1 LigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Poznan90Lancut80

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–858%

Points by period: Poznan and Lancut.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Poznan	22	21	15	32
Lancut	20	19	17	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 2-2 teams, each 18 points to the good across four league games, meet with Poznań's 94.0 points per game this season against Łańcut's rebounding and two-point efficiency.

Poznań are the likelier winner, with the 40-minute score at 90.1 points to 85.1 points, and the game leans toward more than 163.5 combined points. No price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Poznań's backcourt is without Jan Malesa for around six weeks after collateral ligament damage, and Paweł Kikowski has signed on a two-month deal but his first appearance and minutes are unconfirmed. Both teams are 2-2, each 18 points to the good.

Kikowski, a 40-year-old shooting guard/small forward, spent last season with Spójnia Stargard, averaging 10.3 points and hitting 39.4% of his three-pointers while helping the team to bronze. Poznań signed him on a two-month deal after Jan Malesa damaged knee ligaments, presenting the move as a way to keep backcourt depth. He has trained with the squad since arriving. His first appearance is expected against Łańcut, but the club has not confirmed he will play or how many minutes he can take after a summer without league games.
- Poznań announced a two-month contract with Paweł Kikowski on 13 October.
- Kikowski averaged 10.3 points and shot 39.4% from three for Spójnia Stargard last season while helping the team to the league bronze medal.
- The club framed the signing as a response to Jan Malesa's injury and a way to keep the rotation deep.
Malesa, a perimeter player in Poznań's rotation, went down in the 4 October home game. Tests found collateral ligament damage and the club set an absence of roughly six weeks, with a review after a month to refine the timeline. That rules him out of the Łańcut game and prompted Poznań to sign Paweł Kikowski on a two-month contract, so the backcourt for Sunday is patched rather than settled. No precise comeback date has been given.
- Malesa hurt his knee in the 4 October home game.
- Tests showed damage to a collateral ligament and he was ruled out for about six weeks.
- A check-up after a month was scheduled to establish a clearer return date.
Poznań went to the team that finished as league runners-up last season and stayed within reach until the closing minutes. Blanton carried the offence with 23 points on five-of-six three-point shooting, plus nine rebounds and six assists, while Siewruk and Nowicki also reached double figures, but the hosts held their floor. Poznań now return home for Łańcut with a reshuffled backcourt after Malesa's injury and Kikowski's arrival, and the question is whether that scoring spread carries over.
- ŁKS Łódź beat Poznań 86-79 on 11 October.
- Devontae Blanton had 23 points, nine rebounds, six assists and hit five of six three-pointers.
- Filip Siewruk added 16 points and Jan Nowicki 14.
Newly promoted Bytom won on Łańcut's home floor, with Hutchinson's 21 points leading the way. The defeat followed an opening-night loss in Warsaw and checked a start that had included a home win over Starogard Gdański. Łańcut now travel to Poznań having given up 91 at home, and they meet a Poznań side whose leading scorer, Devontae Blanton, does much of his damage from the perimeter.
- Bytom beat Łańcut 91-84 on 11 October for their second win since promotion.
- Devin Hutchinson scored 21 points with three rebounds and three assists for Bytom.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPoznan +4.5Estimated chance79.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan win in about 65 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPoznanEstimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPoznanEstimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPoznanEstimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPoznan +0.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPoznanEstimated chance55.8%

