Champions LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Szombathely85Salon Vilpas72

Tue 20 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–765%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Szombathely and Salon Vilpas.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Szombathely	23	23	16	23
Salon Vilpas	21	21	14	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both clubs lost their Champions League opener, and Szombathely's outside shooting and lower turnover count make them the likelier winner at home, around 94-88 after 40 minutes.

Vilpas are not easy to shake: they scored 92.8 points per game across four Champions League games in 2026. One price stands out: Salon Vilpas to be ahead at the end of 40 minutes at 3.93. Szombathely at 1.35 and 1.33 do not.

Context

Both clubs played domestic league games three to four days earlier, so neither arrives notably fresher. The open question is whether Vilpas can use new guard Jarred Godfrey, whose playing licence was still being processed when he travelled to Hungary on 19 October.

Godfrey, 26, was added to a backcourt built around Leland Walker, who has carried most of Vilpas' scoring so far. The new guard has not been cleared to play, having reached Finland only on 19 October, so the visitors travelled to Hungary without confirmation that he can be used. That leaves Vilpas leaning on Walker and their existing guards for creation in a game they need after a one-basket opening loss at AEK Athens. Godfrey's eligibility may only be settled on match day.
- Vilpas announced the signing of 26-year-old American point guard Jarred Godfrey on 26 September 2026.
- Godfrey has played professionally in Sweden, Germany, Romania, Poland, Lithuania and Lebanon.
- On 19 October the long-awaited guard finally arrived in Salo and immediately set off for Hungary while his playing licence was still being processed.
Walker, 23, came out of the American college game into his rookie professional season and has become Vilpas' main shot creator, with the Athens performance showing he can score against Champions League defenders. Vilpas opened the group with that 95-93 defeat, so a road win in Szombathely would repair their position quickly. Szombathely's perimeter defence will likely key on him, which pushes the visitors to find secondary scoring from their bigs and other guards while the licence for Jarred Godfrey is unresolved.
- Walker had 28 points, 7 assists and 2 steals in Vilpas' 95-93 Champions League defeat at AEK Athens on 7 October.
- He was Vilpas' top scorer in the 81-70 Korisliiga win at Bisons Loimaa on 17 October.
- Walker is a 23-year-old point guard in his first professional season.
Szombathely's league programme sent them to Pécs four days before hosting this game, while Vilpas played a domestic road game in Loimaa with a three-day gap. Both therefore came through a comparable short turnaround rather than one side being rested by design, and neither arrived in Hungary more than a few days before tip-off. Whether either coach managed minutes in those league games is not established, so any freshness edge is speculative.
- Szombathely's Hungarian league round four fixture at NKA Universitas Pécs was set for 18:00 on 16 October.
- The game followed their home league wins against Szeged and Phoenix-MT Fot earlier in the month.
- Vilpas won their Korisliiga game at Bisons Loimaa on 17 October, three days before this tie.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Result after 40 minlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Salon Vilpas

3.93fair 3.40

Market 25.4% · BetBugs 29.4%

+3.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Salon Vilpas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 29 of 100 games like this. Szombathely score heavily at home and, unlike their Hungarian league blowouts, produced 93 in their only Champions League game, while Vilpas have conceded 96 or more in several games and give away more possessions. Vilpas have scored around 93 per game in the Champions League themselves, but Szombathely shoot better from outside and turn the ball over far less, which should leave the hosts a few points clear in a high-scoring game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSzombathely +2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSzombathelyEstimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonSzombathely +1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonSzombathelyEstimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonSzombathelyEstimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonSzombathelyEstimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonSzombathelyEstimated chance55.4%

