EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

JL Bourg90Trento79

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–1131%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: JL Bourg and Trento.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
JL Bourg	19	34	22	15
Trento	24	21	15	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Bourg are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have lost six of seven, yet they host a Trento side that has won all three road games this season but lost both EuroCup home games.

The lean is a narrow Bourg win, with the 40-minute score around 83-82. At 1.85, under 85.5 combined first-half points is the one worthwhile price.

Context

Labanca is out for the season and Walker is expected to miss about six weeks, reshaping Bourg's backcourt; Trento have won all three road games this season but lost both EuroCup games at home.

Labanca, the French shooting guard, was hurt on the league trip to Boulazac and the medical examinations on 12 October confirmed a ruptured Achilles tendon, with surgery before a long rehabilitation. That removes a domestic perimeter shooter from Frédéric Fauthoux's backcourt for the entire season and landed on top of existing absences. Bourg responded two days later by signing Johnny Berhanemeskel, so the Trento game is the first European test of a reworked guard rotation. How quickly that new combination settles is the open question.
- Antony Labanca ruptured an Achilles tendon, with the diagnosis confirmed on 12 October and surgery scheduled.
- Bourg anticipate a long rehabilitation and expect him to miss the rest of the 2026-27 campaign.
Walker had already missed the 26 September league game against Saint-Quentin after a knock in training, returned to score 20 points in his EuroCup debut at Napoli, then saw the muscle problem recur in early October. Bourg announced an estimated six weeks out and immediately signed Tyger Campbell as a medical replacement, clearing him for the 10 October game at Boulazac. Walker is therefore not expected back before mid-November, leaving Campbell and Assemian Moulare to carry the point against Trento; Bourg gave an estimate rather than a fixed return date.
- Bourg estimated on 6 October that Tyson Walker would be away from the court for about six weeks after a recurrence of his muscle injury.
- The club recruited a medical replacement at point guard, and Tyger Campbell was cleared to play from 10 October.
- Walker had scored 20 points in his EuroCup debut against Napoli on 30 September.
Berhanemeskel came off the free-agent market after leaving Le Mans at the end of last season, where he shot 49.4% from three. Bourg signed him on 14 October specifically to fill the gap left by Labanca's season-ending Achilles injury and cleared him for the 18 October league game at Le Mans. Against Trento he gives Fauthoux an experienced catch-and-shoot option next to Tyger Campbell, though a first week with new teammates limits how much of the offence can run through him.
- Bourg announced the arrival of Johnny Berhanemeskel on 14 October as cover for the injured Antony Labanca.
- He had been without a club since leaving Le Mans at the end of last season and shot 49.4% from three in that campaign.
- Bourg made him available to debut in the league game at Le Mans on 18 October.
Le Mans won 91-90 on 18 October when Lucas Dufeal finished an alley-oop in the last seconds, a sixth defeat in seven games for Bourg. Frédéric Fauthoux spoke afterwards about keeping belief rather than changing course, and the three-day gap before Trento leaves little room for correction on the practice floor. The relevant question is whether a group that keeps losing tight games can close one at home with a backcourt reshaped by injuries. Bourg's execution in the final minutes is the specific uncertainty.
- Le Mans beat Bourg 91-90 on 18 October, Lucas Dufeal finishing an alley-oop in the final seconds.
- It was Bourg's sixth defeat in seven games this season.
- Frédéric Fauthoux said the results are not going Bourg's way and that the team has to keep its confidence.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 85.5

1.85fair 1.68

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 59.5%

+5.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Trento have the better shooting and rebounding numbers and a strong road record, but both their EuroCup defeats came at home and Bourg's home scoring has held near the mid-80s even during a poor run. Bourg's reshuffled backcourt and Trento's better road defence pull the totals close, with home court giving Bourg a narrow advantage.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. JL Bourg cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for JL Bourg and 15 for Trento, across seasons and competitions.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonJL Bourg +3.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · HandicaplostTrento +5.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostTrento +3.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for JL Bourg and 15 for Trento, across seasons and competitions.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostTrento +2.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonTrento +1.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. JL Bourg win in about 52 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJL BourgEstimated chance51.9%

