Pro BFinished

Predictions graded

Rouen76La Rochelle75

Tue 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–862%

Points by period: Rouen and La Rochelle.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Rouen	24	25	20	7
La Rochelle	25	22	7	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 1-3 teams meet with Rouen missing Vincent Vent, who averaged 11.3 points before his stroke on 12 October, while La Rochelle average 90.5 points per game.

The game looks almost even: La Rochelle a fraction ahead, winning about 53 of 100 including overtime. No quoted price stands out at our numbers, and four league games is too thin to back one.

Context

Vent's absence removes 11.3 points per game from Rouen's frontcourt with a replacement signed on 16 October, while La Rochelle have conceded 84 points or more in all four league games this season.

Vent joined Rouen from Orléans in the summer as a 2.06m pivot and opened the season with 11.3 points a game, including 16 in the 85-78 win over Blois on 9 October. Four days later he was struck by a stroke minutes before training; physio Hugo Marie recognised the symptoms and got him to hospital almost immediately, and he left on 14 October without after-effects. Coach Jean-Denys Choulet said that reaction saved his life. Further tests will look for the cause, and Rouen have signed Thomas Hieu-Courtois as a medical replacement instead of setting a return date, so the absence runs into Tuesday's game at the Kindarena.
- Vincent Vent suffered a stroke just before Rouen's training session on 12 October and reached hospital within minutes.
- He left hospital on 14 October with no after-effects, and further tests are planned to establish the cause.
- Rouen said his health and well-being are the club's only priority and that they will not rush his return.
- Vent scored 16 points in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and was averaging 11.3 points in his first three league games.
Vent's absence left Rouen without the interior scorer who had opened the season with 11.3 points a game, so the club used the medical-joker route within four days rather than waiting on his recovery. Hieu-Courtois already knows the French championship, and that familiarity is why the staff expect him to be usable quickly. Because the signing was completed on the day of the Nantes game, he has had very little time with the group, so how many minutes he takes at the Kindarena depends on his condition and the rotation plan rather than on a settled role.
- Rouen announced on 16 October that Thomas Hieu-Courtois joins as a medical replacement for Vincent Vent.
- The deal was completed two days after Vent left hospital and on the day Rouen played their fourth-round game at Nantes.
- Hieu-Courtois arrives with a strong knowledge of the French championship, which the club expects to shorten his adaptation.
La Rochelle's staff altered the starting five for the Blois trip, and the game broke open after half-time: the hosts moved 77-64 clear by the end of the third quarter and finished on 102. Jimmy Boeheim, Bensley Joseph and Alexis Yetna all featured, so the switch came with the main rotation available rather than from an obvious hole in the lineup. Whether the same five opens at the Kindarena is unclear, because the club has not explained the change, and the make-up of Tuesday's first unit remains open.
- La Rochelle changed their starting five for the 16 October game at Blois.
- Blois led 77-64 at the end of the third quarter and closed out a 102-89 win.
- Jimmy Boeheim, Bensley Joseph and Alexis Yetna all featured in the La Rochelle lineup that night.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rouen and 15 for La Rochelle, across seasons and competitions.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLa Rochelle +4.5Estimated chance74.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle cover +7.5 (overtime included) in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · HandicapwonLa Rochelle +7.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonLa Rochelle +4.5Estimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonLa Rochelle +1.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rouen and 15 for La Rochelle, across seasons and competitions.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostLa Rochelle +1.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle win in about 53 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLa RochelleEstimated chance52.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 50 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostLa RochelleEstimated chance50.2%

