B LeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Alvark90Akita74

Mon 19 Oct 2026, 10:05 Predictions graded

Predictions16–480%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Alvark and Akita.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Alvark	23	21	24	22
Akita	20	14	25	15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Alvark are 7-1 and have won all four meetings with Akita by an average of 16.5 points, while Akita arrive on two straight wins but average 70.2 points on the road, with Travis's status unsettled after he left their 17 October game.

Alvark should win. The price worth taking is under 85.5 first-half points at 1.83.

Context

Olbrich is ruled out by injury-list registration and Toews has missed two games for Alvark, while Travis left Akita's 17 October win and has no confirmed status. Nakayama's return gives Akita a second ball-handler alongside Smith.

Travis arrived in late September and quickly became Akita's main post scorer, the player the offence turns to when Mark Smith is pressured. The Shinshu win showed what changes without him: the interior cover had to absorb his minutes while Shinshu attacked the paint, and Akita's rebounding edge shrank. Against an Alvark frontcourt that has leaned on Gen Hiraiwa and Ryan Rossiter, Travis decides whether Akita can play through the post or must lean on Yanni Wetzell and Baiqing Zhao for size. Whether he starts, plays limited minutes or sits has not been settled.
- Reid Travis left Akita's 102-95 home win over Shinshu Brave Warriors on 17 October in the second half and did not come back.
- With Travis off the floor, Shinshu began scoring inside and Akita had to hold the game through the final quarter.
- No club update on the severity of the injury had been issued before the game.
Olbrich, a 208cm import big, went down in the 2 October marathon against Chiba and has not played since. His absence pushed Alvark toward smaller lineups, with Gen Hiraiwa taking on more interior work and Ryan Rossiter carrying the rebounding, and the club answered by signing guard DeJon Jarreau rather than another big. Alvark have kept scoring in the 90s and 100s without him, but the rim protection and defensive rebounding trade-off is the cost, and Monday will be another game where the opponent can attack the paint.
- Alvark listed Olbrich as injury-list registered and left him out of the travelling group for the 14 October East Asia Super League game.
- The club's lineup notice on 17 October again named Olbrich among the players not with the team.
- Injury-list registration blocks re-registration for 30 days, putting his earliest possible return at 4 November.
- Olbrich was hurt in Alvark's quadruple-overtime game against Chiba Jets on 2 October.
Jarreau was signed after Olbrich went on the injury list and while Kai Toews was unavailable, leaving Alvark short of ball-handling. Three days after arriving he was in the rotation at Gunma, and the club has since published his own description of the job: organising the offence, finding shooters and defending the opposing guard. Monday is his first home game and only his second league appearance, so how many minutes he takes and how Alvark split creation between him, Shuto Ando and Taiki Osakabe is still being worked out.
- Alvark added DeJon Jarreau, a guard who averaged more than 14 points in the G League, on 14 October.
- Jarreau played his first B.League game at Gunma on 17 October and helped swing the momentum.
- The club presented him as a point guard whose first task is to help his teammates.
Nakayama is in his 11th season at Akita and gives the backcourt a second creator next to Mark Smith, allowing the offence to play faster instead of settling into post isolations for Wetzell and Travis. His first outing was efficient but brief, which points to a managed workload rather than a full return. How many minutes he gets on Monday, and whether he is used in closing lineups, remains a staff decision rather than something settled by the Shinshu game.
- Nakayama shot 3-for-3 from three and finished with 11 points, five assists and no turnovers in 8:02.
- His return came in Akita's 102-95 home win over Shinshu, the club's first Premier home win.
- He had been sidelined long-term and missed the opening weeks of the season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 85.5

1.83fair 1.58

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 63.1%

+8.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Alvark have the better current offence and defence, and their recent meetings with Akita in Tokyo have been decided by a comfortable margin. Akita's road scoring has been the weak part of their start, so they are likely to need a big inside game from Wetzell and Smith to stay close.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark win in about 91 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAlvarkEstimated chance91.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 90 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAlvarkEstimated chance90.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 83 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonAlvarkEstimated chance82.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonAlvarkEstimated chance74.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvark and 15 for Akita, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAlvark -1.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonAlvarkEstimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostAlvarkEstimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Akita cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Alvark and 15 for Akita, across seasons and competitions.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAkita +5.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark cover -15.5 (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · HandicapwonAlvark -15.5Estimated chance55.5%

