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Predictions graded

Suwon KT80Mobis Phoebus96

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Suwon KT and Mobis Phoebus.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Suwon KT	18	20	19	23
Mobis Phoebus	30	29	15	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Suwon KT's home scoring meets a Mobis side that has lost four of five, but Suwon are on a 24-hour turnaround after playing at Anyang on 17 October.

Suwon should win, with the expected score after 40 minutes Suwon 85.1, Mobis 82.4. Two prices hold up: Suwon to score fewer than 44.5 points in the first quarter at 1.91 and Mobis to win at 2.68; Suwon at 1.44 to win does not.

Context

Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround; Mobis had an extra day but have allowed 90.0 points per game across five KBL games.

This is Suwon KT's fourth league game in nine days and their second in two: after Daegu KOGAS beat them 82-69 on 14 October, Moon Kyung-eun's side were back on court at Anyang on 17 October and now play host less than 24 hours later. Ulsan Hyundai Mobis, beaten 95-82 at Goyang Sono on 16 October, had an extra day between games. The gap shapes how hard Moon Kyung-eun can lean on Paris Bass and his main rotation across a weekend double, and whether Mobis try to speed the game up early. Neither club has published a rest plan, so any rotation effect is expected rather than confirmed.
- Suwon KT were in action at Anyang JungKwanJang on Saturday 17 October.
- Daegu KOGAS beat Suwon KT 82-69 on Wednesday 14 October.
- Ulsan Hyundai Mobis last played on Friday 16 October, losing 95-82 at Goyang Sono.
Ulsan's first five league games have produced one win: three opening defeats, a home victory over Wonju DB on 12 October, then the 95-82 loss at Goyang Sono in which the hosts made 16 threes. That shooting night is the clearest recent marker of where Mobis can be hurt, and it points straight at a Suwon KT attack whose coach wants more perimeter output from Moon Jeonghyeon and Jeon Seong-hyun around Paris Bass. A single hot shooting game is not proof of a structural weakness, and Ulsan's inside scoring through their imports gives them a way to answer if KT's shooters are contained.
- Goyang Sono beat Ulsan Hyundai Mobis 95-82 on 16 October.
- Sono made 16 three-pointers in the win.
- Ulsan opened the season with three straight defeats before beating Wonju DB on 12 October.
Bass is the hub of KT's attack: he went for 35 points in his comeback game and Moon Kyung-eun has spoken openly about the risk of the offence collapsing into isolations for him. The coach's stated plan is for Moon Jeonghyeon, who had 14 points and 10 rebounds against Changwon LG on 6 October, and shooter Jeon Seong-hyun to punish opponents who load up on Bass. Against a Mobis side that just gave up 16 threes, that perimeter support is the swing factor, though whether Jeon Seong-hyun's role grows is a coaching call the club has not announced.
- Paris Bass scored 35 points in his KBL comeback game during the pre-season cup.
- Moon Kyung-eun said KT cannot let their scoring bursts come only from Bass and wants Moon Jeonghyeon and Jeon Seong-hyun to carry the perimeter load.
- Moon Jeonghyeon had 14 points and 10 rebounds in the 6 October win over Changwon LG.
Lee Woo-suk's early release from military duty, sealed by Asian Games gold, put a full-strength national-team wing into Ulsan's rotation from the start of the campaign instead of part-way through it. He has been in uniform since the opener, giving the coaching staff a perimeter option alongside the import frontcourt while the team works through a 1-4 start. His availability is a season-long condition rather than fresh news for this game, and no club update has flagged any change to it.
- Lee Woo-suk completed early discharge from military service after winning Asian Games gold.
- He was registered in time to feature in the season opener.
- Lee Woo-suk said in his first training session back that he had returned and did not intend to lose.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Team PointswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Suwon KT under 44.5

1.91fair 1.00

Market 52.4% · BetBugs 100%

+47.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this. Suwon's home scoring, rebounding advantage and lower turnover rate give them a slight edge, but their quick turnaround and Mobis's scoring through Prim Gaige and Darius Bazley should keep the game close.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suwon KT and 15 for Mobis Phoebus, across seasons and competitions.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSuwon KT +3.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSuwon KTEstimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Mobis Phoebus cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · HandicapwonMobis Phoebus +5.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suwon KT and 15 for Mobis Phoebus, across seasons and competitions.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostSuwon KT +0.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostSuwon KTEstimated chance56.1%