Points9 of 14 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. Rouen score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rouen and 15 for La Rochelle, across seasons and competitions.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRouen over 17.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rouen and 15 for La Rochelle, across seasons and competitions.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 47.5Estimated chance73.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · Team PointslostLa Rochelle over 82.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonLa Rochelle over 40.5Estimated chance66.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rouen and 15 for La Rochelle, across seasons and competitions.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle under 23.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 83.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. Rouen score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · Team PointswonRouen under 89.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle over 20.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. La Rochelle score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonLa Rochelle over 20.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. Rouen score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostRouen under 44.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. Rouen score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostRouen under 22.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. Rouen score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostRouen under 22.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. The game has more than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 171.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rouen 86.1, La Rochelle 86.9. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Pro B 2026-27: Rouen average 83.5 scored and 88.3 conceded over four games (to 16 October); La Rochelle average 90.5 scored and 94.3 conceded over four games, allowing 84+ in every one.
- Shooting from 13-14 box scores this season: La Rochelle 55.8% on two-pointers and 36.2% on threes; Rouen 53.0% and 31.4%, with Rouen compensating at the line (78.6% free throws vs 75.2%).
- Rouen average 30.6 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers per game against La Rochelle's 26.2 rebounds and 13.6 turnovers, a modest board edge for the home side.
- Rouen lose Vincent Vent (11.3 points per game, 16 in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October) after his stroke on 12 October; Thomas Hieu-Courtois was signed as cover on 16 October.
- Head-to-head 2025-26: Rouen won both meetings, 85-77 at home (19 September 2025) and 83-80 in La Rochelle (7 April 2026), though both squads have changed since.
- Both teams are 1-3 in the current table, 16th and 17th, on four-game samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 12:46

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

56%

Chance of 172+ points

1 pp below break-even

Over 1.76 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 56%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 56%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 44%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W80–83

La Rochellev Rouen

Rouen

Apr 7, 2026·PRO

W85–77

Rouenv

La Rochelle

Sep 19, 2025·PRO

L61–70

Rouenv

La Rochelle

May 28, 2024·PRO

L73–70

La Rochellev Rouen

Rouen

May 25, 2024·PRO

L79–66

La Rochellev Rouen

Rouen

Feb 2, 2024·PRO

W110–67

Rouenv

La Rochelle

Jan 13, 2024·PRO

153.5Avg total points

13.2Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Pro B · Elite 2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Rouen

1–325%

La Rochelle

1–325%

Recent Form

Rouen

9W 6L · last 15

at Nantes78–83 Oct 16PRO

vs Ada Blois85–78 Oct 9PRO

at Orleans74–91 Oct 3PRO

vs Vichy97–101 OTSep 25PRO

at Le Havre73–74 Sep 15FRE

vs Challans98–77 May 15PRO

at Orleans84–72 May 9PRO

at Denain-Voltaire93–78 Apr 30PRO

vs Ada Blois84–67 Apr 28PRO

vs Poitiers88–90 Apr 24PRO

at ASA79–76 Apr 21PRO

at Evreux76–78 Apr 10PRO

at La Rochelle83–80 Apr 7PRO

vs Antibes90–82 Apr 3PRO

vs Quimper90–69 Mar 27PRO

La Rochelle

5W 10L · last 15

at Ada Blois89–102 Oct 16PRO

vs St. Chamond81–84 Oct 9PRO

at Hyeres-Toulon97–103 Oct 2PRO

vs ASA95–88 Sep 25PRO

at Toulouse82–87 Sep 15FRE

vs Chalons-Reims69–90 May 22PRO

at Nantes89–107 May 19PRO

vs St. Chamond87–76 May 15PRO

at Ada Blois67–86 May 9PRO

vs Evreux81–80 Apr 30PRO

at Vichy70–73 Apr 24PRO

vs Orleans84–77 Apr 21PRO

at Caen92–74 Apr 17PRO

vs Nantes88–98 Apr 10PRO

vs Rouen80–83 Apr 7PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rouen

14 games

Stats

3–2

La Rochelle

13 games

Rouen leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.8pp

53.0%

+2.8pp

55.8%

3-point %+4.8pp

31.4%

+4.8pp

36.2%

Free-throw %+3.4pp

78.6%

+3.4pp

75.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.7pp apart

26.8%

4.7pp apart

31.5%

Free throws per shot8.1pp apart

42.8%

8.1pp apart

34.7%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+4.4

30.6

+4.4

26.2

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.8

0.8 fewer

13.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.