Champions LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Bnei Herzliya74FC Porto86

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions15–479%

Points by period: Bnei Herzliya and FC Porto.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Bnei Herzliya	16	13	27	18
FC Porto	22	25	16	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams are 0-1 in Group H, and Porto's unbeaten Portuguese league start meets a Bnei Herzliya side that needed two overtimes to win on 18 October and plays its designated home game in Bulgaria.

Porto look the likelier winners, something like 84-81 after 40 minutes, with the combined points leaning under 169.5. Every forecast here is low-confidence, and the evidence is too thin to back a price.

Context

Bnei Herzliya play a designated home game in a hall in Bulgaria, so there is no normal home-crowd edge, and they arrive about three days after a double-overtime league win at Nes Ziona. Porto have had nearly five days since their 95-91 win at Esgueira on 16 October.

The venue removes the arena and home crowd Bnei Herzliya use in Israel, so the 'home' side in this Group H tie plays its European home game in a foreign gym. The club presented the fixture as a direct move from its domestic game at Ness Ziona on 18 October to the Bulgarian hall, and Porto's recent matches have all been in Portugal, so both squads arrive at a neutral site. How much the neutral setting and the trip shape either team's legs is unresolved; what is clear is that this is not a normal home game for the Israeli side.
- Bnei Herzliya said the team would host Porto in a hall in Bulgaria.
- The club framed the trip as going from its league game at Ness Ziona to the Bulgarian venue for the second round of Group H.
Two extra periods added roughly ten minutes of floor time to Bnei Herzliya's last outing before the European trip, and the 103-96 win at Ness Ziona was the club's first of the league season after a home defeat to Maccabi Ramat Gan in game one. The team then had three days and a journey to Bulgaria before facing Porto. Whether the heavy workload changes the rotation, and how the staff splits minutes in the frontcourt and backcourt, is the open question around this game.
- Bnei Herzliya won 103-96 at Ironi Ness Ziona on 18 October after two extra periods.
- It was the club's first victory of the domestic season.
- The club described the night as two overtimes, a million heart attacks and one huge win.
Both teams come into the second round without a win, so the loser falls two games off the pace in a four-team group. Porto's opener in Bonn was a comeback that fell short: a 22-point hole cut to four, with a 43-32 half-time deficit. Bnei Herzliya stayed closer in Badalona but still lost by eleven. The practical effect is that this meeting carries extra weight for both, and it also means neither side has yet shown a working formula against Group H opposition.
- Porto lost 78-74 at Telekom Baskets Bonn on 7 October after trailing by 22 points, closing to within four by the end.
- Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut Badalona on 6 October in its Champions League opener.
- Group H also contains Joventut Badalona and Telekom Baskets Bonn.
Porto's domestic run is the strongest part of their form line: a comfortable opener at Queluz, a comeback win over Benfica in front of their own crowd, a tight success at Esgueira, and a trophy already in the cabinet from Albufeira. That run included a half-time deficit against Benfica that the team turned around, which is the same pattern as the Bonn defeat in Europe, only with a different ending. The contrast between unbeaten league form and an 0-1 European start is the central tension in Porto's trip to Bulgaria.
- Porto opened the league with a 110-93 win at CA Queluz on 2 October, leading 54-43 at half-time.
- Porto beat Benfica 93-86 at the Dragão Arena on 11 October after reaching half-time behind.
- Porto's league record stood at 3-0 after a 95-91 win at CP Esgueira on 16 October.
- Porto won the Portuguese Super Cup 80-76 against Sporting on 26 September in Albufeira.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · HandicapwonFC Porto +3.5Estimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Bnei Herzliya and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostBnei Herzliya +4.5Estimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonFC Porto +1.5Estimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 13 completed games for Bnei Herzliya and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostFC Porto +1.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC PortoEstimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonFC PortoEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonFC Porto +0.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonFC PortoEstimated chance56.2%