Points3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonSuwon KT under 44.5Estimated chance100%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. The 1st quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 44.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSuwon KT under 44.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Suwon KT score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSuwon KT under 22.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Mobis Phoebus score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostMobis Phoebus under 42.5Estimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suwon KT 85.1, Mobis Phoebus 82.4. Mobis Phoebus score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Suwon KT are 3-3 in the KBL through six games, averaging 81.0 points scored and 80.7 allowed, with 87.0 points per game in three home games (through 17 October).
- Mobis Phoebus are 1-4, averaging 85.6 points scored and 90.0 allowed; their away games include an 88-85 loss at Anyang on 3 October and a 95-82 loss at Goyang on 16 October.
- Across 13 accepted box scores, Suwon average 38.4 rebounds and 10.5 turnovers, while Mobis average 34.2 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers; Mobis shoot better inside (54.1% to 50.8% on two-pointers) but Suwon shoot better from the line (75.2% to 72.1%).
- Suwon played at Anyang on 17 October and face a 24-hour turnaround, while Mobis last played on 16 October and have had an extra day.
- Suwon have won eight of the last ten meetings, including 73-69 at home on 5 April 2026, though that series spans the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostMobis Phoebus under 21.5Estimated chance57%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

50%

Chance of 169+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.72 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 50%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W73–69

Suwon KTv

Mobis Phoebus

Apr 5, 2026·KBL

L95–83

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Mar 8, 2026·KBL

W74–58

Suwon KTv

Mobis Phoebus

Jan 11, 2026·KBL

W75–78

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Dec 27, 2025·KBL

W73–76

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Oct 30, 2025·KBL

W74–73

Suwon KTv

Mobis Phoebus

Oct 7, 2025·KBLOT

L91–71

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Apr 3, 2025·KBL

W56–62

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Mar 2, 2025·KBL

W72–78

Mobis Phoebusv

Suwon KT

Jan 26, 2025·KBL

W91–78

Suwon KTv

Mobis Phoebus

Dec 24, 2024·KBL

150Avg total points

8.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

KBL · KBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Suwon KT

3–350%

Mobis Phoebus

1–420%

Recent Form

Suwon KT

8W 7L · last 15

at Anyang JungKwanJang69–89 Oct 17KBL

at KoGas69–82 Oct 14KBL

at KCC Egis87–81 Oct 11KBL

vs Goyang Sono88–79 Oct 9KBL

vs LG Sakers97–72 Oct 6KBL

vs Seoul Thunders76–81 Oct 4KBL

vs Goyang Sono96–114 Sep 27KBL

at Anyang JungKwanJang72–75 Sep 25KBL

vs Goyang Sono76–72 Apr 8KBL

vs Mobis Phoebus73–69 Apr 5KBL

vs LG Sakers60–87 Apr 3KBL

at Seoul Thunders83–78 Mar 29KBL

at KCC Egis84–79 Mar 27KBL

at Anyang JungKwanJang77–86 Mar 22KBL

vs KoGas84–82 OTMar 20KBL

Mobis Phoebus

5W 10L · last 15

at Goyang Sono82–95 Oct 16KBL

vs Wonju DB99–89 Oct 12KBL

vs KoGas75–81 Oct 10KBL

vs KCC Egis87–97 Oct 5KBL

at Anyang JungKwanJang85–88 Oct 3KBL

vs LG Sakers85–84 Sep 26KBL

at KoGas87–82 Sep 24KBL

vs LG Sakers78–56 Apr 8KBL

at Suwon KT69–73 Apr 5KBL

at Anyang JungKwanJang71–95 Apr 4KBL

vs Wonju DB81–90 Mar 30KBL

vs Seoul Knights58–69 Mar 28KBL

at Seoul Thunders73–76 Mar 23KBL

at Goyang Sono86–90 OTMar 21KBL

vs KCC Egis85–74 Mar 15KBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Suwon KT

13 games

Stats

3–2

Mobis Phoebus

13 games

Suwon KT leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+3.3pp

50.8%

+3.3pp

54.1%

3-point %+2.9pp

28.4%

+2.9pp

31.3%

Free-throw %+3.1pp

75.2%

+3.1pp

72.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.5pp apart

29.0%

0.5pp apart

29.5%

Free throws per shot1.4pp apart

22.1%

1.4pp apart

20.7%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+4.2

38.4

+4.2

34.2

Turnovers per game1.7 fewer

10.5

1.7 fewer

12.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.