Champions LeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Cibona77Legia95

Tue 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–1436%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Cibona and Legia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Cibona	22	20	12	23
Legia	26	21	19	29

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Cibona opened Group B with 96 points against Galatasaray while Legia were losing 100-62 at Strasbourg, so a home win is the likely outcome, somewhere near 90-81 after 40 minutes.

The counterweight is Cibona's two straight home league defeats, the latest 95-94 to Borac after leading by three with ten minutes left. Over 167.5 combined points at 1.94 is the price worth taking; under 167.5 at 1.86 is not.

Context

Cibona have averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, while Legia have averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games. That points one way, but Cibona's three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded, both teams last played on 16 October, and no availability news is established.

Cibona led Borac 79-76 after three quarters in Zagreb on 16 October and conceded 19 points in the last ten minutes as Roy closed the game from deep and at the rim. Four days earlier Slovan Bratislava left the same building with a 90-82 win. That is two home league defeats in five days for a side whose European form has been far better, and it sets a clear pattern: Cibona score enough to lead but have not protected the advantage in the closing minutes. Legia arrive after a 73-72 domestic win and will try to keep the game within one possession into the fourth quarter, where Cibona's late-game execution has been the weak point. How Cibona defend the three-point line in the final five minutes is the specific question.
- Borac beat Cibona 95-94 in Zagreb on 16 October, completing a last-quarter comeback.
- Cibona led 79-76 after three quarters before Borac's closing run.
- Anthony Roy made eight three-pointers for Borac, two of them at the buzzer, and finished the game with the winning basket.
- Slovan Bratislava had won 90-82 in the same arena four days earlier, their first ABA League away win.
The 96-76 win over Galatasaray is the strongest evidence of what Cibona can do at home in this competition: 96 points against a Turkish side with a far bigger budget, in a packed Dražen Petrović arena on the club's first European night in a decade. It sits awkwardly beside the two ABA defeats that followed in the same building, where Cibona scored 82 and 94. The contrast matters for this fixture because Legia's defence conceded 100 points in Strasbourg and has been the softest part of their start. If Cibona's perimeter shooting travels from the Galatasaray night, the home side can dictate the tempo; the uncertainty is which version of their offence shows up four days after another league loss.
- Cibona beat Galatasaray 96-76 in Zagreb on 6 October in their first Champions League game of the season.
- The match was Cibona's return to European competition after ten years away.
- Biserka Petrović was courtside holding the jerseys of her sons Dražen and Aleksandar in the arena named after Dražen Petrović.
Legia conceded 100 points at the Rhenus and scored 62, their heaviest defeat of the season so far, with the game gone by half-time. Strasbourg shared the scoring across six players and N'Doye dominated in only 20 minutes, which points at a Legia defence that could not contain dribble penetration or the pick-and-roll. The response was a scrappier 73-72 domestic win over Anwil, so this away trip tests whether the Strasbourg night was an outlier or a structural problem. Cibona scored 96 in their opener and have guards who shoot from deep, so Legia's point-of-attack defence and transition coverage are the areas to watch.
- Strasbourg beat Legia 100-62 on 6 October in the first round of the Champions League group phase.
- Strasbourg led by 14 at half-time and by 25 after three quarters.
- Six Strasbourg players scored in double figures, with Abdoulaye N'Doye posting a 30 efficiency rating in 20 minutes.
Daniels and Freemantle carried almost all of Legia's scoring weight against Anwil, combining for 38 points and 19 rebounds in a game decided by a single possession. It was the club's seventh consecutive win over Anwil and their first victory after the 100-62 collapse in Strasbourg and the 104-87 league loss at Zastal, so it stopped a slide but did not settle questions about the offence's balance. Legia's reliance on two scorers is directly relevant here: Cibona can load up on Daniels if the supporting shooters stay cold, and the home side's own late-game problems mean Legia may only need one clean closing run to take the game.
- Legia beat Anwil 73-72 in Warsaw on 16 October.
- Arguster Daniels finished with 22 points, seven rebounds and four assists, and Zach Freemantle added 16 points and 12 rebounds.
- Anwil cut a seven-point deficit to one in the closing seconds but ran out of time.
- It was Legia's seventh straight win over Anwil and followed a 104-87 league defeat at Zastal Zielona Góra on 9 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 167.5