Points8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark score fewer than 24.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAlvark under 24.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. The game has fewer than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 169.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 85.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Akita score fewer than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAkita under 76.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAlvark under 47.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Akita score fewer than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostAkita under 19.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Akita score fewer than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAkita under 37.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Alvark score fewer than 92.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAlvark under 92.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Alvark 90.4, Akita 73.2. Akita score fewer than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Alvark are 7-1 in the 2026-27 B League and averaged 91.6 points while conceding 78.4 in their seven non-overtime games, including a 100-86 win at Gunma on 17 October.
- Akita are 3-4 in the same competition and have averaged 70.2 points in five away games, including 55 at Sendai on 26 September and 63 at Tokyo Sunrockers on 3 October.
- Across 14 B League box scores Alvark shoot 60.3% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 74.1% from the line; Akita's 15-game marks are 49.8%, 32.8% and 69.7%.
- Alvark average 33.4 rebounds and 11.4 turnovers per game, against Akita's 31.6 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers.
- Alvark won all four meetings with Akita last season by an average of 16.5 points, including 86-72 and 85-68 in Tokyo in April 2026.
- Olbrich is confirmed out for Alvark, but they scored 100 at Gunma without him on 17 October; Akita's Nakayama returned with 11 points in eight minutes on the same date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAkita under 18.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 19, 03:12

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

37%

Chance of 170+ points

21 pp below break-even

Over 1.72 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 37%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W86–72

Alvarkv

Akita

Apr 5, 2026·B L

W85–68

Alvarkv

Akita

Apr 4, 2026·B L

W74–98

Akitav

Alvark

Jan 28, 2026·B L

W86–75

Alvarkv

Akita

Oct 15, 2025·B L

W63–72

Akitav

Alvark

Dec 22, 2024·B L

W70–74

Akitav

Alvark

Dec 21, 2024·B L

W68–77

Akitav

Alvark

Feb 7, 2024·B L

W67–76

Akitav

Alvark

Nov 12, 2023·B L

W48–78

Akitav

Alvark

Nov 11, 2023·B L

W67–51

Alvarkv

Akita

Oct 25, 2023·B L

145.5Avg total points

14.3Avg margin

10meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Alvark

0–0—

Akita

0–0—

Recent Form

Alvark

11W 4L · last 15

at Gunma100–86 Oct 17B L

at Osaka103–78 Oct 12B L

at Brave Thunders94–82 Oct 10B L

vs Saga90–74 Oct 8B L

at Chiba96–71 Oct 4B L

at Chiba138–131 OTOct 2B L

vs Ryukyu74–85 Sep 23B L

vs Ryukyu84–73 Sep 22B L

at Nagasaki56–96 May 8B L

at Nagasaki78–93 May 7B L

at Hokkaido96–97 May 3B L

at Hokkaido111–104 May 2B L

vs Shiga87–77 Apr 26B L

vs Shiga101–74 Apr 25B L

vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles92–71 Apr 22B L

Akita

3W 12L · last 15

vs Shinshu102–95 Oct 17B L

at Utsunomiya Brex82–71 Oct 11B L

vs Brave Thunders81–87 Oct 8B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers76–86 Oct 4B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers63–90 Oct 3B L

at Sendai75–73 Sep 27B L

at Sendai55–81 Sep 26B L

vs Saga70–87 May 3B L

vs Saga72–85 May 2B L

at Toyama77–94 Apr 26B L

at Toyama72–82 Apr 25B L

vs Hokkaido76–108 Apr 22B L

at Altiri Chiba74–75 Apr 19B L

at Altiri Chiba65–83 Apr 18B L

at Sendai46–79 Apr 15B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Alvark

Stats

5–0

Akita

Alvark leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %14/15 games+10.5pp

60.3%

+10.5pp

49.8%

3-point %14/15 games+2.4pp

35.2%

+2.4pp

32.8%

Free-throw %14/15 games+4.4pp

74.1%

+4.4pp

69.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games4.3pp apart

32.6%

4.3pp apart

36.9%

Free throws per shot14/15 games5.8pp apart

30.5%

5.8pp apart

24.7%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game14/15 games+1.8

33.4

+1.8

31.6

Turnovers per game1.7 fewer

11.4

1.7 fewer

13.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.