LBPFinished

Predictions graded

Toros del Valle107Caribbean Storm Islands71

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions14–767%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Toros del Valle and Caribbean Storm Islands.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Toros del Valle	29	24	30	24
Caribbean Storm Islands	11	19	24	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Toros del Valle, 7-1 in Clausura Group B, face a Caribbean Storm side that is 2-8 and has lost the two October meetings by 57 and 20 points.

Toros should win, likely by a wide margin, but the first-half question is live: Caribbean with a 16.5-point start in the first half at 1.81 is the one quoted price that offers an edge. Under 156.5 combined points at 1.75 does not.

Context

Toros' form and shooting edge are decisive on paper, but Caribbean's two wins over Sabios this month and the possibility Toros rest regulars keep some uncertainty around the margin.

Toros del Valle had already beaten Paisas twice in three days at the Evangelista Mora, 91-89 and then 78-74, when the second result confirmed them as Conference B winners and sent them straight to the semifinals. With first place secured, the last two regular-season games, both at home against Caribbean Storm on consecutive days, no longer decide their playoff route, so the coaching staff may spread minutes across the pair and protect key players. The five that starts this game could therefore differ from the strongest lineup, and Toros have won every home game this season with the rotation they have used so far. Whether they actually rest anyone is unconfirmed.
- Toros del Valle beat Paisas 91-89 at the Evangelista Mora in Cali on 15 October.
- The rematch ended 78-74 to Toros, completing the home double.
- Those two wins secured first place in Conference B and direct entry to the semifinals.
- Toros have won every home game they have played this season.
Caribbean Storm's second win of the season came against Sabios de Manizales, 84-82 on 15 October, four days after a 76-75 win over the same opponent, and it kept alive their push for a place in the next phase. The return in Cali on 16 October undid much of that work: Sabios won 83-62, a 21-point margin that leaves the island club needing a response in its final regular-season games. Those come against Toros del Valle on consecutive days, and Toros have already beaten them 107-50 and 88-68 this season. Caribbean Storm managed 62 points in the latest defeat and 50 in the opening meeting with Toros, so whether they can stay close over 40 minutes is the open question.
- Caribbean Storm edged Sabios 76-75 on 11 October.
- Their second win of the season came 84-82 against Sabios at the Evangelista Mora on 15 October.
- Sabios won the return 83-62 in Cali on 16 October.
- The second win had left Caribbean Storm chasing a place in the next phase.
The first meeting on 2 October ended 107-50, a 57-point margin, and Toros del Valle followed it with an 88-68 win the next day at the same Cali arena. Caribbean Storm scored 18 more points in the second game and lost by 20 rather than 57, so the gap narrowed sharply within 24 hours, yet Toros controlled both games. Those results came before the island club's two narrow wins over Sabios, so the recent form line is not entirely one-sided. This fixture is the first of another back-to-back between the clubs, which means the opening game may shape how each staff uses its rotation in the second.
- Toros del Valle won 107-50 at the Evangelista Mora in Cali on 2 October.
- The rematch on 3 October finished 88-68 to Toros.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Caribbean Storm Islands +16.5

1.81fair 1.69

Market 55.2% · BetBugs 59.3%

+4.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands cover +16.5 in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this. Toros have the stronger current offense and defense and have controlled both meetings this season, while Caribbean Storm score only 67.9 per game in the Clausura and shoot poorly. I expect Toros to score around 91 at home and Caribbean Storm to land near 66, better than their 59-point average in the two meetings but still well below Toros.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle win in about 98 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonToros del ValleEstimated chance97.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 98 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonToros del ValleEstimated chance97.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 92 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonToros del ValleEstimated chance92.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 85 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonToros del ValleEstimated chance85.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonToros del ValleEstimated chance78.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonToros del ValleEstimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle cover -4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonToros del Valle -4.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.81
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands cover +16.5 in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostCaribbean Storm Islands +16.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands cover +28.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · HandicaplostCaribbean Storm Islands +28.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle cover -4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonToros del Valle -4.5Estimated chance55.5%

