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Predictions graded

Tasmania JackJumpers98New Zealand Breakers92

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 04:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Tasmania JackJumpers and New Zealand Breakers.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tasmania JackJumpers	31	22	17	28
New Zealand Breakers	32	19	14	27

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tasmania host New Zealand on a 1.8-day turnaround while the Breakers are missing captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright for a third straight game.

The JackJumpers are the slightly stronger side over 40 minutes and should edge a close one. Two quotes appeal: New Zealand at 2.77 to win, overtime included, and Tasmania to score fewer than 47.5 points in the first quarter at 1.8. At 1.47, a Tasmania win asks too much.

Context

New Zealand are without Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over five appearances this season, and also list Josiah-Jordan James as unavailable, while Tasmania played on 16 October, 1.8 days before tip-off.

Jackson-Cartwright is New Zealand's captain and carries the heaviest ball-handling load, so his absence removes the Breakers' main source of late-clock creation. In Sydney the offence shifted to Carlin Davison, who started and produced a double-double, with Dejan Vasiljevic and Mojave King taking on more shot creation. A third straight game without him would leave New Zealand reliant on a first-time starter pairing against a Tasmania team that has been the league's form side early in the season. The club has not said whether he will be back during this road trip, which keeps his status beyond this game open as well.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright was ruled out of the 10 October game against Perth.
- He also missed the 14 October 102-101 win in Sydney.
- Coach Gordon Herbert gave no timeline for his return when asked on 14 October.
- Carlin Davison stepped up with a double-double in the Sydney win while Jackson-Cartwright was absent.
Weidemann was brought in as an injury replacement while New Zealand were missing their captain and Josiah-Jordan James, and his clearance gives Gordon Herbert an additional ball-handler at the end of a week in which the guard rotation had been stretched. He joins a backcourt that has leaned on Davison, Vasiljevic and King, and his availability lets the Breakers spell those players rather than extend them. A first outing after a delayed arrival is unlikely to carry a full workload, so the realistic effect is rotation depth and a second creator, not a like-for-like replacement for Jackson-Cartwright.
- The Breakers confirmed Nelson Weidemann would make his debut against Tasmania on 18 October.
- He was named on the team sheet for the game, having not yet played this season.
- His arrival had been delayed by visa processing, with no firm landing date given on 14 October.
James is part of New Zealand's import core and his absence removes a wing-sized option on both ends, which pushes more frontcourt minutes to Carlin Davison, Reuben Te Rangi and Charles Bediako. With the captain also out, the Breakers are effectively covering two rotation spots from a shorter group, and the arrival of Weidemann only addresses the backcourt half of that problem. Against a Tasmania frontcourt featuring Will Magnay and Josh Bannan, the Breakers' ability to hold up physically across 40 minutes is the part of this game most exposed by the absences. No return date has been offered for James.
- Josiah-Jordan James was ruled out together with Parker Jackson-Cartwright on 14 October.
- The coach gave no timeline for the return of either player.
Herbert flagged a shorter, deeper rotation after New Zealand faded late against Perth, when Mennenga's fatigue forced a substitution and Anzac Rissetto finished the game in his place. Mennenga is central to the Breakers' frontcourt plans, so trimming his stints moves possessions to Rissetto, Charles Bediako and Reuben Te Rangi. Tasmania's interior pair of Will Magnay and Josh Bannan makes that trade-off sharper than usual, particularly in the second half of a four-day turnaround. The practical signal to watch is how early Herbert goes to his bench big men, not whether Mennenga starts.
- Sam Mennenga asked to come out tired during the 10 October loss to Perth.
- Gordon Herbert said he did not rest players enough in that game and that it cost the team in the fourth quarter.
- Anzac Rissetto covered those minutes and drew praise for his contribution.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Team PointswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Tasmania JackJumpers under 47.5

1.80fair 1.00

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 100%

+44.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this. Tasmania score a little more freely but give up more, and at home their games have been close and low-scoring, while New Zealand are the fresher side but are covering the loss of their captain and a rotation forward with a patched backcourt. That leaves a near-even game with a small home edge for Tasmania.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

New Zealand Breakers

2.77fair 2.32

Market 36.1% · BetBugs 43.1%

+7.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers win in about 43 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Tasmania score a little more freely but give up more, and at home their games have been close and low-scoring, while New Zealand are the fresher side but are covering the loss of their captain and a rotation forward with a patched backcourt. That leaves a near-even game with a small home edge for Tasmania.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tasmania JackJumpers and 15 for New Zealand Breakers, across seasons and competitions.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTasmania JackJumpers +4.5Estimated chance76.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers +5.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers win in about 57 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTasmania JackJumpersEstimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tasmania JackJumpers and 15 for New Zealand Breakers, across seasons and competitions.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers +1.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonNew Zealand Breakers +1.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonNew Zealand Breakers +2.5Estimated chance55.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTasmania JackJumpersEstimated chance54.6%

