SuperettanFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Alvik87Djurgarden68

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–1050%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Alvik and Djurgarden.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Alvik	23	14	26	24
Djurgarden	16	25	14	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Alvik score 97.0 points per game to Djurgarden's 74.8, and the 40-minute picture sits near 92-78 in Alvik's favour.

Djurgarden's 90.5 points per game last season and their 83-71 win over Alvik in November 2025 are why the gap should not be wider. Over 165.5 combined points at 1.79 is the one quoted price worth taking; Djurgarden +11.5 at 1.74 and Djurgarden over 79.5 at 1.71 are not.

Context

Alvik average 97.0 points per game over five Superettan games against Djurgarden's 74.8 over four, and Djurgarden arrive after a long gap since 11 October. Against that, Djurgarden scored 90.5 points per game over 11 games last season, and Alvik's latest outing came without a 16.0-point scorer, so the edge is real but not one-sided.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 165.5

1.79fair 1.59

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 63%

+7.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. The game has more than 165.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Alvik have scored heavily at home in this young Superettan season while Djurgarden have managed under 80 in three of four games and conceded nearly 90, so the gap lands around thirteen points. Djurgarden's much stronger 2025-26 scoring keeps the away figure from being lower, and a 10-day layoff adds uncertainty.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik win in about 86 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAlvikEstimated chance85.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 84 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAlvikEstimated chance84.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostAlvikEstimated chance76.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostAlvikEstimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonAlvikEstimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostAlvik -1.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonAlvikEstimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik cover -1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAlvik -1.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik cover -11.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · HandicapwonAlvik -11.5Estimated chance56.5%

Points4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 37.5Estimated chance77.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Djurgarden score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostDjurgarden under 21.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAlvik over 20.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. The game has more than 165.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 165.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Djurgarden score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostDjurgarden over 18.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Djurgarden score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonDjurgarden over 37.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvik and 15 for Djurgarden, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAlvik over 22.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik score more than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAlvik over 90.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Djurgarden score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonDjurgarden under 20.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvik 92.0, Djurgarden 78.5. Alvik score more than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Alvik average 97.0 points and 80.0 conceded across five Superettan games in 2026-27, including a 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 September 2026.
- Djurgarden average 74.8 points and allow 88.0 in four Superettan games this season, after averaging 90.5 points over 11 games in 2025-26.
- In 2025-26 Alvik averaged 84.1 points and 77.1 conceded over 10 Superettan games, a lower-scoring level than their current start.
- Djurgarden lost 62-93 at home to AIK on 21 September 2026 and 76-101 away to Eskilstuna on 26 September 2026.
- Head to head in 2025-26: Djurgarden beat Alvik 83-71 on 26 November 2025, and Alvik won 84-80 at Djurgarden on 15 March 2026.
- Alvik shoot 53.3% on two-pointers against Djurgarden's 49.2% over 15 tracked games each, and Alvik hold a 43.0 to 38.7 rebounding edge.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostAlvik over 45.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 21, 03:51

Selected line

165.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

63%

Chance of 166+ points

+7 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 63%.

Move the line main 165.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W80–84

Djurgardenv Alvik

Alvik

Mar 15, 2026·SUP

L71–83

Alvikv

Djurgarden

Nov 26, 2025·SUP

W74–79

Djurgardenv Alvik

Alvik

Jan 12, 2025·SUP

W94–80

Alvikv

Djurgarden

Oct 27, 2024·SUP

L90–73

Djurgardenv Alvik

Alvik

Mar 27, 2019·SUP

L88–81

Djurgardenv Alvik

Alvik

Nov 30, 2018·SUP

L87–96

Alvikv

Djurgarden

Oct 6, 2018·SUP

165.7Avg total points

9.7Avg margin

7meetings

League table

Superettan · Superettan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Alvik

3–260%

Djurgarden

1–325%

Recent Form

Alvik

9W 6L · last 15

at Trelleborg97–84 Oct 17SUP

vs Fryshuset Basket77–93 Oct 10SUP

vs Eskilstuna90–63 Oct 4SUP

vs AIK Basket94–101 Sep 27SUP

vs Ockelbo127–59 Sep 19SUP

vs Eskilstuna82–96 May 6SUP

at Eskilstuna83–87 Apr 30SUP

vs Wetterbygden Stars81–60 Apr 26SUP

at Wetterbygden Stars69–71 Apr 24SUP

at IK Eos63–74 Apr 12SUP

at Malbas86–78 Apr 11SUP

vs Wetterbygden Stars98–62 Mar 28SUP

vs Aros Basket96–75 Mar 18SUP

at Djurgarden84–80 Mar 15SUP

vs Eskilstuna99–88 Mar 4SUP

Djurgarden

9W 6L · last 15

vs Cross Over83–71 Oct 11SUP

at Norrort78–87 Oct 4SUP

at Eskilstuna76–101 Sep 26SUP

vs AIK Basket62–93 Sep 21SUP

vs Huddinge94–86 May 5SUP

at Huddinge74–85 Apr 29SUP

vs IK Eos93–70 Apr 24SUP

at IK Eos78–79 Apr 22SUP

vs Ockelbo82–76 Apr 12SUP

vs Aros Basket94–64 Mar 29SUP

at Fryshuset Basket116–113 OTMar 25SUP

vs Alvik80–84 Mar 15SUP

vs Blackeberg86–80 Mar 8SUP

vs Eskilstuna104–93 OTMar 1SUP

at Eskilstuna95–61 Feb 21SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Alvik

Stats

3–2

Djurgarden

Alvik leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+4.1pp

53.3%

+4.1pp

49.2%

3-point %+0.1pp

31.7%

+0.1pp

31.8%

Free-throw %+0.6pp

68.1%

+0.6pp

67.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.6pp apart

31.7%

0.6pp apart

31.1%

Free throws per shot2.5pp apart

33.7%

2.5pp apart

31.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+4.2

42.9

+4.2

38.7

Turnovers per game1.0 fewer

15.7

1.0 fewer

14.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.