Points6 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance82.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 163.5Estimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPoznan over 19.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPoznan over 41.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Lancut score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLancut over 18.5Estimated chance69.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Poznan score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPoznan over 20.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. The 1st quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 84.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Lancut score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostLancut over 40.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Lancut score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Poznan and 15 for Lancut, across seasons and competitions.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLancut under 22.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Lancut score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointslostLancut over 83.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Poznan 90.1, Lancut 85.1. Lancut score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Poznań are averaging 94.0 points in four 1 Liga games this season (79-86 loss at ŁKS Łódź on 11 October, 94-99 home loss to Spójnia, 107-98 win at Krosno, 96-75 home win over Poli. Opolska), up from 78.8 across their last 11 games of 2025-26.
- Łańcut are conceding 81.8 per game in 2026-27 (four games to 11 October: 95, 65, 76, 91) against 88.8 last season, and their season scoring is 86.3.
- Both teams sit 2-2 with an identical +18 point differential after four rounds in the 1. Liga table observed 18 October.
- Shooting over 15 tracked games: Poznań 51.8% on twos, 35.1% on threes, 65.4% free throws; Łańcut 56.2% on twos, 32.0% on threes, 73.9% free throws.
- Łańcut rebound better (35.7 vs 32.2 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (14.3 vs 12.7).
- Recent head-to-head: Łańcut won 90-77 at home on 18 January 2026; Poznań won 91-64 at home on 27 September 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostLancut over 20.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 13:16

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

77%

Chance of 164+ points

+22 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 77%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 77%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 23%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L90–77

Lancutv

Poznan

Jan 18, 2026·1 L

W91–64

Poznanv

Lancut

Sep 27, 2025·1 L

L77–105

Poznanv

Lancut

Mar 8, 2025·1 L

L86–76

Lancutv

Poznan

Nov 30, 2024·1 L

L77–92

Poznanv

Lancut

Dec 22, 2019·1 L

W84–78

Poznanv

Lancut

Feb 2, 2019·1 L

L89–88

Lancutv

Poznan

Oct 28, 2018·1 L

W86–75

Poznanv

Lancut

Feb 17, 2018·1 L

L83–70

Lancutv

Poznan

Nov 4, 2017·1 L

W72–74

Lancutv

Poznan

Feb 4, 2017·1 L

163.4Avg total points

12.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

1 Liga · 1. Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Poznan

2–250%

Lancut

2–250%

Recent Form

Poznan

2W 13L · last 15

at LKS Lodz79–86 Oct 111 L

vs Spojnia Stargard94–99 Oct 41 L

at Krosno107–98 Sep 261 L

vs Poli. Opolska96–75 Sep 191 L

vs Miners Katowice74–79 Apr 151 L

at R. Rzeszow75–77 Apr 121 L

vs Pelplin79–97 Apr 81 L

vs Zubry Bialystok84–90 Mar 291 L

at Starogard Gdanski84–93 Mar 251 L

at Bydgoszcz67–88 Mar 211 L

vs Poli. Opolska83–84 Mar 151 L

at LKS Lodz82–96 Mar 81 L

vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg86–102 Feb 281 L

at Spojnia Stargard77–82 Feb 211 L

at WKK Wroclaw76–82 Feb 71 L

Lancut

8W 7L · last 15

vs Bytom84–91 Oct 111 L

at GKS Tychy78–65 Oct 31 L

vs Starogard Gdanski90–76 Sep 261 L

at Polonia Warszawa93–95 Sep 211 L

vs Starogard Gdanski82–91 Apr 261 L

vs Starogard Gdanski82–81 Apr 251 L

at Starogard Gdanski90–91 Apr 191 L

at Starogard Gdanski81–94 Apr 181 L

at Poli. Opolska104–96 Apr 151 L

vs LKS Lodz77–90 Apr 121 L

at Kotwica Kolobrzeg84–104 Apr 81 L

vs Spojnia Stargard80–78 Mar 291 L

vs Bydgoszcz79–71 Mar 251 L

vs WKK Wroclaw96–94 Mar 131 L

at Inowroclaw101–87 Mar 71 L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Poznan

Stats

2–3

Lancut

Lancut leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.4pp

51.8%

+4.4pp

56.2%

3-point %+3.1pp

35.1%

+3.1pp

32.0%

Free-throw %+8.5pp

65.4%

+8.5pp

73.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.4pp apart

32.3%

0.4pp apart

32.7%

Free throws per shot11.9pp apart

29.7%

11.9pp apart

41.6%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.5

32.2

+3.5

35.7

Turnovers per game1.6 fewer

12.7

1.6 fewer

14.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.