Liga UPCFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Rogaska62KK Krka Novo mesto97

Tue 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–1055%

Edges0–20%

Points by period: Rogaska and KK Krka Novo mesto.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Rogaska	14	24	16	8
KK Krka Novo mesto	27	16	26	28

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Krka are 4-0 domestically and have won the last five meetings by 23.2 points on average, so a comfortable away win is the plain read.

Two days after facing Crvena zvezda in the ABA League, though, they may not run away early, which is where the prices sit. Rogaska with a 4.5-point first-quarter start at 2 and Krka under 22.5 first-quarter points at 1.72 both hold up; Krka over 85.5 for the game at 1.77 does not.

Context

A clear gap in domestic form and in the recent head-to-head, with Krka's two-day turnaround after facing Crvena zvezda the main sporting uncertainty.

Rogaška opened the domestic campaign with three defeats, including a home loss to Gorica, and arrived in Kranj without a league win. They edged ECE Triglav 74-72 in a tight fourth quarter, and Damjan Novaković described the result as important afterwards. The victory lifts the pressure of a winless start heading into a home game against Krka, although one road win in a scrappy game does not by itself show that Rogaška can live with the stronger teams in the league.
- Rogaška had lost three consecutive league games before travelling to Kranj on 16 October.
- They beat ECE Triglav 74-72 in a tense finish to record their first league win of the 2026/27 season.
- Coach Damjan Novaković called the away win an important one for his team.
The American guard was Rogaška's main shot creator in Kranj, taking 14 field-goal attempts, hitting four three-pointers and playing 31 minutes. His 12 first-quarter points kept the visitors in contact before the close finish, and his scoring covered for a low-scoring night elsewhere in the rotation. Rogaška need comparable shot-making at home against Krka; the open question is whether that efficient evening reflects a settled leading role or a single hot shooting night.
- Benjamin scored 12 of his 27 points in the opening quarter in Kranj.
- He made 10 of 14 field-goal attempts, including four of seven from three-point range, across 31 minutes.
Krka combine the ABA League with the domestic championship, and round four against Crvena zvezda, a EuroLeague club, came on 18 October, 48 hours before this Liga OTP banka match. Their season so far has been split between continental opposition and Slovenian fixtures, which puts the coaching staff in charge of managing minutes across two competitions. Krka have not stated whether anyone will be rested or the rotation shortened for the domestic game, so the size of the effect on available minutes remains uncertain.
- Krka's round-four ABA League meeting with Crvena zvezda fell on 18 October.
- The club arranged its post-match media commitments for that game on the same day.
- The Liga OTP banka game against Rogaška follows on 20 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter HandicaplostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Rogaska +4.5

2.00fair 1.78

Market 50% · BetBugs 56.3%

+6.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Krka have been clearly the better domestic team, shoot more efficiently and turn the ball over less, and they have won the recent meetings by wide margins. Rogaska's low home scoring and soft home defense point to roughly 70 points, while Krka's short turnaround after the ABA game keeps their total below their domestic average.

1st Quarter Team PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

KK Krka Novo mesto under 22.5

1.72fair 1.60

Market 58.1% · BetBugs 62.5%

+4.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Krka have been clearly the better domestic team, shoot more efficiently and turn the ball over less, and they have won the recent meetings by wide margins. Rogaska's low home scoring and soft home defense point to roughly 70 points, while Krka's short turnaround after the ABA game keeps their total below their domestic average.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto win in about 87 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance86.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 85 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance85.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance77.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonKK Krka Novo mesto -0.5Estimated chance77.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostKK Krka Novo mesto -0.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto cover -1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonKK Krka Novo mesto -1.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska cover +16.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · HandicaplostRogaska +16.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostRogaska +4.5Estimated chance56.3%

