Chemnitz95Slask Wroclaw67

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–286%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Chemnitz and Slask Wroclaw.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Chemnitz	20	26	24	25
Slask Wroclaw	21	19	20	7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Chemnitz carry a two-game EuroCup winning run into a Group C meeting with a Slask side beaten in its last two.

The expected score after 40 minutes, 88.0 to 81.6, makes Chemnitz the likelier winner, and over 39.5 combined points in the third quarter at 1.88 is the one price that stands out, with the odds implying about 53 per cent against a forecast near 63 per cent.

Context

Chemnitz's two-game EuroCup run and rebounding edge meet a Slask side that has lost twice in a row but turns the ball over less, with Chemnitz's Cobe Williams missing the latest game on 18 October and no confirmation of his return.

Chemnitz completed the signing on 14 October, with three EuroCup rounds already played, and Mikesell was in uniform for the German Cup game four days later. The move adds a forward option for the frontcourt as the group stage reaches its fourth round, but a mid-October arrival has had little time with his new teammates, so his EuroCup minutes against Śląsk may stay limited while he settles into the side.
- Ryan Mikesell's move to Chemnitz was announced on 14 October.
- Mikesell made his first appearance for Chemnitz in the German Cup tie at Braunschweig on 18 October.
- The signing came with the EuroCup group stage already three rounds old.
Chemnitz opened the group stage with a 69-82 defeat at Tofas, then beat Neptunas at home on 7 October and won in Trento on 13 October, where Cobe Williams scored 30 points and a 33-point run in the last quarter decided the game. Four days later they won by 27 in the German Cup at Braunschweig. The sequence has taken Chemnitz to 2-1 in the group, one win better than Śląsk's 1-2 record, and their scoring has climbed in each of the last two EuroCup outings.
- Chemnitz beat Neptunas 93-84 at home on 7 October for their first EuroCup win of the season.
- Chemnitz won 88-80 at Trento on 13 October, with Cobe Williams scoring 30 points.
- A 33-point burst in the final quarter broke the Trento game open.
- Chemnitz won 102-75 at Braunschweig in the German Cup on 18 October, with Ben Burnham setting a career high.
Śląsk lost their opener 75-99 to Buducnost, won 94-81 in Trento on 6 October, then went down 82-86 to Napoli in Wrocław. Devin Robinson scored 22 points and called it the team's best performance of the season while acknowledging they came up short late on. Four days later Śląsk lost 97-80 at MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza in the Polish league, with Malik Parsons scoring 21 points in 22 minutes. The two defeats leave the Polish side 1-2 in the group and put the emphasis on a road response against an opponent that has won its last two European games.
- Śląsk lost 82-86 to Napoli in front of a sold-out home hall on 14 October.
- Devin Robinson scored 22 points and Isaih Moore added 13 for Śląsk in that game.
- Śląsk then lost 97-80 at MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza on 18 October, with Malik Parsons scoring 21 points in 22 minutes.
- Danny Franco said after the Napoli defeat that his team had to focus on their own game and prepare for the next fixtures.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

3rd Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 39.5

1.88fair 1.58

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 63.1%

+9.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Chemnitz's home court, rebounding advantage and stronger EuroCup record give them a modest edge, while Slask's lower turnover rate and away wins at Trento and Szczecin keep the visitors in the low 80s. Both teams have scored around 83-84 per game in the EuroCup, so I expect a close, moderately high-scoring game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chemnitz and 15 for Slask Wroclaw, across seasons and competitions.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonChemnitz +5.5Estimated chance82.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChemnitzEstimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chemnitz and 15 for Slask Wroclaw, across seasons and competitions.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonChemnitz +1.5Estimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonChemnitzEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonChemnitzEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonChemnitzEstimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostChemnitzEstimated chance55.8%

Points6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonChemnitz over 20.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Chemnitz score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonChemnitz over 21.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Slask Wroclaw score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostSlask Wroclaw over 19.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. Slask Wroclaw score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSlask Wroclaw over 19.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 88.0, Slask Wroclaw 81.6. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- EuroCup Group C through 20 October: Chemnitz are 2-1 with 250 points scored and 246 allowed; Slask are 1-2 with 251 scored and 266 allowed.
- Chemnitz won their last two EuroCup games, 93-84 at home to Neptunas on 7 October and 88-80 at Trento on 13 October; Slask lost 82-86 to Napoli on 14 October and 97-80 at Dabrowa Gornicza on 18 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Chemnitz average 33.9 rebounds to Slask's 29.7, while Slask average 12.4 turnovers to Chemnitz's 16.3.
- Shooting is close: Chemnitz are at 54.1% on two-pointers and 31.2% on threes, Slask at 55.0% and 30.6%; Chemnitz shoot 74.8% from the line, Slask 71.1%.
- Slask are 2-2 away this season, scoring 81.5 and allowing 85.5, while Chemnitz are 2-1 at home, scoring 90.0 and allowing 88.0, though that includes overtime and only one home EuroCup game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance56%