Points1 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. JL Bourg score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointslostJL Bourg under 86.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. JL Bourg score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostJL Bourg under 43.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 85.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTrento over 19.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. JL Bourg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonJL Bourg under 21.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. Trento score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointslostTrento over 81.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 83.1, Trento 82.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Bourg are 1-6 this season and have scored 247 points in three EuroCup games (82.3 per game) while conceding 266 (88.7), including the 91-90 loss at Le Mans on 18 October.
- Trento are 3-0 on the road this season (83-78 at Reggio Emilia 26 Sep, 74-66 at Udine 10 Oct, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep) but 1-2 in the EuroCup with both defeats at home, 94-81 to Slask and 88-80 to Chemnitz.
- Over 15 tracked games Trento shoot better (53.1% twos, 35.6% threes, 76.4% free throws) than Bourg (51.0%, 32.8%, 73.5%), with 38.7% of Trento's points coming from three against 30.8% for Bourg.
- Bourg turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.1 per game) while Trento rebound slightly better (33.3 vs 32.1) across the same 15-game samples.
- Bourg lose Tyson Walker for about six weeks (announced 6 October) and Antony Labanca for the season with an Achilles tear (confirmed 12 October), with Johnny Berhanemeskel signed as cover on 14 October.
- The two EuroCup meetings last season were split and both won by the visiting team: Bourg 79-48 in Trento on 1 October 2025, Trento 91-73 in Bourg on 9 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 20, 01:05

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 168+ points

7 pp below break-even

Over 1.84 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L73–91

JL Bourgv

Trento

Dec 9, 2025·EUR

W48–79

Trentov

JL Bourg

Oct 1, 2025·EUR

W79–67

JL Bourgv

Trento

Dec 13, 2023·EUR

W72–79

Trentov

JL Bourg

Oct 10, 2023·EUR

147Avg total points

17Avg margin

4meetings

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

JL Bourg

0–30%

Trento

1–233%

Recent Form

JL Bourg

4W 11L · last 15

at Le Mans90–91 Oct 18LNB

at Neptunas89–93 Oct 13EUR

at Boulazac73–84 Oct 10LNB

vs Tofas82–89 Oct 6EUR

vs Chalon/Saone90–77 Oct 3LNB

at Basket Napoli76–84 Sep 30EUR

at Saint Quentin103–106 OTSep 26LNB

vs Monaco103–114 May 27LNB

at Monaco75–81 May 25LNB

vs Strasbourg91–71 May 20LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque95–78 May 16LNB

at Dijon83–101 May 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne77–91 May 5LNB

vs Saint Quentin71–89 May 3LNB

vs Besiktas73–71 Apr 28EUR

Trento

8W 7L · last 15

vs Varese87–85 Oct 18LEG

vs Chemnitz80–88 Oct 13EUR

at Udine74–66 Oct 10LEG

vs Slask Wroclaw81–94 Oct 6EUR

vs Treviso90–93 Oct 3LEG

at Neptunas76–73 Sep 29EUR

at Reggiana83–78 Sep 26LEG

at Virtus Bologna95–106 May 26LEG

vs Virtus Bologna81–90 May 24LEG

vs Virtus Bologna102–85 May 22LEG

at Virtus Bologna87–84 May 19LEG

at Virtus Bologna71–102 May 17LEG

vs Olimpia Milano84–74 May 10LEG

at Udine76–69 May 3LEG

at Basket Napoli74–84 Apr 25LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

JL Bourg

Stats

1–4

Trento

Trento leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+2.1pp

51.0%

+2.1pp

53.1%

3-point %+2.8pp

32.8%

+2.8pp

35.6%

Free-throw %11/13 games+2.9pp

73.5%

+2.9pp

76.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games7.9pp apart

30.8%

7.9pp apart

38.7%

Free throws per shot11/13 games12.8pp apart

41.7%

12.8pp apart

28.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.2

32.1

+1.2

33.3

Turnovers per game1.8 fewer

13.3

1.8 fewer

15.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.