Liga ACBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Tenerife82Baskonia77

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–765%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Tenerife and Baskonia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tenerife	25	14	15	28
Baskonia	18	18	24	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Baskonia arrive top of the ACB at 3-0 but short-handed, on their third game in six days and 1.9 days removed from a EuroLeague loss, against a Tenerife side that shoots better and has had 3.9 days.

Tenerife winning, overtime included, is the likelier result, around 88-82. Two prices offer something: Tenerife -2.5 at 1.91 and Baskonia under 41.5 first-quarter points at 1.83.

Context

Baskonia are without Simmons and Duarte on matchday and open a new coaching spell, and they play 1.9 days after a EuroLeague defeat while Tenerife have had 3.9 days; the absences and the coaching change are reported but not yet confirmed by the club.

Baskonia reached the fourth ACB round with a ten-man group, one body lighter because Simmons was hurt in Bologna. His absence takes a ball-handler out of a backcourt that Perasovic can no longer rotate freely, and it leaves the bench short if the game turns physical or goes long. No return date has been given, so it is unclear whether he is back for the EuroLeague rounds that follow this trip.
- Simmons sustained a head trauma in Baskonia's EuroLeague game at Bologna.
- Baskonia had ten players available for the fourth Liga ACB round at Tenerife.
Duarte drops out in the same game as Kobi Simmons, so Baskonia's ten-man list covers essentially the whole senior group Perasovic brought to the island. That removes perimeter scoring options and forces longer stretches for the players who remain, against a Tenerife squad that can rotate 12 deep at home. The club has not said how long Duarte is expected to be sidelined.
- Duarte was ruled out with muscle discomfort in his thigh.
- Baskonia listed ten available players for the game at Tenerife.
Baskonia have changed coach again, with Perasovic returning for a fourth stint and taking charge of a side that had won its first three Liga ACB games. The visit to Tenerife is where the new spell begins, and it comes with a ten-man squad after Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte were ruled out. How Perasovic divides minutes, who handles the ball late and how deep he trusts the bench are all unsettled, which adds variance to a game Baskonia enter as the league leaders.
- Perasovic's fourth spell as Baskonia head coach opened with the Liga ACB game at Tenerife.
- Baskonia went into the game with ten available players after two match-day absences.
Tenerife rebuilt in the summer, adding six players including Ethan Happ, who averaged 12.6 points and 6.5 rebounds for Burgos, and Vince Hunter, who arrived last from Lokomotiv Kuban. Because the 15-man list holds only four homegrown players, three imports sit out every ACB game, so the twelve facing Baskonia is a selection rather than the full group. Which big men and shooters Lakovic leaves out shapes the matchups against a Baskonia front line that will be short-handed.
- Tenerife's 2026-27 roster contains 15 players.
- Six players arrived for the new season: Xabi Lopez-Arostegui, Ethan Happ, Arturs Kurucs, Kyle Guy, T.J. Bamba and Vince Hunter.
- With only four homegrown players on the list, three non-national players must be cut for each Liga Endesa game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Team PointswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Baskonia under 41.5

1.83fair 1.00

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 100%

+45.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Baskonia score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this. Tenerife are at home with the better shooting and ball security, and they have nearly two extra days of rest while Baskonia come off a EuroLeague road game. Baskonia's 3-0 ACB start was built on weaker opposition and their EuroLeague form is 1-5, with reported backcourt absences making a score near 89-82 the central read.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Tenerife -2.5

1.91fair 1.58

Market 52.4% · BetBugs 63.5%

+11.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Tenerife are at home with the better shooting and ball security, and they have nearly two extra days of rest while Baskonia come off a EuroLeague road game. Baskonia's 3-0 ACB start was built on weaker opposition and their EuroLeague form is 1-5, with reported backcourt absences making a score near 89-82 the central read.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTenerifeEstimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTenerifeEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · HandicapwonTenerife -2.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTenerifeEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Baskonia cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tenerife and 15 for Baskonia, across seasons and competitions.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBaskonia +3.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonTenerife -1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostTenerifeEstimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tenerife and 15 for Baskonia, across seasons and competitions.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostTenerife -0.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonTenerifeEstimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonTenerife -0.5Estimated chance55.5%

