Energa Basket LigaFinished

Predictions graded

Czarni Slupsk84Ostrow Wielkopolski87

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–1131%

Points by period: Czarni Slupsk and Ostrow Wielkopolski.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Czarni Slupsk	20	17	24	23
Ostrow Wielkopolski	25	24	19	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Czarni Slupsk have lost both league games by a single point and now meet an Ostrow side that has won four of the last five meetings, including 93-86 in Slupsk.

The game shapes as roughly 81-79 to the hosts after 40 minutes. No price stands out at our numbers: Czarni to score over 83.5 team points at 1.71 is less than even money for a side averaging 83.3 points over its last 15 completed games.

Context

The early form of both sides carries real weight but rests on two league games each: Czarni's two one-point defeats and Ostrow's 65-point home loss to Gornik Walbrzych. The recent series record favours the visitors, and nothing on availability or workload is established beyond a seven-day and eight-day gap since each last played.

Słupsk have been competitive without winning: Legia led 41-31 at the break on opening night before Czarni fought back to within three, and Anwil needed a one-point margin nine days later. That pattern matters against a Stal side whose only completed road game of the new campaign came in Lublin, where Karl Lips shouldered much of the scoring. If Czarni's late-game execution keeps producing one-possession finishes, the home game is likely to be settled in the final minutes; whether the close margins reflect execution or simply match-up luck is unresolved, and no selection news has changed the picture.
- Legia Warszawa won 79-76 in Słupsk on 2 October, the opening night of the league season.
- Czarni trailed 31-41 at half-time of that game before closing the gap to three points.
- Anwil Włocławek beat Czarni 79-78 on 11 October.
Stal's start has been uneven: a road opener in Lublin, where Karl Lips filled the box score across scoring, rebounding, playmaking and steals, followed by a home defeat to Górnik. Lips' all-round output makes the Estonian forward the obvious focal point of Słupsk's defensive plan, and how Ostrów generate offence when he is crowded will shape their half-court play. A home loss of that kind puts attention on the response, and the trip to Hala Gryfia is the first chance to show whether the Lublin performance or the Górnik night is closer to their level.
- PGE Start Lublin hosted Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski in the opening round on 3 October.
- Karl Lips scored 19 points with six rebounds, four assists and four steals in that Lublin game.
- Stal lost at home to Górnik Zamek Książ Wałbrzych on 12 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonCzarni Slupsk +4.5Estimated chance74.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostCzarni Slupsk +0.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCzarni SlupskEstimated chance55.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostCzarni SlupskEstimated chance53%

Points4 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonCzarni Slupsk over 18.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonCzarni Slupsk under 21.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. The game has fewer than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 164.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · Team PointslostCzarni Slupsk under 83.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Czarni Slupsk score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCzarni Slupsk over 19.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonOstrow Wielkopolski under 20.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · Team PointslostOstrow Wielkopolski under 81.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostOstrow Wielkopolski under 20.5Estimated chance55.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Czarni Slupsk 81.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 79.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Czarni Slupsk and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Czarni's two 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games were a 76-79 home loss to Legia (2 Oct 2026) and a 78-79 loss at Anwil (11 Oct 2026), both decided by a single possession.
- Ostrow scored 65 in a 65-81 home loss to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 Oct 2026, their lowest total in the last 15 completed games.
- Over the 15 completed games from January to May 2026, Czarni averaged 83.3 scored and 85.7 conceded, while Ostrow averaged 80.1 scored and 80.3 conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Czarni shot 33.5% from three and 73.7% from the line versus Ostrow's 28.5% and 67.3%; two-point shooting favoured Ostrow (55.9% to 53.6%).
- Rebounding and turnovers are near level over the same 15-game samples: Czarni 32.0 rebounds and 15.0 turnovers per game, Ostrow 32.8 and 14.1.
- Head-to-head, Ostrow won 75-68 at home on 19 Mar 2026 and 93-86 in Slupsk on 13 Nov 2025, part of a run of four wins in the last five meetings.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostOstrow Wielkopolski under 20.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 15:13

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

42%

Chance of 165+ points

13 pp below break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 42%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L75–68

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

Mar 19, 2026·ENE

L86–93

Czarni Slupskv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Nov 13, 2025·ENE

W87–83

Czarni Slupskv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Jan 31, 2025·ENE

L70–66

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

Oct 11, 2024·ENE

L87–82

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

Feb 16, 2024·POL

L65–85

Czarni Slupskv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Jan 12, 2024·ENE

L106–77

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

Sep 29, 2023·ENE

L70–77

Czarni Slupskv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

May 12, 2023·ENE

L70–63

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

May 9, 2023·ENE

L95–85

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Czarni Slupsk

May 7, 2023·ENE

159Avg total points

10Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Czarni Slupsk

0–20%

Ostrow Wielkopolski

1–150%

Recent Form

Czarni Slupsk

4W 11L · last 15

at Anwil Wloclawek78–79 Oct 11ENE

vs Legia76–79 Oct 2ENE

vs GTK Gliwice80–89 May 6ENE

at Gornik Walbrzych107–90 Apr 30ENE

vs Trefl Sopot72–76 Apr 25ENE

at Dziki Warszawa86–106 Apr 18ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw86–91 Apr 11ENE

at Zielona Gora80–96 Apr 2ENE

vs Anwil Wloclawek57–68 Mar 28ENE

at Ostrow Wielkopolski68–75 Mar 19ENE

at Krosno91–77 Mar 12ENE

vs Torun103–93 OTMar 5ENE

at Lublin96–101 Feb 15ENE

vs Legia87–82 Feb 8ENE

at Szczecin83–84 Jan 31ENE

Ostrow Wielkopolski

8W 7L · last 15

vs Gornik Walbrzych65–81 Oct 12ENE

at Lublin84–79 OTOct 3ENE

at Dabrowa Gornicza86–94 May 8ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych86–74 May 6ENE

at Trefl Sopot86–88 May 2ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa73–83 Apr 25ENE

at Slask Wroclaw77–73 Apr 17ENE

vs Zielona Gora75–82 Apr 13ENE

at Anwil Wloclawek81–90 Apr 6ENE

at Krosno87–80 Mar 29ENE

vs Czarni Slupsk75–68 Mar 19ENE

vs Torun77–75 Mar 15ENE

vs Lublin93–78 Mar 8ENE

vs Legia75–83 Feb 14ENE

vs Szczecin81–76 Feb 5ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Czarni Slupsk

Stats

2–3

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Ostrow Wielkopolski leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.3pp

53.6%

+2.3pp

55.9%

3-point %+5.0pp

33.5%

+5.0pp

28.5%

Free-throw %+6.4pp

73.7%

+6.4pp

67.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.3pp apart

32.6%

5.3pp apart

27.3%

Free throws per shot11.5pp apart

28.1%

11.5pp apart

39.6%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+0.8

32.0

+0.8

32.8

Turnovers per game0.9 fewer

15.0

0.9 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.