Liga ACBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Real Madrid119Bilbao84

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 Predictions graded

Predictions11–379%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Real Madrid and Bilbao.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Real Madrid	36	26	27	30
Bilbao	13	22	22	27

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Unbeaten Real Madrid host a Bilbao side on a three-game run, with Madrid's forward rotation thinner after Gabriel Deck's shoulder surgery and a fourth game in eight days.

The 95.8-84.1 expected score points to a Madrid win, overtime included. One price holds up: under 46.5 combined points in the third quarter at 1.91. Over 183.5 combined points at 1.9 does not.

Context

Deck's confirmed shoulder surgery removes a forward from Madrid's rotation for months, Madrid play their fourth game in eight days, and Bilbao arrive with three straight wins, so the conditions genuinely shape how this game is played.

Real Madrid's medical staff flagged Gabriel Deck's left shoulder on 12 October and the club confirmed two days later that the Argentina international forward had been operated on for anterior instability, with rehabilitation starting immediately. Pedro Martínez had already described the problem as worse than first thought. Reported recovery windows range from several weeks to roughly four months, and no return date has been announced. Deck was part of Real Madrid's forward rotation before the shoulder problem, so his absence removes a physical, rebounding wing from the options for the Bilbao game and shifts minutes towards Chuma Okeke, Jaime Pradilla and Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had undergone surgery to treat anterior instability in his left shoulder and would begin rehabilitation.
- The club issued a first medical report on the same shoulder on 12 October.
- Coach Pedro Martínez said on 11 October that the injury was more serious than first expected.
Bilbao opened the Liga ACB with a 107-92 home win over Manresa, lost 104-101 in overtime at Leyma Coruña on 4 October after Darrun Hilliard's buzzer three forced the extra period, then beat San Pablo Burgos at Miribilla on 11 October and Slavia Praha 97-86 in Europe on 14 October, with a 92-79 Champions League win at Igokea in between. That leaves Jaume Ponsarnau's team 2-1 domestically and unbeaten in Europe, scoring heavily at home. The visit to Real Madrid is their first game against a EuroLeague-level roster this season, so the run has been built against a different level of opposition and the step up is the open question.
- Bilbao beat San Pablo Burgos at Miribilla on 11 October to move to 2-1 in the Liga ACB.
- They followed it with a 97-86 Basketball Champions League win over Slavia Praha on 14 October.
- Their only Liga ACB defeat came 104-101 in overtime at Leyma Coruña on 4 October.
Real Madrid played Manresa in the Liga ACB on 11 October, Olimpia Milano in the EuroLeague on 13 October and ASVEL on 15 October, winning all three, with Andrés Feliz scoring 26 in the ASVEL game and Théo Maledon adding 16. The Bilbao fixture is their fourth game in eight days and comes three days after the European double week closed, so Pedro Martínez may again spread the load across a deep squad that includes Sergio Llull, Max Shulga and Olivier Sarr. Real Madrid are unbeaten domestically and have home advantage, though the club has not said how it will manage minutes in this game.
- Real Madrid beat ASVEL 111-92 in the EuroLeague on 15 October.
- Two days earlier they won 98-89 at Olimpia Milano, closing the double week with two victories.
- The win over Manresa on 11 October was their third in five days and kept them unbeaten after three Liga ACB rounds.
Ponsarnau spent the Champions League night against Slavia Praha giving minutes to the fringes of his roster and Bilbao still won 97-86 to go 2-0 in Europe. He was not satisfied afterwards, saying the players were angry about the performance and that they had to compete for the whole 40 minutes in Madrid. The relevant question for this fixture is how much of that bench depth he trusts against a EuroLeague side, and whether the players who carried the domestic win over Burgos on 11 October start again three days after the European game.
- Bilbao's 97-86 win over Slavia Praha on 14 October gave significant minutes to the less-used members of the rotation.
- Ponsarnau said his players were angry about the performance despite the win.
- He asked the team to compete for the full 40 minutes at the Movistar Arena.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

3rd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 46.5

1.91fair 1.65

Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60.7%

+8.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Real Madrid are the stronger side and at home have scored heavily while keeping opponents near 85; Bilbao's three-game run is real but built mostly against ACB and Champions League opposition, and their away scoring should fall against this defense. Deck's absence trims Real's forward depth but not enough to outweigh the gap.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid win in about 82 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonReal MadridEstimated chance82.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonReal MadridEstimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance73.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Real Madrid and 15 for Bilbao, across seasons and competitions.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonReal Madrid +0.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Real Madrid and 15 for Bilbao, across seasons and competitions.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonReal Madrid -1.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance60.9%

