavily, domestically. Ulm's rebounding and scoring punch keep it close, but PAOK's superior shooting efficiency and home floor in Thessaloniki give them a narrow edge in a game likely to sit in the high 80s for both.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm cover +15.5 (overtime included) in about 84 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · HandicapwonUlm +15.5Estimated chance83.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm cover +8.5 in the 1st half in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonUlm +8.5Estimated chance76.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonUlm +4.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK win in about 59 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPAOKEstimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for PAOK and 15 for Ulm, across seasons and competitions.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPAOK +0.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPAOKEstimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for PAOK and 15 for Ulm, across seasons and competitions.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPAOK +0.5Estimated chance56.1%

Points10 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · Team PointswonUlm over 77.5Estimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonUlm over 38.5Estimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonUlm over 19.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonUlm over 19.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPAOK under 47.5Estimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. Ulm score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostUlm over 19.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK score fewer than 93.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPAOK under 93.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 84.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. The game has more than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 171.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPAOK under 23.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPAOK under 23.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 89.2, Ulm 86.3. PAOK score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–13 Oct 2026) produced 254 points for and 245 against, an 84.7–81.7 average; their Greek league games against weaker domestic opposition have run higher, 88.6 points per game over four matches.
- Ulm's three EuroCup games (30 Sep–14 Oct 2026) average 96.3 scored and 92.7 conceded, but their five Bundesliga games average only 82.0 scored and 86.2 conceded, and they lost the 17 October German Cup tie 98–107 at home to Hagen.
- Shooting across all 15 tracked games favours PAOK: 60.4% on two-pointers and 77.4% from the line (13 games) versus Ulm's 56.2% and 72.9% (12 games); three-point shooting is close at 34.1% against 33.7%.
- Ulm rebound better (34.6 per game to PAOK's 31.0) but turn the ball over more (14.4 to 12.0) across 15 games each.
- Cedi Osman has 145 points in seven games this season, including 37 in the 88–84 league win at Kolossos on 17 October, while Michael Rataj scored 22 against Vechta (10 October) and 22 against Hagen (17 October).
- No completed head-to-head meeting is on record; both teams sit 2–1 in EuroCup Group D, Ulm second on 289–278 and PAOK third on 254–245 after three rounds.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPAOK under 23.5Estimated chance57.9%