Points5 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Baskonia score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBaskonia under 41.5Estimated chance100%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Baskonia score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBaskonia under 22.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostTenerife over 20.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Baskonia score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBaskonia under 85.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostTenerife over 42.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. The game has fewer than 173.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 173.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. Tenerife score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTenerife under 22.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 88.0, Baskonia 81.8. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife are 2-1 in the ACB with 250 points scored and 233 conceded in three games through 11 Oct 2026.
- Baskonia are 3-0 in the ACB with 309 scored and 248 conceded in three games, but 1-5 in the EuroLeague with 84.0 scored and 94.0 conceded in six games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Tenerife shoot 39.0% from three and 82.5% from the line; Baskonia shoot 33.0% and 78.4%.
- Tenerife average 10.3 turnovers per game over 15 games, compared with Baskonia's 13.0.
- Tenerife had 3.9 days since their last game; Baskonia had 1.9 days after playing at Virtus Bologna on 16 Oct 2026.
- Tenerife beat Baskonia 89-85 at home on 1 Feb 2026, while Baskonia won 91-81 in the Spanish Cup on 20 Feb 2026, and Baskonia were reported on 18 Oct 2026 to be without Kobi Simmons and Chris Duarte.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 83.5Estimated chance55.9%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 13:16

Selected line

173.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

43%

Chance of 174+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 43%.

Move the line main 173.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L91–81

Baskoniav

Tenerife

Feb 20, 2026·SPA

W89–85

Tenerifev

Baskonia

Feb 1, 2026·ACB

L89–79

Baskoniav

Tenerife

Nov 2, 2025·ACB

W89–93

Baskoniav

Tenerife

Apr 20, 2025·ACB

W88–80

Tenerifev

Baskonia

Sep 29, 2024·ACB

W95–78

Tenerifev

Baskonia

Feb 4, 2024·ACB

L104–100

Baskoniav

Tenerife

Dec 10, 2023·ACB

W83–81

Tenerifev

Baskonia

Apr 16, 2023·ACB

W79–85

Baskoniav

Tenerife

Oct 9, 2022·ACB

L78–91

Tenerifev

Baskonia

May 11, 2022·ACB

173.8Avg total points

7.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Tenerife

2–167%

Baskonia

3–0100%

Recent Form

Tenerife

7W 8L · last 15

vs Maxima Roma96–71 Oct 14EUR

at Murcia90–77 Oct 11ACB

at London Lions77–89 Oct 6EUR

at Unicaja80–75 Oct 3ACB

vs Turk Telekom82–75 Sep 30EUR

vs Basket Zaragoza80–81 Sep 27ACB

vs Barcelona76–85 Jun 13ACB

at Barcelona89–97 Jun 11ACB

at Barcelona67–100 Jun 9ACB

at Real Madrid107–95 Jun 6ACB

vs Real Madrid83–118 Jun 4ACB

at Real Madrid98–97 Jun 2ACB

vs Bilbao82–87 May 29ACB

at Granada109–96 May 23ACB

vs Joventut Badalona98–100 OTMay 20ACB

Baskonia

7W 8L · last 15

at Virtus Bologna78–86 Oct 16EUR

vs Dubai79–93 Oct 13EUR

vs Joventut Badalona93–73 Oct 11ACB

vs Besiktas84–92 Oct 9EUR

vs Basquet Girona118–78 Oct 4ACB

vs Olimpia Milano86–76 Oct 2EUR

at Valencia88–111 Sep 29EUR

at San Pablo Burgos98–97 Sep 27ACB

vs Olympiacos89–106 Sep 24EUR

at Joventut Badalona84–96 Sep 19SUP

vs Joventut Badalona88–96 Jun 7ACB

at Joventut Badalona63–82 Jun 5ACB

vs Joventut Badalona85–71 Jun 3ACB

vs Unicaja92–89 May 29ACB

at Real Madrid88–83 May 27ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tenerife

Stats

3–2

Baskonia

Tenerife leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.4pp

54.3%

+0.4pp

54.7%

3-point %+6.0pp

39.0%

+6.0pp

33.0%

Free-throw %12/13 games+4.1pp

82.5%

+4.1pp

78.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.0pp apart

35.6%

3.0pp apart

32.6%

Free throws per shot12/13 games4.9pp apart

29.2%

4.9pp apart

34.1%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.9

26.7

+5.9

32.6

Turnovers per game2.7 fewer

10.3

2.7 fewer

13.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.