Points3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Bilbao score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBilbao under 22.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 46.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Bilbao score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBilbao under 86.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid score fewer than 24.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostReal Madrid under 24.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. The game has fewer than 183.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 183.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 95.8, Bilbao 84.1. Real Madrid score more than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid averaged 97.4 points scored and 89.8 conceded across their nine 2026-27 games through 15 October.
- At home this season Real averaged 101.5 points in four games (ASVEL, Manresa, Partizan, Unicaja) while conceding 84.5.
- Bilbao were 2-1 in the ACB through 11 October, averaging 101.3 points scored and 94.3 conceded in those three league games.
- Bilbao's five 2026-27 games through 14 October average 98.6 scored and 89.6 conceded, including 92 at Igokea and 101 in an overtime loss at Coruna.
- Real won the last three meetings in Madrid 82-70 on 16 November 2025, 88-70 on 30 March 2025 and 95-80 on 21 January 2024, though Bilbao won 88-82 at home on 14 May 2026.
- Real Madrid confirmed on 14 October that Gabriel Deck had left-shoulder surgery, removing a forward from the rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonReal Madrid over 23.5Estimated chance57.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

183.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

43%

Chance of 184+ points

10 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 43%.

Move the line main 183.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L88–82

Bilbaov

Real Madrid

May 14, 2026·ACB

W82–70

Real Madridv Bilbao

Bilbao

Nov 16, 2025·ACB

W88–70

Real Madridv Bilbao

Bilbao

Mar 30, 2025·ACB

L83–79

Bilbaov

Real Madrid

Oct 13, 2024·ACB

W95–80

Real Madridv Bilbao

Bilbao

Jan 21, 2024·ACB

W84–87

Bilbaov

Real Madrid

Nov 12, 2023·ACB

W86–65

Real Madridv Bilbao

Bilbao

Mar 12, 2023·ACB

W80–85

Bilbaov

Real Madrid

Dec 27, 2022·ACB

L79–67

Bilbaov

Real Madrid

Apr 13, 2022·ACB

W95–61

Real Madridv Bilbao

Bilbao

Nov 7, 2021·ACB

160.6Avg total points

13Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Real Madrid

3–0100%

Bilbao

2–167%

Recent Form

Real Madrid

7W 8L · last 15

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne111–92 Oct 15EUR

at Olimpia Milano98–89 Oct 13EUR

vs Manresa120–83 Oct 11ACB

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet86–76 Oct 8EUR

at Obradoiro CAB114–107 OTOct 4ACB

at Hapoel Tel Aviv98–102 Oct 1EUR

at Anadolu Efes84–94 Sep 29EUR

vs Unicaja89–87 Sep 27ACB

at Dubai77–78 Sep 24EUR

vs Tenerife95–107 Jun 6ACB

at Tenerife118–83 Jun 4ACB

vs Tenerife97–98 Jun 2ACB

at Manresa87–94 May 29ACB

vs Baskonia83–88 May 27ACB

at Olympiacos85–92 May 24EUR

Bilbao

9W 6L · last 15

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK97–86 Oct 14CL

vs San Pablo Burgos96–87 Oct 11ACB

at Igokea92–79 Oct 6CL

at Leyma Coruna101–104 OTOct 4ACB

vs Manresa107–92 Sep 26ACB

vs Valencia71–88 Jun 5ACB

at Valencia80–83 Jun 3ACB

at Tenerife87–82 May 29ACB

vs Basquet Girona86–80 May 24ACB

at Valencia83–88 May 17ACB

vs Real Madrid88–82 May 14ACB

at Forca Lleida81–90 May 10ACB

vs Granada88–83 May 3ACB

vs PAOK89–74 Apr 29FIB

at PAOK73–79 Apr 22FIB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Real Madrid

Stats

3–1

Bilbao

Real Madrid leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–0

2-point %+6.6pp

59.3%

+6.6pp

52.7%

3-point %—

34.9%

—

34.9%

Free-throw %12/15 games+4.3pp

79.6%

+4.3pp

75.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games6.4pp apart

29.5%

6.4pp apart

35.9%

Free throws per shot12/15 games5.3pp apart

35.6%

5.3pp apart

40.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.7

35.1

+2.7

32.4

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.3

0.8 fewer

11.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.