EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Balkan57Lietkabelis64

Tue 20 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–476%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Balkan and Lietkabelis.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Balkan	10	15	20	12
Lietkabelis	13	20	16	15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and host a Lietkabelis side with two wins from three, so the question is whether home rebounding and a strong Bulgarian league run can offset a European defence conceding 89.3 points a game.

Lietkabelis should win by around seven points. The third quarter to go over 38.5 combined points at 1.91 and Lietkabelis to cover -4.5 at 1.83 both offer something.

Context

Balkan return four days after a domestic win but have conceded 98, 101 and 77 in three EuroCup games; Lietkabelis arrive on three days' rest after a one-point LKL win and have scored 85.7 points per EuroCup game. Both teams' league form sits at a different level from this competition.

Balkan's EuroCup results have swung wildly. They gave up 98 points at Ulm, then conceded 101 at home to Bahcesehir while scoring only 21 in the first half, before taking Roma to overtime in Rome and losing by five. Hosting Lietkabelis four days after the Roma trip, Balkan have shown both an ability to compete with a EuroLeague-calibre roster and a tendency to be blown out when the game opens up. Which version shows up, and whether the heavy defeats reflect anything beyond one bad half against Bahcesehir, is the open question.
- Balkan Botevgrad lost 60-101 at home to Bahcesehir Koleji on 7 October in the EuroCup.
- Bahcesehir led 21-53 at half-time and 41-82 after three quarters.
- Balkan's EuroCup opener ended in a 98-84 defeat at ratiopharm Ulm on 30 September.
- Roma needed overtime to beat Balkan 77-72 in Rome on 13 October.
Lietkabelis beat a PAOK side built around Cedi Osman by nine points, three days after a third straight domestic defeat, and have now won two of their first three EuroCup games under coach Nenad Čanak. Schumacher carried the scoring with 23, and the win came without the team needing a big night from its frontcourt. The trip to a winless Balkan side is a different test: whether Schumacher's production travels and whether Čanak keeps the same rotation on the road is the specific uncertainty.
- Lietkabelis beat PAOK 95-86 in Panevėžys on 13 October in EuroCup round three.
- Alex Schumacher scored 23 points, the highest tally in the game.
- Cedi Osman led PAOK with 17 points.
Lietkabelis' domestic and European form have diverged: three straight LKL losses, the last of them at home to Jonava by six points, then 95 points and a nine-point EuroCup win over PAOK three days later. Février's 17 points and perfect outside shooting were not enough against Jonava, so the shortfall came elsewhere in that game rather than from his own scoring. The four-day gap between the Jonava defeat and the Balkan fixture is the reference point for how much the league results have spilled over into Europe.
- Lietkabelis lost 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October, a third consecutive LKL defeat.
- Ivan Février scored 17 points and made all four of his three-point attempts in that game.
- The Jonava defeat came three days before Lietkabelis beat PAOK 95-86 in the EuroCup.
Balkan's domestic fixture on 16 October leaves four days before the EuroCup meeting with Lietkabelis on 20 October, so the hosts arrive with a win behind them rather than a longer break. Chomche's 7-of-9 inside shooting against Levski Sofia was his strongest league return of the young season and gives Balkan an interior option that was not available in the 60-101 defeat by Bahcesehir, when the game was gone by half-time and the rotation changed early.
- Balkan beat Levski Sofia in the Bulgarian league on 16 October.
- Ulrich Chomche made 7 of 9 two-point attempts and missed his only free throw in that win.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

3rd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 38.5

1.91fair 1.65

Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60.7%

+8.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Balkan's domestic wins have come at a lower NBL level, while their EuroCup games show 71.0 points scored and 89.3 conceded per game; Lietkabelis have scored 85.7 per EuroCup game and hold the clearer current form and table position. Balkan's rebounding and home venue should keep them competitive, but Lietkabelis' balanced scoring and better ball security point to a road win in the mid-80s.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Lietkabelis -4.5

