B LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Ryukyu99Shiga67

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 10:35 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1041%

Edges0–20%

Points by period: Ryukyu and Shiga.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Ryukyu	28	31	19	21
Shiga	22	17	21	7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Ryukyu's clean offence against Shiga's turnover-driven pressure decides it, and home rebounding plus Kawamata's return edge a close game Ryukyu's way.

Shiga to win at 2.59 and over 167.5 combined points at 1.79 are the two prices that hold up; Ryukyu at 1.44, ahead after 40 minutes at 1.46 and giving 4.5 points at 1.72 ask too much.

Context

Kawamata is back in Ryukyu's frontcourt after a fractured hand while Kobari has missed two games with an ankle sprain, and Shiga arrive with seven days' rest against Ryukyu's three.

Kawamata had not played all season because of a fracture in a bone of his right hand, which left Ryukyu short of size behind Jack Cooley. His return gives the Kings a second body for Zach Auguste and Ryan Kriener and another rebounder to attack the offensive glass. Nine minutes in his first game back point to a managed workload, and the club has not said how much he will play against his former team.
- The club cleared Kawamata Hiroya to enter the roster on 16 October after a fracture in his right hand.
- He played about nine minutes against Yokohama and collected five offensive rebounds.
- Shiga's game notes name his return as the main change in Ryukyu since the clubs last met.
Kobari was on the roster for the opening weekend and his absence leaves Ryukyu with one fewer guard option alongside Kiefer Ravena and Sota Oura. No return date has been given, so his availability for the Shiga game remains open until the club names its roster.
- Kobari Yukiya sprained his right ankle in the 8 October home game against Gunma after stepping on an opponent's foot.
- The club ruled him out of the games on 10 October and 16 October.
Jerrett was brought in to fill a frontcourt import spot but has not appeared, so Ryukyu have used Jack Cooley and Kevin Jones inside while Kawamata worked his way back. No return date has been announced, leaving the Kings with the same big-man group that has started the season.
- Grant Jerrett was listed as unavailable for the season opener on 22 September and again for the 16 October game because of a clot in his right lower leg.
- Kevin Jones, 37, rejoined the club shortly before the season and played every game of the opening stretch.
Ryukyu's win came from clean offense, while Shiga's response was built on pressure that produced extra possessions. The decider moves to Okinawa Arena, and the turnover count is likely to shape it again: Shiga scored 22 points off turnovers in the second game, and Ryukyu's best performance against them came when they gave the ball away only nine times.
- Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October, turning the ball over nine times.
- Shiga won 98-72 the following day, forcing 19 turnovers and scoring 22 points from them.
- Ryan Kriener finished with 21 points and four steals, and Daichi Nomoto added three steals and six assists.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Shiga

2.59fair 2.22

Market 38.6% · BetBugs 45%

+6.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga win in about 45 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Ryukyu's home-court strength, rebounding edge and Kawamata's return give them enough inside presence to counter Shiga's fast, turnover-driven attack, while Shiga's leaky defense should let the Kings score near their season best. Shiga's scoring punch keeps it close, so the hosts win narrowly in a high-possession game.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 167.5

1.79fair 1.62

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 61.6%

+5.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Ryukyu's home-court strength, rebounding edge and Kawamata's return give them enough inside presence to counter Shiga's fast, turnover-driven attack, while Shiga's leaky defense should let the Kings score near their season best. Shiga's scoring punch keeps it close, so the hosts win narrowly in a high-possession game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ryukyu and 14 for Shiga, across seasons and competitions.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonRyukyu +3.5Estimated chance70.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga cover +4.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · HandicaplostShiga +4.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostShiga +2.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostShiga +1.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ryukyu and 14 for Shiga, across seasons and competitions.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonRyukyu +0.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRyukyuEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonRyukyuEstimated chance52.7%

