EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Maxima Roma90Venezia79

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–1233%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Maxima Roma and Venezia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Maxima Roma	23	22	19	26
Venezia	18	27	12	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Roma are back home after a 25-point EuroCup defeat and need a response against a Venezia side leading Group B at 2-1.

Venezia are the likelier winner, with the 40-minute score around 84-88, but their high-scoring road games keep the contest open. The second-quarter under 44.5 combined points at 1.88 is the one quoted price that offers value.

Context

Venezia lead Group B at 2-1 and can strengthen their position; Roma are 1-2 and need a home response after a 25-point EuroCup defeat. The group table gives the game meaningful weight.

Cotelli is in his first season with Maxima Roma, having taken the job for the club's return to the top flight, and the opening month brought a home loss to Napoli, a loss at Virtus Bologna, a collapse at Turk Telekom and a 25-point defeat at Tenerife. Italian reporting on 17 October linked the club's 2-4 record to early uncertainty about the bench, without any change being announced. The 89-75 win at Derthona the next day, driven by Giovanni Veronesi's 20 points, is the only result since that report, so it is unclear whether the pressure has eased or how it affects rotation choices for this EuroCup home game.
- Speculation around the Maxima Roma bench circulated on 17 October, with the team's record at 2-4.
- Roma won 89-75 at Derthona Tortona the following day, their first away win of the league season.
Roma's third EuroCup outing followed a 92-77 loss at Turk Telekom Ankara on 6 October in which they conceded a 32-12 final quarter, so the Tenerife defeat made it two heavy European losses in a row. Xavier Moon and Gora Camara had helped cut the gap in the second quarter in Tenerife, and Mirza Alibegovic's side got within four before the hosts pulled away for good. Roma now return to the PalaLottomatica for this Round 4 game needing a response, but the club has given no indication of lineup or rotation changes after the two defeats.
- Tenerife opened the game with an 18-3 run and led 26-14 after the first quarter.
- Giorgi Shermadini scored 15 points in the 96-71 win on 14 October.
- Roma pulled back to within four points before Tenerife's decisive break.
Veronesi had scored 11 points in the EuroCup opener and 8 at Tenerife before breaking out at Tortona, where his five three-pointers carried a Roma team that had managed 71 and 77 points in its two previous European games. Miro Bilan also featured prominently in the same win, giving Cotelli a working inside-out pairing three days before this fixture. Whether Veronesi keeps the same volume of shots and minutes in the EuroCup has not been stated by the club, and the opponent's level at Tortona was well below Venezia's.
- Giovanni Veronesi scored 20 points and made five three-pointers in the 89-75 win at Derthona Tortona on 18 October.
- The result was Maxima Roma's first away win of the Serie A season.
- Veronesi was named the league's Italian player of the round for that performance.
Venezia opened Group B with a 104-72 home win over Frankfurt, lost 98-92 at Cluj-Napoca after conceding 58 points in the second half, then held Turk Telekom to 65 in Venice. Kyle Wiltjer and Glynn Watson have carried much of the scoring load in that run, and the win came three days after a home league defeat to Virtus Bologna in which Spahija complained his team shot only six free throws. Venezia play their third game in eight days in Rome, and the staff has said nothing about managing minutes across that stretch.
- Venezia beat Turk Telekom Ankara 75-65 at home on 14 October.
- It was Venezia's second win in three EuroCup Group B games, after a home win over Frankfurt and a loss at Cluj-Napoca.
- Jerrick Harding led Turk Telekom with 19 points and Ismael Bako added 16 with 10 rebounds.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 44.5

1.88fair 1.72

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 58.1%

+4.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Venezia have the better and deeper scoring profile this season and a clear edge inside the arc and on turnovers, but their road games have been high-scoring and leaky, so Roma should stay close at home. Roma's European scoring has lagged their domestic output, which keeps them just behind.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Maxima Roma cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Maxima Roma and 15 for Venezia, across seasons and competitions.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonMaxima Roma +5.5Estimated chance74.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Maxima Roma and 15 for Venezia, across seasons and competitions.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonVenezia +3.5Estimated chance73.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · HandicaplostVenezia +1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVeneziaEstimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostVeneziaEstimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostVenezia +0.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostVeneziaEstimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostVenezia -0.5Estimated chance55.9%

Points4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Maxima Roma score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonMaxima Roma under 22.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Maxima Roma score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · Team PointslostMaxima Roma under 87.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Maxima Roma score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostMaxima Roma under 43.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostVenezia over 20.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 44.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The 1st half has fewer than 87.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 87.5Estimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The game has fewer than 174.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 174.5Estimated chance55.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. Venezia score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonVenezia under 22.5Estimated chance55.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 84.0, Venezia 87.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma average 83.7 points scored and 86.4 conceded across their seven 2026-27 games (27 Sep–18 Oct, Lega A and EuroCup), but only 79.0 scored and 81.0 conceded in their three EuroCup games.
- Venezia average 90.9 points in nine 2026-27 games (26 Sep–17 Oct, all competitions, Super Cup overtime game excluded) and lead EuroCup Group B at 2-1 with 271 scored and 235 conceded.
- Venezia's four away games this season produced 95.3 points scored and 92.0 conceded per game; Roma's three home games produced 86.7 scored and 81.3 conceded.
- Venezia shoot 52.2% on two-pointers (316/605, 14 games) against Roma's 47.0% (116/247, 7 games), and turn the ball over 9.7 times per game versus Roma's 14.9.
- Roma's last EuroCup outing was a 96-71 loss at Tenerife on 14 Oct; three days later they won 89-75 at Tortona behind Veronesi's 20 points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance55%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 20, 01:05

Selected line

174.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

45%

Chance of 175+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.84 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 45%.

Move the line main 174.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Maxima Roma

1–233%

Venezia

2–167%

Recent Form

Maxima Roma

3W 4L · last 7

at Tortona89–75 Oct 18LEG

at Tenerife71–96 Oct 14EUR

vs BC Roma96–95 Oct 11LEG

at Turk Telekom77–92 Oct 6EUR

at Virtus Bologna89–98 Oct 4LEG

vs Cluj-Napoca89–55 Sep 30EUR

vs Basket Napoli75–94 Sep 27LEG

Venezia

9W 6L · last 15

at BC Roma104–98 Oct 17LEG

vs Turk Telekom75–65 Oct 14EUR

vs Virtus Bologna86–93 Oct 11LEG

at Cluj-Napoca92–98 Oct 7EUR

at Trieste87–82 Oct 4LEG

vs Frankfurt104–72 Sep 29EUR

vs Cantu85–73 Sep 26LEG

vs Olimpia Milano87–94 OTSep 20LEG

at Tortona98–90 Sep 19LEG

vs Olimpia Milano72–86 Jun 18LEG

vs Olimpia Milano109–97 Jun 16LEG

at Olimpia Milano79–92 Jun 13LEG

at Olimpia Milano80–100 Jun 11LEG

vs Virtus Bologna90–83 Jun 6LEG

vs Virtus Bologna89–85 Jun 4LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Maxima Roma

7 games

Stats

2–3

Venezia

Venezia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %7/14 games+5.2pp

47.0%

+5.2pp

52.2%

3-point %7/14 games+3.8pp

40.8%

+3.8pp

37.0%

Free-throw %4/12 games+3.2pp

81.5%

+3.2pp

78.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7/14 games6.9pp apart

37.4%

6.9pp apart

30.5%

Free throws per shot4/12 games17.7pp apart

49.2%

17.7pp apart

31.5%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game7/14 games+2.4

31.0

+2.4

33.4

Turnovers per game5.2 fewer

14.9

5.2 fewer

9.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.