1.83fair 1.70

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 58.8%

+4.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Balkan's domestic wins have come at a lower NBL level, while their EuroCup games show 71.0 points scored and 89.3 conceded per game; Lietkabelis have scored 85.7 per EuroCup game and hold the clearer current form and table position. Balkan's rebounding and home venue should keep them competitive, but Lietkabelis' balanced scoring and better ball security point to a road win in the mid-80s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Balkan cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Balkan and 15 for Lietkabelis, across seasons and competitions.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBalkan +5.5Estimated chance71%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis win in about 71 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLietkabelisEstimated chance70.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Balkan and 15 for Lietkabelis, across seasons and competitions.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLietkabelis +1.5Estimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonLietkabelisEstimated chance68.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonLietkabelisEstimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonLietkabelisEstimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · HandicapwonLietkabelis -4.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonLietkabelisEstimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonLietkabelis -2.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostLietkabelisEstimated chance55.3%

Points4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLietkabelis over 19.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 38.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Lietkabelis score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Team PointslostLietkabelis over 83.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Balkan score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBalkan under 20.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Balkan score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBalkan under 40.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Balkan score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBalkan over 18.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Balkan 78.4, Lietkabelis 85.3. Balkan score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Balkan are 0-3 in the EuroCup and have scored 71.0 points per game while allowing 89.3 in regulation over those three games (30 September-13 October), including a 60-101 home loss to Bahcesehir on 7 October.
- Lietkabelis are 2-1 in the EuroCup, averaging 85.7 points scored and 83.3 allowed over three games, with a 95-86 home win over PAOK on 13 October and an 87-92 loss at Roma on 7 October.
- Balkan's domestic form is much stronger but at a lower level: they scored 101, 91 and 94 in three NBL/Super Cup games, most recently beating Levski 101-83 on 16 October.
- Lietkabelis have gone 2-4 in the LKL this season, including 65-71 at home to Jonava on 10 October and 68-97 at Zalgiris on 4 October; they average 72.7 points in three away LKL games.
- Over 15 games, Balkan average 34.5 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers while shooting 54.3% on two-pointers; Lietkabelis average 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers while shooting 52.4% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBalkan under 20.5Estimated chance56.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 12:46

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

50%

Chance of 165+ points

5 pp below break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 50%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Balkan

0–30%

Lietkabelis

2–167%

Recent Form

Balkan

10W 5L · last 15

vs Levski101–83 Oct 16NBL

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vs Bahcesehir Kol.60–101 Oct 7EUR

vs Cherno More94–71 Oct 3SUP

at Ulm84–98 Sep 30EUR

vs Lok. Plovdiv81–80 Jun 5NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv78–84 Jun 1NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv77–82 May 30NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv94–89 OTMay 27NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv88–73 May 25NBL

at Cherno More77–59 May 14NBL

vs Cherno More80–78 May 11NBL

vs Cherno More91–89 May 9NBL

at Minyor103–83 May 1NBL

Lietkabelis

6W 9L · last 15

at Nevezis73–72 Oct 17LKL

vs PAOK95–86 Oct 13EUR

vs Jonava65–71 Oct 10LKL

at BC Roma87–92 Oct 7EUR

at Zalgiris Kaunas68–97 Oct 4LKL

vs KK Bosna75–72 Sep 30EUR

vs Taurage85–79 Sep 26LKL

at Siauliai77–86 Sep 23LKL

vs Juventus84–82 Sep 19LKL

vs Neptunas82–91 Jun 13LKL

at Neptunas63–66 Jun 11LKL

vs Neptunas80–68 Jun 8LKL

at Neptunas73–86 Jun 6LKL

at Zalgiris Kaunas93–103 May 31LKL

vs Zalgiris Kaunas75–95 May 28LKL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Balkan

Stats

2–3

Lietkabelis

Lietkabelis leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+1.9pp

54.3%

+1.9pp

52.4%

3-point %+1.8pp

32.6%

+1.8pp

34.4%

Free-throw %12/12 games+0.4pp

69.9%

+0.4pp

70.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.9pp apart

32.4%

1.9pp apart

34.3%

Free throws per shot12/12 games4.7pp apart

34.5%

4.7pp apart

29.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+6.2

34.5

+6.2

28.3

Turnovers per game1.7 fewer

13.5

1.7 fewer

11.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.