LiganFinished

Predictions graded

Nassjo88Umea78

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 17:04 Predictions graded

Predictions18–675%

Points by period: Nassjo and Umea.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Nassjo	27	20	21	20
Umea	25	17	19	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Nassjo have one league win and Umea none, and Nassjo's shooting is the clearest difference between two struggling sides.

Expect a Nassjo win, something around 86-76, with the game finishing under 169.5 combined points. Nassjo have not reached 82 in the league this season, so the margin is no certainty. Neither the home win nor the under stands out at the numbers we hold.

Context

Umea played at Borås on 17 October and have one full rest day before tipping in Nässjö on 19 October, while Nassjo last played on 16 October. No player availability is established for either side, so the rest difference is the main condition in play.

Nässjö conceded 91 points in Luleå on 13 October, with BC Luleå's backcourt of Jonatan Arvidsson (22 points) and Jalen Leach (19) carrying the scoring. That 17-point defeat is Nässjö's most recent dated result before they host Umeå on 19 October, and it came on the road in a game the hosts controlled from the opening stages. Whether Nässjö change their match rotation in response may only become clear at tip-off.
- BC Luleå took an early lead against Nässjö and won 91-74 in Luleå on 13 October.
- Jonatan Arvidsson scored 22 points for BC Luleå, Jalen Leach added 19 and Nico Galette 13.
Umeå were on court in Borås on 17 October and are back in action in Nässjö on 19 October, leaving a single rest day between the two games. With so little practice time in between, the staff may lean on a shorter rotation or manage minutes differently in this game.
- Umeå played at Borås Basket on 17 October.
- The visit to Nässjö follows on 19 October, two days later.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo win in about 79 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNassjoEstimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonNassjoEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonNassjo +1.5Estimated chance73.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonNassjoEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNassjo +1.5Estimated chance69.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonNassjoEstimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonNassjoEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonNassjoEstimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo cover -8.5 (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · HandicapwonNassjo -8.5Estimated chance55.4%

Points9 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Umea score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonUmea under 23.5Estimated chance82.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNassjo over 17.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNassjo over 18.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance72.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Umea score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonUmea under 81.5Estimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Umea score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonUmea under 21.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. The game has fewer than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 169.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nassjo and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo score fewer than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNassjo under 90.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Umea score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostUmea under 20.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Umea score fewer than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostUmea under 39.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. The 1st half has fewer than 83.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 83.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostNassjo under 22.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nassjo 86.1, Umea 76.0. Nassjo score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Nassjo are 1-4 in Basketligan through 5 games, averaging 77.4 points scored and 84.0 conceded; Umea are 0-4, averaging 71.5 scored and 91.3 conceded.
- Nassjo have scored between 74 and 81 in all five 2026-27 league games, while Umea have scored 64-78 and allowed 78-108 in their four.
- Across 14 accepted box scores Umea shoot 30.2% from three and turn the ball over 16.7 times per game; Nassjo shoot 37.1% from three with 12.7 turnovers over 15 box scores.
- Umea played at Boras on 17 October and have only one full rest day before 19 October; Nassjo last played on 16 October.
- Nassjo beat Umea 97-79 on 22 November 2025 and 120-108 in overtime on 3 February 2026, though both were last-season Basketligan games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostNassjo under 44.5Estimated chance56.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 15:13

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

34%

Chance of 170+ points

22 pp below break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 34%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 34%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 66%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W120–108

Nassjov

Umea

Feb 3, 2026·BASOT

W97–79

Nassjov

Umea

Nov 22, 2025·BAS

L104–96

Umeav

Nassjo

Nov 1, 2025·BAS

W102–77

Nassjov

Umea

Feb 13, 2025·BAS

W90–87

Nassjov

Umea

Dec 6, 2024·BAS

W76–93

Umeav

Nassjo

Nov 16, 2024·BAS

W103–74

Nassjov

Umea

Mar 22, 2024·BAS

W94–98

Umeav

Nassjo

Jan 16, 2024·BAS

W117–79

Nassjov

Umea

Nov 10, 2023·BAS

W87–95

Umeav

Nassjo

Nov 7, 2023·BAS

187.6Avg total points

16.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Ligan · Basketligan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Nassjo

1–420%

Umea

0–40%

Recent Form

Nassjo

4W 11L · last 15

vs Uppsala74–80 Oct 16BAS

at BC Lulea74–91 Oct 13BAS

at Hogsbo81–85 Oct 9BAS

vs Norrkoping79–89 Sep 29BAS

at Boras79–75 Sep 25BAS

vs Norrkoping82–113 Mar 30BAS

vs Norrkoping86–80 Mar 28BAS

at Norrkoping88–118 Mar 23BAS

at Norrkoping68–119 Mar 21BAS

at Boras71–84 Mar 17BAS

vs Sloga Uppsala118–87 Mar 10BAS

at BC Lulea100–93 Mar 6BAS

vs Norrkoping87–91 Feb 17BAS

at Uppsala79–91 Feb 13BAS

at Hogsbo75–93 Feb 6BAS

Umea

1W 14L · last 15

at Boras78–86 Oct 17BAS

vs Jamtland69–93 Oct 9BAS

vs Sodertalje64–78 Sep 29BAS

at Norrkoping75–108 Sep 25BAS

vs Uppsala84–87 Mar 17BAS

at Hogsbo77–81 Mar 14BAS

at Koping Stars81–105 Mar 7BAS

vs Jamtland90–99 Feb 17BAS

at Norrkoping78–103 Feb 13BAS

vs Sloga Uppsala97–80 Feb 7BAS

at Nassjo108–120 OTFeb 3BAS

vs BC Lulea65–87 Jan 27BAS

at Boras65–93 Jan 23BAS

vs Boras81–96 Jan 18BAS

at Jamtland96–104 Jan 5BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Nassjo

Stats

3–2

Umea

14 games

Nassjo leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.5pp

52.7%

+2.5pp

50.2%

3-point %+6.9pp

37.1%

+6.9pp

30.2%

Free-throw %+1.2pp

71.3%

+1.2pp

72.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.9pp apart

30.5%

1.9pp apart

28.6%

Free throws per shot3.6pp apart

29.1%

3.6pp apart

32.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.2

29.9

+2.2

32.1

Turnovers per game4.0 fewer

12.7

4.0 fewer

16.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.