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Predictions graded

Hapoel Tel Aviv90Virtus Bologna81

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–665%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Virtus Bologna.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Hapoel Tel Aviv	23	13	28	26
Virtus Bologna	25	23	14	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Virtus Bologna are both 4-2 in the EuroLeague and both arrive on winning runs, with Hapoel's home scoring meeting Bologna's road form.

The likely result is a narrow Hapoel win, around 90-87 points. Over 174.5 combined points, overtime included, at 1.93 is the price that offers something.

Context

Hapoel's availability is the main condition: Tomer Ginat and Tamir Blatt have not been confirmed available, while Amir Coffey played in the 100-82 win over Besiktas on 14 October. Bologna have leaned on their bench through a seven-game winning run.

Hapoel's Israeli core has been thin through the double week. Ginat, a 2.05m forward, was absent for the win in Athens and was recovering rather than being rested. Zach LeDay and Daniel Oturu carried the frontcourt instead, with Bruno Caboclo behind them. Against a Bologna side that rotates Bobi Klintman, Derrick Alston Jr., Mouhamet Diouf and Aliou Diarra through the forward and centre spots, a fit Ginat would give Itoudis another body and spare the imports. Whether he has been cleared for this game has not been established.
- Ginat was listed among the absentees for the Round 6 game in Athens on 16 October.
- He was working his way back from injury rather than being rested.
- Hapoel fielded no Israeli player in that game, the second time in the club's history.
Blatt, a guard signed this summer, has been rehabbing rather than playing. Hapoel have run the backcourt through Vasilije Micic, Tomas Satoransky, Elijah Bryant and Antonio Blakeney in his absence, with Khadeen Carrington and Max Heidegger behind them. Bologna lean on Marcus Carr and Trent Frazier on the ball, so extra guard depth would help Hapoel absorb pressure and keep Micic fresh. Itoudis framed the comeback in late September as a staged process, and nothing since has confirmed a return date for this game.
- Blatt was absent for the 100-82 win over Besiktas on 14 October and the 91-81 win at Panathinaikos on 16 October.
- He was returning from injury at the time rather than being left out for selection reasons.
- Itoudis said on 27 September that the club would decide on Blatt's situation before he returned to full training.
Coffey, a 2.01m wing, gives Itoudis size on the perimeter next to Bryant, Blakeney and Ishmail Wainright, and a defender who can switch across forwards. Bologna's main scoring comes from the wing and forward spots through Wendell Moore Jr., Derrick Alston Jr. and Klintman, so having Coffey available helps Hapoel match up physically rather than doubling down with guards. He is still early in his return from injury, and his role across a second EuroLeague week has not been fully defined.
- Coffey was cleared to play and appeared in the 100-82 win over Besiktas on 14 October.
- Hapoel broke that game open with a 32-16 third quarter.
- Coffey arrived at Hapoel after several seasons in the NBA.
Hapoel went into the double week at 3-2 and left it at 4-2, having beaten Besiktas 100-82 at home two days before the trip to Athens. Against Panathinaikos, LeDay scored 17 and Bryant 14, and Itoudis's side stayed upright physically against the competition's most disruptive defence. The roster is built on creators: Micic, Bryant, Blakeney, Coffey and LeDay all initiate. That win is the strongest result of their season so far and makes them one of the form teams of Round 7, though the caveat is that their best results have arrived in a short burst rather than across the whole month.
- Hapoel won 91-81 in Athens on 16 October and sit at 4-2 after six rounds.
- Zach LeDay scored 17 points and Elijah Bryant added 14.
- Panathinaikos had been unbeaten in the competition before that game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 174.5

1.93fair 1.74

Market 51.8% · BetBugs 57.4%

+5.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. The game has more than 174.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Hapoel's home EuroLeague scoring and lower turnover rate give them a slight advantage, but Bologna's stronger inside shooting and rebounding should keep the game close and high-scoring. I expect a roughly 90-87 home win in regulation.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Virtus Bologna, across seasons and competitions.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonHapoel Tel Aviv +2.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna cover +8.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · HandicaplostVirtus Bologna +8.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVirtus Bologna +4.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonVirtus Bologna +2.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Virtus Bologna, across seasons and competitions.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonVirtus Bologna +2.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance56.2%

