ENBLFinished

Predictions graded

AEL76Fyllingen58

Wed 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions18–772%

Points by period: AEL and Fyllingen.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
AEL	20	14	20	22
Fyllingen	11	17	14	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

AEL's first home European game of the season meets a Fyllingen side that scored 142 and 153 in consecutive Norwegian league wins, then lost by 32.

AEL are the likelier winners, around 83-75 over 40 minutes. Prices are quoted, but with every forecast low on confidence, the evidence is too thin to back one.

Context

AEL come in on four days' rest with a 1-0 group start and home advantage for their European home debut; Fyllingen had three days between their 67-99 league loss at Kongsberg Miners and this game. Scoring and rebounding figures rest on three games for AEL and three ENBL box scores for Fyllingen, and no availability news is established for either squad.

AEL began Group B with a win in Pleven, then had domestic league games against APOEL on 12 October and Enosis Neon Paralimni on 17 October between the two European fixtures. Wednesday's game is their first European night in Limassol this season, and a win would leave them 2-0 in the group before the tougher road trips. The opener was built on a settled starting group, but how that rotation is managed for the European home debut is unclear.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven away in ENBL Round 1 on 6 October.
- The visit of Fyllingen is AEL's first home game in European competition this season, in Round 2.
The record totals came on consecutive days in Norway's top league, first in Trondheim and then in Tønsberg. In Europe, Fyllingen's opening game was a one-point defeat at TalTech, and the trip to Limassol comes against a Cypriot side that won its own ENBL opener. Fyllingen's scoring volume in the BLNO is beyond dispute; whether that output holds against ENBL defences, and on the road in Cyprus, is the unresolved part of the story.
- Fyllingen won 142-61 at Nidaros Jets on 10 October, the highest score in a BLNO regular-season game.
- They scored 153 in a 153-91 win at TNT Towers on 11 October, beating the record set the previous day.
- TalTech beat them 95-94 in Tallinn on ENBL opening night, 23 September.
The club's stated aim is to take every home win available in Group B, and it presented the Fyllingen fixture as central to that push. Two days before tip-off, AEL also set out a three-year plan alongside ENBL CEO Edgars Zanders, showing how heavily the competition sits in its planning. The stated target sets the club's intent; how it shapes the rotation or the approach against Fyllingen is not established.
- AEL set winning all of its home games as the target for reaching the next phase of the ENBL.
- The club announced a press conference with ENBL CEO Edgars Zanders on 19 October to present a three-year vision.
Glover arrived from Bowling Green State, where he averaged 7.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.4 blocks in 2025-26, and was presented as an addition for his rebounding and defensive presence in the paint. Edmonds' exit followed the Nuggets' G League offer, so AEL entered the ENBL campaign with a reworked centre rotation. Against Fyllingen's front line, the size AEL can put inside depends on how that new group is deployed.
- AEL announced the signing of American forward-centre Troy Glover, listed at 2.08m, for the 2026-27 season on 26 September.
- Glover replaced Trey Edmonds III, who accepted an offer to join the Denver Nuggets' G League affiliate.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL win in about 76 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAELEstimated chance75.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen cover +17.5 (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · HandicaplostFyllingen +17.5Estimated chance75.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAELEstimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAEL +1.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonAELEstimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen cover +8.5 in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonFyllingen +8.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostFyllingen +4.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostAELEstimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostAEL -0.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonAELEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonAELEstimated chance57.6%

Points11 of 14 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAEL over 15.5Estimated chance83.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL score fewer than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAEL under 90.5Estimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonFyllingen under 21.5Estimated chance72.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonFyllingen under 21.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAEL under 23.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAEL under 45.5Estimated chance68.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. AEL score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAEL over 19.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. The game has fewer than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 163.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEL and 15 for Fyllingen, across seasons and competitions.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostFyllingen over 35.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. The 1st half has fewer than 81.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 81.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEL 83.4, Fyllingen 74.6. Fyllingen score more than 72.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Across AEL's three 2026-27 games through 17 October they averaged 80.3 points scored and 72.7 conceded.
- Fyllingen's three ENBL games from 23 September to 8 October produced 74.3 points per game, against 81.7 conceded.
- AEL beat Spartak Pleven 79-61 away in the ENBL on 6 October; Fyllingen lost 54-79 at home to the same side on 30 September.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in BLNO wins on 10 and 11 October, then lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 October.
- AEL's current rotation through three box scores has D. Clark at 20.0 points and J. Johnson at 16.7 per game; Fyllingen's has D. Davis at 21.0 and K. Ledoux at 17.3 in three ENBL boxes.
- Fyllingen are 1-2 in ENBL Group B with 223 scored and 245 allowed; AEL are 1-0 after their 79-61 opener.
BetBugs · Team PointslostFyllingen over 72.5Estimated chance58.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 21, 03:51

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

39%

Chance of 164+ points

17 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 39%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

ENBL · ENBL - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

AEL

1–0100%

Fyllingen

1–233%

Recent Form

AEL

8W 7L · last 15

vs Paralimni89–77 Oct 17DIV

at Apoel BC73–80 Oct 12DIV

at Spartak Pleven79–61 Oct 6ENB

at Keravnos60–92 May 2DIV

vs Keravnos87–82 Apr 29DIV

at Keravnos66–86 Apr 25DIV

vs Keravnos81–85 Apr 22DIV

at Keravnos87–80 Apr 18DIV

at AEK Larnaca71–78 Apr 8DIV

at Keravnos58–101 Apr 4DIV

vs Paralimni99–82 Mar 31DIV

at Apollon89–77 Mar 27DIV

vs Apoel BC78–64 Mar 21DIV

at Apollon76–85 Mar 6DIV

vs Achilleas K.76–65 Feb 13DIV

Fyllingen

9W 6L · last 15

at Kongsberg Miners67–99 Oct 18BLN

at TNT Towers153–91 Oct 11BLN

at Nidaros Jets142–61 Oct 10BLN

vs Zrinjski Mostar75–71 Oct 8ENB

vs Spartak Pleven54–79 Sep 30ENB

vs Tromso110–68 Sep 26BLN

at Tal Tech94–95 Sep 23ENB

vs Gimle68–80 Sep 20BLN

vs Gimle80–76 Apr 30BLN

at Gimle89–87 Apr 27BLN

vs Gimle105–107 Apr 23BLN

at Gimle92–89 Apr 21BLN

vs Gimle84–91 Apr 16BLN

vs Centrum Tigers95–90 Mar 31BLN

at Centrum Tigers108–70 Mar 29BLN

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

AEL

Stats

2–3

Fyllingen

3 games

Fyllingen leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+9.4pp

52.4%

+9.4pp

43.0%

3-point %+3.6pp

32.7%

+3.6pp

36.3%

Free-throw %+5.2pp

70.2%

+5.2pp

65.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s13.4pp apart

31.0%

13.4pp apart

44.4%

Free throws per shot11.3pp apart

30.8%

11.3pp apart

19.5%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.9

32.1

+1.9

34.0

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.1

0.8 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.