1.94fair 1.64

Market 51.5% · BetBugs 61%

+9.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Cibona's home scoring and Legia's road defense point to the home side in the low 90s, while Legia's 76.0 away scoring and Cibona's 86.3 home concession leave the visitors around 80. Cibona's two recent home ABA defeats are a warning, but their Champions League opener was far stronger than Legia's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCibonaEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostCibonaEstimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostCibonaEstimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostCibona +0.5Estimated chance68.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostCibona +0.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona cover -5.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · HandicaplostCibona -5.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostCibonaEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostCibona -2.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostCibonaEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostCibonaEstimated chance58.4%

Points8 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonCibona over 19.5Estimated chance75.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · Team PointslostCibona over 86.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona score more than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostCibona over 43.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Legia score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLegia under 21.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.94
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 167.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Legia score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLegia under 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 83.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonCibona over 21.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The 1st quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. Cibona score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostCibona over 21.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cibona 90.5, Legia 81.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cibona and 15 for Legia, across seasons and competitions.
- Cibona averaged 93.0 points and conceded 86.3 in four home games this season through 16 October, including 96-76 against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
- Cibona's eight current-season games average 87.6 scored and 83.1 conceded, but their three ABA League games average 84.0 scored and 91.3 conceded through 16 October.
- Legia averaged 76.0 points and conceded 93.3 in three away games this season, including a 62-100 Champions League defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October.
- Legia's six current-season games average 84.0 scored and 89.5 conceded; their 73-72 home win over Anwil on 16 October was decided by one possession.
- Across 14 tracked box scores Cibona shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 35.9% on three-pointers; Legia shoot 53.6% and 34.7% across 15, with Legia rebounding slightly more (34.2 to 32.6) but turning it over more (12.1 to 10.9).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance55%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 19:26

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

61%

Chance of 168+ points

+9 pp above break-even

Over 1.94 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

Champions League · Champions League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Cibona

1–0100%

Legia

0–10%

Recent Form

Cibona

9W 6L · last 15

vs Borac Mozzart94–95 Oct 16ABA

at Skrljevo96–89 Oct 14PRE

vs Slovan Bratislava82–90 Oct 12ABA

at Samobor73–64 Oct 9PRE

vs Galatasaray96–76 Oct 6CL

at Cedevita Olimpija76–89 Oct 3ABA

vs Zabok100–84 Sep 30PRE

at Alkar84–78 Sep 27PRE

at Zadar82–75 Jun 10PRE

vs Zadar73–67 Jun 7PRE

vs Zadar70–87 Jun 5PRE

at Zadar57–92 Jun 2PRE

at Zadar74–72 May 31PRE

vs Split78–76 May 28PRE

at Split78–83 May 25PRE

Legia

10W 5L · last 15

vs Anwil Wloclawek73–72 Oct 16ENE

at Zielona Gora87–104 Oct 9ENE

at Strasbourg62–100 Oct 6CL

at Czarni Slupsk79–76 Oct 2ENE

vs Zielona Gora110–96 Sep 27SUP

vs Trefl Sopot93–89 Sep 26SUP

vs Zielona Gora78–70 Jun 21ENE

at Zielona Gora74–76 Jun 19ENE

vs Zielona Gora84–80 Jun 17ENE

at Zielona Gora73–85 Jun 15ENE

at Zielona Gora79–63 Jun 13ENE

vs Zielona Gora104–82 Jun 10ENE

vs Zielona Gora74–77 Jun 8ENE

at Dziki Warszawa91–78 Jun 1ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa78–76 May 29ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Cibona

Stats

2–3

Legia

Legia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %14/15 games+0.4pp

53.2%

+0.4pp

53.6%

3-point %14/15 games+1.2pp

35.9%

+1.2pp

34.7%

Free-throw %14/15 games+0.6pp

66.2%

+0.6pp

66.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games0.4pp apart

32.3%

0.4pp apart

32.7%

Free throws per shot14/15 games8.9pp apart

30.3%

8.9pp apart

39.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game14/15 games+1.6

32.6

+1.6

34.2

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

10.9

1.2 fewer

12.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.