Points6 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonToros del Valle over 40.5Estimated chance80.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonToros del Valle over 18.5Estimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 18.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Toros del Valle score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonToros del Valle over 22.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands score more than 63.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCaribbean Storm Islands over 63.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands score more than 15.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands over 15.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 33.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonCaribbean Storm Islands under 33.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 16.5Estimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. The 1st quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance55.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Toros del Valle 91.7, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Toros del Valle and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Toros are 7-1 in the Clausura Group B, averaging 91.9 points scored and 68.9 allowed over eight games through 17 October.
- Caribbean Storm are 2-8 in the Clausura, averaging 67.9 scored and 87.6 allowed over ten games through 16 October.
- Toros have shot 53.8% inside the arc and 33.3% from three over 14 box scores; Caribbean Storm have shot 44.5% and 24.5% over 15.
- Toros beat Caribbean Storm 107-50 on 2 October and 88-68 on 3 October in LBP play.
- Caribbean Storm lost 62-83 to Sabios on 16 October, their latest game, after scoring 84 and 76 in the previous two.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 40.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 12:46

Selected line

156.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 157+ points

1 pp below break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 156.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W68–88

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Oct 3, 2026·LBP

W50–107

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Oct 2, 2026·LBP

W73–47

Toros del Vallev

Caribbean Storm Islands

Apr 16, 2026·LBP

W94–37

Toros del Vallev

Caribbean Storm Islands

Apr 14, 2026·LBP

W50–68

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Nov 7, 2025·LBP

W70–76

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Nov 6, 2025·LBP

W90–76

Toros del Vallev

Caribbean Storm Islands

Jun 21, 2025·LBP

L90–93

Toros del Vallev

Caribbean Storm Islands

Jun 20, 2025·LBP

L94–91

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Jun 10, 2025·LBPOT

W79–90

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Toros del Valle

Jun 8, 2025·LBP

153.1Avg total points

21.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LBP

#TeamW–LWin %

Toros del Valle

LBP - Apertura

12–286%

Caribbean Storm Islands

LBP - Apertura

1–137%

Recent Form

Toros del Valle

13W 2L · last 15

vs Paisas78–74 Oct 17LBP

vs Paisas91–89 Oct 15LBP

at Paisas90–92 OTOct 11LBP

at Paisas84–79 Oct 10LBP

vs Sabios Baloncesto89–40 Oct 8LBP

vs Sabios Baloncesto108–59 Oct 6LBP

at Caribbean Storm Islands88–68 Oct 3LBP

at Caribbean Storm Islands107–50 Oct 2LBP

at Paisas78–73 Jun 7LBP

at Paisas82–98 Jun 6LBP

vs Paisas110–80 Jun 4LBP

vs Paisas102–101 OTJun 3LBP

at Piratas de Bogota91–86 May 27LBP

vs Piratas de Bogota90–81 May 24LBP

vs Piratas de Bogota102–72 May 23LBP

Caribbean Storm Islands

3W 12L · last 15

vs Sabios Baloncesto62–83 Oct 16LBP

vs Sabios Baloncesto84–82 Oct 16LBP

at Sabios Baloncesto76–75 Oct 11LBP

at Sabios Baloncesto74–82 Oct 10LBP

vs Paisas72–107 Oct 7LBP

vs Paisas79–90 Oct 7LBP

vs Toros del Valle68–88 Oct 3LBP

vs Toros del Valle50–107 Oct 2LBP

at Paisas57–77 Sep 30LBP

at Paisas57–85 Sep 29LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano92–79 May 11LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano83–90 May 10LBP

at Motilones del Norte96–103 May 8LBP

at Motilones del Norte71–80 May 6LBP

at Piratas de Bogota47–91 May 1LBP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Toros del Valle

14 games

Stats

5–0

Caribbean Storm Islands

Toros del Valle leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+9.3pp

53.8%

+9.3pp

44.5%

3-point %+8.8pp

33.3%

+8.8pp

24.5%

Free-throw %+4.7pp

65.9%

+4.7pp

61.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.6pp apart

36.8%

6.6pp apart

30.2%

Free throws per shot0.3pp apart

25.5%

0.3pp apart

25.2%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+5.5

44.3

+5.5

38.8

Turnovers per game2.3 fewer

16.6

2.3 fewer

18.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.