Points6 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Salon Vilpas score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSalon Vilpas over 18.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSzombathely over 20.5Estimated chance70.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Salon Vilpas score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSalon Vilpas over 83.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. The game has more than 175.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 175.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. The 1st half has more than 87.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 87.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Salon Vilpas score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSalon Vilpas over 41.5Estimated chance63.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely score more than 91.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSzombathely over 91.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. The 1st quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 43.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Salon Vilpas score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSalon Vilpas over 20.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSzombathely over 22.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. Szombathely score more than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSzombathely over 45.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Szombathely 94.3, Salon Vilpas 88.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Szombathely and 15 for Salon Vilpas, across seasons and competitions.
- Szombathely's last five games (3-6 Oct to 16 Oct 2026): 106-78 at Pecs, 96-65 vs Szedeak, 93-99 at Antwerp in the Champions League, 98-74 at OSE Lions, 94-75 vs Phoenix-MT Fot — 97.4 points per game at domestic level, with 93 the one Champions League figure.
- Salon Vilpas' four Champions League games in 2026 (16 Sep-7 Oct): 90-87 at Levice, 90-72 vs Bakken, 98-96 vs Oradea, 93-95 at AEK — 92.8 points per game, so their scoring travels to this level.
- Vilpas' domestic defence has leaked badly: 102 conceded to KTP (14 Oct), 107 to Honka (29 Sep) and 96 to Oradea, and they allow more possession per game through 13.3 turnovers against Szombathely's 9.9 over 15 box-scored games.
- Shooting over 15 games: Szombathely 39.1% from three (154/394) and 77.1% from the line; Vilpas 34.9% from three (125/358) and 76.5% from the line, a clear perimeter gap for the hosts.
- Rebounding is nearly level — Szombathely 36.1 per game, Vilpas 34.3 over the same 15-game sample — so the host's edge is more about shot quality and turnovers than the glass.
- Leland Walker averages 28.9 points in 29.4 minutes across 10 games this season and had 28 points at AEK, making him the main source of Vilpas' offence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 44.5Estimated chance57.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 19:26

Selected line

175.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

68%

Chance of 176+ points

+15 pp above break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 68%.

Move the line main 175.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 68%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 32%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

Champions League · Champions League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Szombathely

0–10%

Salon Vilpas

0–10%

Recent Form

Szombathely

12W 3L · last 15

at NKA Pecs106–78 Oct 16NB

vs Szedeak96–65 Oct 10NB

at Antwerp Giants93–99 Oct 7CL

at OSE Lions98–74 Oct 3NB

vs Phoenix-MT Fot94–75 Sep 26NB

at Szolnoki Olaj113–82 May 27NB

vs Szolnoki Olaj75–81 May 25NB

at Szolnoki Olaj89–78 May 22NB

vs Szolnoki Olaj91–85 May 19NB

at Szolnoki Olaj79–94 May 16NB

vs Kaposvari93–92 May 8NB

at Kaposvari91–81 May 5NB

vs Kaposvari97–79 May 2NB

vs Budapesti Honved Se90–76 Apr 24NB

at Budapesti Honved Se95–82 Apr 21NB

Salon Vilpas

11W 4L · last 15

at Bisons Loimaa81–70 Oct 17KOR

vs KTP Kotka Basket81–102 Oct 14KOR

vs UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95–73 Oct 10KOR

at AEK Athens93–95 Oct 7CL

at Pyrinto Tampere97–79 Oct 3KOR

vs Honka104–107 Sep 29KOR

at Bisons Loimaa101–74 Sep 23SUO

vs CSM Oradea98–96 Sep 20CL

vs Bakken Bears90–72 Sep 18CL

at Levice90–87 Sep 16CL

vs Pyrinto Tampere90–73 Sep 11SUO

vs Kataja100–69 May 19KOR

at Kataja59–75 May 16KOR

vs Kataja90–81 May 14KOR

at Kataja86–79 May 12KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Szombathely

Stats

4–1

Salon Vilpas

Szombathely leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.5pp

55.8%

+0.5pp

56.3%

3-point %+4.2pp

39.1%

+4.2pp

34.9%

Free-throw %+0.6pp

77.1%

+0.6pp

76.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.7pp apart

33.0%

4.7pp apart

28.3%

Free throws per shot3.6pp apart

38.6%

3.6pp apart

35.0%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.8

36.1

+1.8

34.3

Turnovers per game3.4 fewer

9.9

3.4 fewer

13.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.