Canal Digital LigaenFinished

Predictions graded

Vejen82Team FOG Naestved107

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions19–579%

Points by period: Vejen and Team FOG Naestved.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Vejen	20	23	15	24
Team FOG Naestved	22	26	31	28

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Naestved arrive 5-0 in the league, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 conceded over five games; Vejen are 2-3, scoring 80.8 and conceding 91.6.

The expected score lands near 98-76 to Naestved, and the winner is clear in ordinary terms. No price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Naestved are unbeaten in five league games and hold a rebounding edge of 40.6 to 31.0 across the last 15 box scores for each side, while Vejen have scored 60 and 72 in two of their three home league games. No availability or fitness news changes the picture.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result11 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved win in about 96 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance96.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 96 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance95.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 90 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance89.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTeam FOG Naestved -1.5Estimated chance78.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance75.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen cover +18.5 in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVejen +18.5Estimated chance72.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen cover +30.5 (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · HandicapwonVejen +30.5Estimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonTeam FOG NaestvedEstimated chance72.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved cover -1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTeam FOG Naestved -1.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen cover +7.5 in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonVejen +7.5Estimated chance61.4%

Points8 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved score fewer than 27.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTeam FOG Naestved under 27.5Estimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved score fewer than 105.5 points (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · Team PointslostTeam FOG Naestved under 105.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved score fewer than 54.5 points in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTeam FOG Naestved under 54.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved score fewer than 27.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTeam FOG Naestved under 27.5Estimated chance72.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Team FOG Naestved score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTeam FOG Naestved over 22.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostVejen under 20.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. The 1st quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 46.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. The game has fewer than 180.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 180.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. The 1st half has fewer than 90.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 90.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Vejen and 15 for Team FOG Naestved, across seasons and competitions.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonVejen under 20.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Vejen 75.6, Team FOG Naestved 98.4. Vejen score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Team FOG Naestved are 5-0 in Basketligaen through 18 October 2026, averaging 102.2 points scored and 66.6 allowed over those five games.
- Vejen are 2-3 in Basketligaen, averaging 80.8 scored and 91.6 allowed; at home this season they scored 72, 92 and 60 in three games (16 Oct, 8 Oct, 24 Sep).
- Naestved have two 117-point games this season (at BMS Herlev on 10 October, home to Holbaek-Stenhus on 24 September) but were held to 86 in a three-point home win over Svendborg on 15 October.
- Across 15 box scores each, Naestved average 40.6 rebounds to Vejen's 31.0, while turnovers are close (15.1 vs 15.9).
- Naestved won both 2025-26 meetings: 118-73 at Vejen on 28 September 2025 and 103-81 at home on 4 January 2026, a small two-game sample from older rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVejen over 35.5Estimated chance59.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 15:13

Selected line

180.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

35%

Chance of 181+ points

20 pp below break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 35%.

Move the line main 180.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 35%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 65%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L103–81

Team FOG Naestvedv Vejen

Vejen

Jan 4, 2026·BAS

L73–118

Vejenv

Team FOG Naestved

Sep 28, 2025·BAS

187.5Avg total points

33.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Canal Digital Ligaen · Basketligaen - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Vejen

2–340%

Team FOG Naestved

5–0100%

Recent Form

Vejen

9W 6L · last 15

vs Gladsaxe72–89 Oct 16BAS

vs Vaerlose92–80 Oct 8BAS

at Svendborg74–102 Oct 2BAS

at BMS Herlev106–95 Sep 26BAS

vs Bears Academy60–92 Sep 24BAS

at Bears Academy80–91 Apr 21BAS

vs Holbaek-Stenhus83–103 Apr 17BAS

at BMS Herlev110–89 Apr 11BAS

vs Vaerlose86–83 Apr 8BAS

at Amager107–85 Apr 1BAS

vs Amager82–84 Mar 29BAS

at Holbaek-Stenhus93–90 Mar 21BAS

vs Herlev Wolfpack68–66 Mar 15BAS

vs Bears Academy93–91 Mar 11BAS

at Vaerlose92–79 Mar 7BAS

Team FOG Naestved

10W 5L · last 15

vs Svendborg86–83 Oct 15BAS

at BMS Herlev117–55 Oct 10BAS

vs Copenhagen90–66 Sep 30BAS

at Horsens101–73 Sep 27BAS

vs Holbaek-Stenhus117–56 Sep 24BAS

vs Bakken Bears81–87 May 25BAS

at Bakken Bears86–98 May 21BAS

vs Bakken Bears81–91 May 18BAS

at Bakken Bears93–92 OTMay 14BAS

at Svendborg95–80 May 7BAS

vs Svendborg111–87 May 4BAS

at Svendborg75–63 Apr 30BAS

vs Svendborg88–101 Apr 27BAS

at Horsens82–103 Apr 20BAS

at Copenhagen104–98 OTApr 17BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Vejen

Stats

1–4

Team FOG Naestved

Team FOG Naestved leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.7pp

57.8%

+0.7pp

58.5%

3-point %+2.8pp

32.2%

+2.8pp

29.4%

Free-throw %+1.7pp

66.7%

+1.7pp

68.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.2pp apart

24.0%

0.2pp apart

24.2%

Free throws per shot1.5pp apart

34.6%

1.5pp apart

36.1%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+9.6

31.0

+9.6

40.6

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

15.9

0.8 fewer

15.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.