Serie A2FinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Rimini91Mestre76

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–1050%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Rimini and Mestre.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Rimini	20	26	29	16
Mestre	16	23	17	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Rimini are 1-2 and still without a home win, while Mestre have been beaten heavily twice at home but won 79-57 at Torino.

The likely outcome is a Rimini win something like 79-70. Of the prices on offer, only under 153.5 combined points at 1.79 gives anything back; Rimini's win at 1.14, the -11.5 handicap at 1.82 and the overs at 1.71 and 1.69 do not.

Context

Both teams sit 1-2 after three Serie A2 games, and Mestre's 36.4% shooting in those games against Rimini's 0-1 home record frames the matchup without any confirmed swing in personnel.

Rimini opened at home with a 73-72 loss to Avellino on 4 October, then went down 78-66 at Fortitudo Bologna eight days later. Their 74.0 points per game is higher than Mestre's 67.3, and they shoot 45.5% from the field, but the home defeat leaves them chasing a first PalaFlaminio win of the campaign. Mestre's visit is the next chance to convert that scoring output into a home result, and the one-point margin against Avellino shows how narrow the difference has been.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 and 0-1 at home after three league games.
- Avellino won 73-72 at PalaFlaminio on 4 October 2026.
- Fortitudo Bologna beat Rimini 78-66 on 11 October 2026.
Mestre's three league games have produced 67.3 points on 36.4% shooting, with 8.3 made three-pointers at 28.4%. They have conceded 77.3 points per game, while Rimini allow 70.0 and hold opponents to 39.5% from the field and 25.0% from beyond the arc. The shooting gap is the central question of the matchup: Mestre's defence has kept scores low, but they will likely need more than 67 points at PalaFlaminio, where Rimini have already lost once by a single point.
- Mestre have scored 67.3 points per game and shot 36.4% from the field in three league games.
- Mestre have made 8.3 three-pointers per game at 28.4%.
- Mestre are 1-2 but have won their only away game.
The teams met twice in the 2025-26 league season and Rimini won both. The April game at PalaFlaminio finished 95-81, and the October 2025 meeting in Mestre ended 92-73, so both margins reached double figures. The current Mestre side has been stronger on the road (1-0) than at home (0-2) in the opening rounds, which is the one detail pointing against a repeat of those one-sided scorelines.
- Rimini beat Mestre 95-81 at PalaFlaminio on 5 April 2026.
- Rimini won 92-73 in Mestre on 12 October 2025.
- Both games were Serie A2 fixtures.
Mestre travel to Rimini on Sunday and are back at the Taliercio on Wednesday evening against Ruvo di Puglia. The club put tickets for the Ruvo game on sale on 17 October, the day before the Rimini trip, and had already flagged the Rimini visit as its second away journey of the season. Mestre's staff must plan minutes across two games in four days, and the opener on the road, which Mestre won, is the only evidence so far of how they handle a trip.
- Mestre play at Rimini on 18 October 2026 at 18:00 local time.
- Mestre host Ruvo di Puglia on 21 October 2026 at 20:30.
- The Rimini fixture is Mestre's second away game of the season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 153.5

1.79fair 1.66

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 60.3%

+4.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. The game has fewer than 153.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Rimini score more efficiently and defend better than Mestre in the early Serie A2 table, and their home floor has produced a narrow one-point loss rather than a collapse, so they should control the scoreboard at a moderate pace. Mestre's shooting (36.4% from the field this season per the preview) limits them to roughly 70 points with a small road penalty.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rimini and 15 for Mestre, across seasons and competitions.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonRimini +3.5Estimated chance77.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRiminiEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonRiminiEstimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Mestre cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rimini and 15 for Mestre, across seasons and competitions.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonMestre +4.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Mestre cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostMestre +3.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Mestre cover +11.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · HandicaplostMestre +11.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Mestre cover +6.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostMestre +6.5Estimated chance55.1%

Points2 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini score fewer than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostRimini under 82.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. The game has fewer than 153.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 153.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostRimini under 41.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostRimini under 20.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. The 1st half has fewer than 76.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 76.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 38.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 38.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 38.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 38.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Mestre score fewer than 71.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostMestre under 71.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.0, Mestre 69.5. Rimini score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Rimini are 1-2 in Serie A2 2026-27, scoring 74.0 and conceding 70.0 per game (three games, 11 Oct 2026), including a 73-72 home loss to Avellino on 4 Oct.
- Mestre are 1-2 this season scoring 67.3 and conceding 77.3 per game, but their only win was 79-57 away at Basket Torino on 27 Sep 2026; their home games produced 74-87 and 49-88.
- Across 15 tracked games each, Rimini shoot 49.6% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers versus Mestre's 47.0% and 32.8%; rebounds are level (32.1 vs 32.3) and Mestre turn it over more (10.1 vs 8.9 per game).
- Rimini won both 2025-26 Serie A2 meetings: 95-81 at home on 5 Apr 2026 and 92-73 in Mestre on 12 Oct 2025, though those came with different rosters.
- Mestre's K. Curry averages 18.0 points on 28.2 minutes in three games, while Rimini's rotation is balanced with no player above 9.3 points per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonRimini under 20.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 13:16

Selected line

153.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

40%

Chance of 154+ points

19 pp below break-even

Over 1.71 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 40%.

Move the line main 153.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W95–81

Riminiv

Mestre

Apr 5, 2026·SER

W73–92

Mestrev

Rimini

Oct 12, 2025·SER

170.5Avg total points

16.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Serie A2 · Serie A2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Rimini

1–233%

Mestre

1–233%

Recent Form

Rimini

7W 8L · last 15

at Fortitudo Bologna66–78 Oct 11SER

vs Avellino Basket72–73 Oct 4SER

at Montecatini84–59 Sep 27SER

vs Verona75–83 Jun 14SER

vs Verona82–70 Jun 12SER

at Verona76–84 Jun 9SER

at Verona74–84 Jun 7SER

vs Cividale87–76 May 28SER

vs Cividale83–66 May 26SER

at Cividale69–85 May 23SER

at Cividale84–69 May 21SER

at Pesaro91–78 May 19SER

vs Pesaro94–96 May 16SER

vs Pesaro93–75 May 14SER

at Pesaro79–94 May 11SER

Mestre

4W 11L · last 15

vs Sassari74–87 Oct 10SER

vs Libertas Livorno49–88 Oct 3SER

at Basket Torino79–57 Sep 27SER

at JuVi Cremona82–83 Apr 26SER

vs Libertas Livorno82–90 Apr 18SER

at Verona68–87 Apr 12SER

vs Avellino Basket83–85 Apr 8SER

at Rimini81–95 Apr 5SER

vs Brindisi86–70 Mar 28SER

vs Pesaro75–93 Mar 21SER

at Cento82–61 Mar 7SER

vs Urania Milano84–93 Feb 27SER

vs Pistoia90–85 Feb 21SER

at Basket Torino73–75 Feb 15SER

at Sebastiani Rieti80–82 OTFeb 8SER

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rimini

Stats

4–1

Mestre

Rimini leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+2.6pp

49.6%

+2.6pp

47.0%

3-point %+4.5pp

37.3%

+4.5pp

32.8%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

74.1%

+0.1pp

74.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.5pp apart

37.7%

4.5pp apart

33.2%

Free throws per shot5.3pp apart

28.2%

5.3pp apart

33.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.2

32.1

+0.2

32.3

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

8.9

1.2 fewer

10.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.