Points3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonShiga over 19.5Estimated chance61.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 167.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostShiga over 40.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · Team PointslostShiga over 82.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostRyukyu over 20.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Ryukyu score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostRyukyu under 22.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostShiga over 20.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ryukyu 86.6, Shiga 85.0. Shiga score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Shiga have scored 92.1 and conceded 88.1 per game across their seven 2026-27 B League games (through 12 October), the highest-scoring profile in this matchup.
- Ryukyu have scored 80.6 and conceded 82.1 per game over their seven 2026-27 B League games, sitting 3-4, with home results of 90-69 over Shimane (10 Oct) and 65-76 to Gunma (8 Oct).
- Shiga shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but only 30.3% from three over 15 tracked games; Ryukyu shoot 49.6% inside and 32.8% from deep over 14 tracked games.
- The season series in Shiga was split: Ryukyu won 94-87 on 3 October with nine turnovers, then lost 72-98 on 4 October when Shiga forced 19 turnovers and scored 22 points off them.
- Ryukyu won the most recent home meetings with Shiga 90-74 (28 Jan 2026) and 104-73 (9 Apr 2025), though with a different roster.
- Ryukyu average 38.1 rebounds to Shiga's 32.1, and Kawamata returned on 16 October with five offensive rebounds in about nine minutes after a hand fracture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonShiga over 20.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 03:12

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

62%

Chance of 168+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 62%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L98–72

Shigav

Ryukyu

Oct 4, 2026·B L

W87–94

Shigav

Ryukyu

Oct 3, 2026·B L

W90–74

Ryukyuv

Shiga

Jan 28, 2026·B L

L92–86

Shigav

Ryukyu

Oct 15, 2025·B L

W104–73

Ryukyuv

Shiga

Apr 9, 2025·B L

W83–91

Shigav

Ryukyu

Dec 18, 2024·B L

W72–108

Shigav

Ryukyu

Oct 20, 2024·B L

L89–81

Shigav

Ryukyu

Oct 19, 2024·B L

W81–89

Shigav

Ryukyu

Apr 16, 2023·B L

W82–85

Shigav

Ryukyu

Apr 15, 2023·B L

173.1Avg total points

14.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Ryukyu

0–0—

Shiga

0–0—

Recent Form

Ryukyu

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at Nagasaki71–69 May 23B L

vs Diamond Dolphins90–74 May 16B L

vs Diamond Dolphins85–65 May 15B L

at SeaHorses Mikawa82–79 May 9B L

at SeaHorses Mikawa79–65 May 8B L

at Utsunomiya Brex92–70 May 3B L

Shiga

5W 10L · last 15

vs Shinshu95–76 Oct 12B L

at Hiroshima D.105–111 Oct 10B L

vs Tokyo Sunrockers85–92 Oct 7B L

vs Ryukyu98–72 Oct 4B L

vs Ryukyu87–94 Oct 3B L

at Kyoto81–77 Sep 27B L

at Kyoto94–95 Sep 25B L

vs Sun Rockers Shibuya65–73 May 3B L

vs Sun Rockers Shibuya88–81 May 2B L

at Alvark77–87 Apr 26B L

at Alvark74–101 Apr 25B L

vs Hiroshima D.69–81 Apr 22B L

at Diamond Dolphins86–84 Apr 19B L

at Diamond Dolphins95–106 Apr 18B L

vs NeoPhoenix91–98 Apr 15B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Ryukyu

Stats

4–1

Shiga

Ryukyu leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %14/15 games+7.7pp

49.6%

+7.7pp

57.3%

3-point %14/15 games+2.5pp

32.8%

+2.5pp

30.3%

Free-throw %14/15 games+2.4pp

72.4%

+2.4pp

70.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games3.0pp apart

34.9%

3.0pp apart

31.9%

Free throws per shot14/15 games0.1pp apart

31.4%

0.1pp apart

31.3%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game14/15 games+6.0

38.1

+6.0

32.1

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

12.3

1.2 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.