Points5 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointslostVirtus Bologna over 82.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostVirtus Bologna over 19.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 41.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 20.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Virtus Bologna score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 20.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonHapoel Tel Aviv under 23.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.93
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. The game has more than 174.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 174.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 90.2, Virtus Bologna 86.6. Hapoel Tel Aviv score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- EuroLeague through 16 October: Hapoel are 4-2, averaging 90.0 scored and 86.7 conceded; Bologna are 4-2, averaging 87.5 scored and 86.3 conceded (six games each).
- Hapoel have scored 95.3 per game in three EuroLeague home games (100 v Besiktas, 102 v Real Madrid, 84 v Bayern) through 16 October.
- Bologna have scored 85.8 per game in four EuroLeague away games, including 68 at Fenerbahce, through 16 October.
- Across this season's tracked games, Bologna shoot 58.1% on two-pointers to Hapoel's 54.0%, but Hapoel shoot 37.8% on threes to Bologna's 33.8%.
- Hapoel average 10.6 turnovers to Bologna's 13.2, while Bologna average 34.3 rebounds to Hapoel's 32.2.
- Hapoel won both 2025-26 EuroLeague meetings: 109-91 at home on 19 March 2026 and 79-74 in Bologna on 12 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonHapoel Tel Aviv under 46.5Estimated chance56.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 20, 03:17

Selected line

174.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

57%

Chance of 175+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 57%.

Move the line main 174.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W109–91

Hapoel Tel-Avivv

Virtus Bologna

Mar 19, 2026·EUR

W74–79

Virtus Bolognav

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Dec 12, 2025·EUR

176.5Avg total points

11.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Hapoel Tel Aviv

4–267%

Virtus Bologna

4–267%

Recent Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

10W 5L · last 15

vs Maccabi Ashdod81–67 Oct 18SUP

at Panathinaikos91–81 Oct 16EUR

vs Besiktas100–82 Oct 14EUR

at Hapoel Beer Sheva95–82 Oct 11SUP

at Valencia82–93 Oct 8EUR

vs Nes Ziona79–76 Oct 3LEA

vs Real Madrid102–98 Oct 1EUR

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81–80 Sep 29EUR

vs Hapoel Beer Sheva85–67 Sep 26LEA

vs Bayern84–86 Sep 24EUR

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv79–83 Jun 23SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv80–74 Jun 21SUP

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv98–102 Jun 18SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv75–96 Jun 16SUP

vs Hapoel Jerusalem89–81 Jun 11SUP

Virtus Bologna

9W 6L · last 15

vs Scafati108–83 Oct 18LEG

vs Baskonia86–78 Oct 16EUR

at Paris96–94 Oct 14EUR

at Venezia93–86 Oct 11LEG

at Bayern94–87 Oct 8EUR

vs Maxima Roma98–89 Oct 4LEG

vs Olympiacos96–94 Oct 1EUR

at Olimpia Milano85–87 Sep 29EUR

at Varese90–69 Sep 27LEG

at Fenerbahce68–78 Sep 25EUR

at Olimpia Milano71–80 Sep 19LEG

at Venezia83–90 Jun 6LEG

at Venezia85–89 Jun 4LEG

vs Venezia98–79 Jun 1LEG

vs Venezia83–91 May 30LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Hapoel Tel Aviv

14 games

Stats

2–3

Virtus Bologna

Virtus Bologna leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.1pp

54.0%

+4.1pp

58.1%

3-point %+4.0pp

37.8%

+4.0pp

33.8%

Free-throw %10/11 games+1.7pp

75.5%

+1.7pp

77.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.9pp apart

37.6%

7.9pp apart

29.7%

Free throws per shot10/11 games2.1pp apart

30.1%

2.1pp apart

32.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game6/15 games+2.1

32.2

+2.1

34.3

Turnovers per game2.6 fewer

10.6

2.6 fewer

13.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.