Points9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBnei Herzliya under 86.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonFC Porto over 39.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBnei Herzliya under 21.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBnei Herzliya under 21.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBnei Herzliya under 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. The 1st half has more than 80.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 80.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. The game has fewer than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 169.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. Bnei Herzliya score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBnei Herzliya under 41.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonFC Porto over 20.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bnei Herzliya 80.8, FC Porto 84.4. FC Porto score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bnei Herzliya's last three games produced 79, 75 and 103 points; the 103 came after two overtimes against Nes Ziona on 18 October, and they allowed 89, 86 and 96.
- Porto are 3-0 in the Portuguese LPB after beating Esgueira 95-91 on 16 October, Benfica 93-86 on 11 October and CA Queluz 110-93 on 2 October.
- In Champions League Group H, Porto lost 78-74 at Bonn on 7 October and Bnei Herzliya lost 86-75 at Joventut on 6 October; both are 0-1.
- Over 14 box-scored games this season Porto shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line, while Bnei Herzliya shoot 75.2%.
- Porto average 36.6 rebounds across 14 games; Bnei Herzliya's 29.0 figure comes from a single game, so the rebounding edge is real but the home sample is thin.
- Bnei Herzliya's home game against Porto is being staged in a hall in Bulgaria, the club confirmed on 20 October, so there is no normal home crowd.
BetBugs · Team PointswonFC Porto over 83.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 21, 03:51

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

42%

Chance of 170+ points

11 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 42%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W83–85

FC Portov

Bnei Herzliya

Oct 11, 2017·FIB

L65–68

Bnei Herzliyav

FC Porto

Oct 3, 2017·FIB

150.5Avg total points

2.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Champions League · Champions League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Bnei Herzliya

0–10%

FC Porto

0–10%

Recent Form

Bnei Herzliya

8W 7L · last 15

at Nes Ziona103–96 Oct 18SUP

vs Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan79–89 Oct 12SUP

at Joventut Badalona75–86 Oct 6CL

at Hapoel Jerusalem68–88 Sep 25LEA

vs Maccabi Rishon99–79 Sep 17LEA

at Ironi Eilat101–98 Sep 9LEA

at Hapoel Holon84–99 Jun 3SUP

vs Hapoel Holon73–84 Jun 1SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv75–137 May 25SUP

vs Hapoel HaEmek96–94 May 20SUP

at Hapoel Tel Aviv70–59 May 16SUP

vs Elitzur Maccabi Netanya108–107 May 11SUP

vs Ironi Kiryat Ata88–96 May 8SUP

at Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan104–88 May 4SUP

at Nes Ziona95–88 Apr 26SUP

FC Porto

12W 3L · last 15

at Esgueira95–91 Oct 16LPB

vs Benfica93–86 Oct 11LPB

at Bonn74–78 Oct 7CL

at CA Queluz110–93 Oct 2LPB

vs Sporting CP80–76 Sep 26SUP

vs Benfica75–71 Jun 14LPB

vs Benfica87–63 Jun 12LPB

at Benfica102–98 OTJun 9LPB

at Benfica73–89 Jun 7LPB

vs Sporting CP94–86 May 31LPB

vs Sporting CP86–76 May 29LPB

at Sporting CP73–88 May 25LPB

at Sporting CP81–70 May 23LPB

at Imortal102–79 May 14LPB

vs Imortal88–66 May 10LPB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Bnei Herzliya

Stats

3–2

FC Porto

Bnei Herzliya leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %14/14 games+2.6pp

55.7%

+2.6pp

53.1%

3-point %14/14 games+0.4pp

36.0%

+0.4pp

35.6%

Free-throw %14/14 games+8.0pp

75.2%

+8.0pp

67.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/14 games6.7pp apart

29.7%

6.7pp apart

36.4%

Free throws per shot14/14 games1.3pp apart

32.7%

1.3pp apart

31.4%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game1/14 games+7.6

29.0

+7.6

36.6

Turnovers per game0.7 fewer

13.7

0.7 fewer

13.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.