Points2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTasmania JackJumpers under 47.5Estimated chance100%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers score more than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNew Zealand Breakers over 88.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. New Zealand Breakers score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostNew Zealand Breakers over 21.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. The 1st half has fewer than 93.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 93.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tasmania JackJumpers 92.6, New Zealand Breakers 90.4. Tasmania JackJumpers score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tasmania have scored 97.7 and conceded 95.2 per game across their six 2026-27 NBL games (586 for, 571 against), though one of those was an overtime win over Brisbane on 3 October.
- New Zealand have scored 92.1 and conceded 87.7 per game across seven 2026-27 NBL games (645 for, 614 against).
- New Zealand have played the last two games (10 October at Perth, 14 October at Sydney) without captain Parker Jackson-Cartwright, who averaged 26.6 points in 36.7 minutes over his five appearances this season.
- In three home games this season Tasmania have scored 89.3 and conceded 89.0, including the 88-94 home loss to Adelaide on 16 October.
- Rest is uneven: Tasmania played on 16 October (1.8 days before tip-off) on the second leg of three home games in six days, while New Zealand last played on 14 October (3.8 days).
- Last season's four meetings went 3-1 to New Zealand, but Tasmania won the most recent in Hobart 91-89 on 1 February 2026, and rosters have changed since.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostTasmania JackJumpers under 47.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

182.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 183+ points

1 pp below break-even

Over 1.85 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 182.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W91–89

Tasmania JackJumpersv

New Zealand Breakers

Feb 1, 2026·NBL

L80–81

Tasmania JackJumpersv

New Zealand Breakers

Dec 26, 2025·NBLOT

L99–86

New Zealand Breakersv

Tasmania JackJumpers

Dec 6, 2025·NBL

L82–65

New Zealand Breakersv

Tasmania JackJumpers

Oct 17, 2025·NBL

L85–75

New Zealand Breakersv

Tasmania JackJumpers

Jan 16, 2025·NBL

W97–82

Tasmania JackJumpersv

New Zealand Breakers

Dec 25, 2024·NBL

W76–100

New Zealand Breakersv

Tasmania JackJumpers

Dec 12, 2024·NBL

W83–64

Tasmania JackJumpersv

New Zealand Breakers

Nov 9, 2024·NBL

L94–88

New Zealand Breakersv

Tasmania JackJumpers

Jan 26, 2024·NBL

L93–98

Tasmania JackJumpersv

New Zealand Breakers

Jan 1, 2024·NBL

170.8Avg total points

11.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Tasmania JackJumpers

4–267%

New Zealand Breakers

4–357%

Recent Form

Tasmania JackJumpers

6W 9L · last 15

vs Adelaide88–94 Oct 16NBL

at Illawarra Hawks122–112 Oct 9NBL

at Brisbane Bullets109–99 OTOct 3NBL

vs Melbourne United84–82 Oct 1NBL

at Cairns Taipans87–93 Sep 23NBL

vs South East Melbourne96–91 Sep 21NBL

at Melbourne United68–82 Mar 5NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks70–103 Feb 18NBL

at South East Melbourne104–120 Feb 14NBL

vs Brisbane Bullets114–70 Feb 6NBL

vs New Zealand Breakers91–89 Feb 1NBL

at Cairns Taipans93–96 OTJan 30NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks91–101 Jan 24NBL

at Sydney94–105 Jan 22NBL

at Melbourne United77–79 Jan 17NBL

New Zealand Breakers

8W 7L · last 15

at Sydney102–101 Oct 14NBL

at Perth84–100 Oct 10NBL

at Adelaide88–72 Oct 4NBL

vs Cairns Taipans98–75 Sep 30NBL

at Perth93–97 Sep 26NBL

at Brisbane Bullets85–88 Sep 22NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks95–81 Sep 20NBL

at Adelaide111–107 Feb 22NBL

vs Cairns Taipans115–84 Feb 19NBL

at Adelaide89–92 Feb 14NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks106–95 Feb 7NBL

vs South East Melbourne83–114 Feb 5NBL

at Tasmania JackJumpers89–91 Feb 1NBL

vs Melbourne United97–95 Jan 30NBL

vs Adelaide110–112 OTJan 23NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tasmania JackJumpers

14 games

Stats

3–2

New Zealand Breakers

14 games

Tasmania JackJumpers leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %13/14 games+4.1pp

52.5%

+4.1pp

56.6%

3-point %13/14 games+6.8pp

33.2%

+6.8pp

40.0%

Free-throw %13/14 games+5.1pp

77.7%

+5.1pp

72.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s13/14 games3.6pp apart

29.6%

3.6pp apart

33.2%

Free throws per shot13/14 games4.9pp apart

33.5%

4.9pp apart

28.6%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game13/14 games+1.4

34.0

+1.4

32.6

Turnovers per game1.1 fewer

10.6

1.1 fewer

11.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.