Points5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonKK Krka Novo mesto over 35.5Estimated chance83.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonRogaska under 40.5Estimated chance79.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto over 17.5Estimated chance78.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostRogaska under 20.5Estimated chance74.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. The 1st half has more than 71.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 71.5Estimated chance69.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. Rogaska score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRogaska under 19.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 40.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.72
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto under 22.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rogaska and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto under 21.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rogaska 69.8, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.9. The 1st quarter has fewer than 39.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 4-0 in Liga OTP banka through 18 October 2026, averaging 84.8 points scored and 66.5 conceded; Rogaska are 1-3 at 66.3 scored and 82.8 conceded.
- Rogaska lost both home league games this season: 67-80 to Gorica on 10 October and 75-92 to Sencur on 26 September, conceding 86.0 per home game.
- Krka won the last five meetings between the teams, from 3 November 2025 to 21 April 2026, by an average of 23.2 points (93.4 to 70.2).
- Across 15 box scores Krka shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 78.2% on free throws and average 11.5 turnovers; Rogaska across 13 box scores shoot 53.2%, 67.2% and average 14.8 turnovers.
- Rogaska average 35.0 rebounds per game to Krka's 31.1 across those same box-score samples, giving them a rebounding advantage.
- Krka played an ABA League game against Crvena zvezda on 18 October, 48 hours before this fixture, while Rogaska last played on 16 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 39.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 03:34

Selected line

154.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

49%

Chance of 155+ points

8 pp below break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 49%.

Move the line main 154.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 49%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 51%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L92–75

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Apr 21, 2026·LIG

L98–74

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Jan 20, 2026·LIG

L97–69

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Jan 6, 2026·SLO

L53–89

Rogaskav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Dec 30, 2025·SLO

L80–91

Rogaskav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Nov 3, 2025·LIG

W89–83

Rogaskav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Jan 29, 2025·LIG

L97–67

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Nov 13, 2024·LIG

L116–59

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Mar 13, 2024·LIG

L72–85

Rogaskav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Feb 15, 2024·SLO

L82–76

KK Krka Novo mestov Rogaska

Rogaska

Jan 16, 2024·LIG

164.4Avg total points

22.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga UPC · Liga OTP banka - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Rogaska

1–325%

KK Krka Novo mesto

4–0100%

Recent Form

Rogaska

6W 9L · last 15

at KK Triglav Kranj74–72 Oct 16LIG

vs Gorica67–80 Oct 10LIG

at Celje79–59 Oct 6SLO

at Polzela49–87 Oct 3LIG

vs Sencur75–92 Sep 26LIG

at Zlatorog Lasko76–80 May 4LIG

vs Helios Domzale97–79 Apr 30LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto75–92 Apr 21LIG

vs KK Triglav Kranj96–94 OTApr 18LIG

vs Terme Olimia Podčetrtek106–73 Apr 13LIG

at Polzela94–99 OTApr 6LIG

at Tajfun Sentjur87–82 Mar 28LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija83–84 Mar 16LIG

at Sencur78–79 Mar 9LIG

at Sencur61–82 Feb 14LIG

KK Krka Novo mesto

8W 7L · last 15

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet78–97 Oct 18ABA

vs Helios Domzale92–68 Oct 14LIG

vs FMP Beograd68–79 Oct 11ABA

at Perspektiva Ilirija83–82 Oct 7LIG

vs Buducnost72–77 Oct 2ABA

vs Zlatorog Lasko77–61 Sep 29LIG

vs Tajfun Sentjur87–55 Sep 22LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija71–67 Sep 17SUP

vs Cedevita Olimpija71–87 Jun 1LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija74–91 May 30LIG

vs Cedevita Olimpija89–90 OTMay 27LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija97–74 May 23LIG

at Perspektiva Ilirija89–105 May 21LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija94–80 May 18LIG

at Polzela86–80 May 10LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rogaska

13 games

Stats

1–4

KK Krka Novo mesto

KK Krka Novo mesto leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+2.6pp

53.2%

+2.6pp

55.8%

3-point %+0.3pp

31.1%

+0.3pp

31.4%

Free-throw %+11.0pp

67.2%

+11.0pp

78.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.9pp apart

28.5%

0.9pp apart

29.4%

Free throws per shot1.3pp apart

40.0%

1.3pp apart

38.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.9

35.0

+3.9

31.1

Turnovers per game3.3 fewer

14.8

3.3 fewer

11.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.