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Predictions graded

KK Krka Novo mesto78Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet97

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1237%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: KK Krka Novo mesto and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
KK Krka Novo mesto	18	24	20	16
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	27	17	30	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian championship but 0-2 in the ABA League, and now meet a Zvezda side on four straight EuroLeague wins with barely 48 hours between games.

Zvezda should win, probably by double digits around a 71-87 scoreline, though a thin frontcourt and Thursday's Partizan derby leave room for something closer. Under 163.5 combined points at 1.92 and Zvezda -12.5 at 1.94 both offer something at those numbers.

Context

Zvezda's frontcourt is short-handed with Ojeleye out and Motley unavailable while Izundu works back from an ankle sprain, and the fixture sits under 48 hours after the Paris game and four days before the Partizan derby. Krka's domestic form is strong but has not yet translated against ABA League defence.

Ojeleye had been part of the patchwork frontcourt that Crvena zvezda used through the EuroLeague double week, when neither Jonathan Motley nor Ebuka Izundu was available. The Belgrade club named Davidovac, Nwora, Moneke and Ojeleye as the players covering the interior for the trip to ASVEL, and Ojeleye has been the most natural small-ball five of that group. His absence for the ABA League game in Novo mesto pushes more interior work onto Nwora and Moneke, who are both natural forwards. The nature of his absence has not been disclosed, and no replacement starter has been named.
- Semi Ojeleye is not part of the Crvena zvezda group for the fourth-round ABA League game at Krka on 18 October.
- With the two specialist centres unavailable on 16 October, Dejan Davidovac, Jordan Nwora, Chima Moneke and Semi Ojeleye were the interior options.
- Ebuka Izundu is listed again among the available players for the same trip.
Izundu went down in the second quarter of the ABA League win over Budućnost on 10 October and was clearly uncomfortable leaving the floor, which briefly left Crvena zvezda without either of its specialist centres because Jonathan Motley was already sidelined. The club then played the EuroLeague double week with forwards inside, and the coaching staff described the ankle as a matter of hours rather than days. His return to the group restores a genuine five against Krka, a game in which Zvezda's size advantage would otherwise rest entirely on forwards. Whether he starts, and how many minutes the ankle allows, has not been indicated.
- Ebuka Izundu sprained his right ankle in the second quarter against Budućnost on 10 October, struggled to walk off and did not return.
- He missed the EuroLeague game at ASVEL on 13 October, when the club travelled without a traditional centre.
- His recovery was being taken hour by hour rather than day by day, with the staff hoping he would be ready for the next game.
- Izundu is again among the players in contention for the ABA League game in Novo mesto on 18 October.
Motley has been unavailable for long enough that the club was already describing him as sidelined when Izundu went down against Budućnost on 10 October. The pairing of absences forced Crvena zvezda into small lineups for both EuroLeague games of the double week, with Davidovac, Nwora, Moneke and Ojeleye sharing the interior. Izundu's return to contention for the Krka game removes part of that problem, but with Motley still out and Ojeleye also missing the trip, the rotation has one specialist centre and a group of forwards behind him. No return date for Motley has been given.
- Jonathan Motley was already sidelined when Ebuka Izundu injured his ankle on 10 October.
- A 16 October update listed Motley and Izundu together as unavailable because of injuries.
- Without either centre, Zvezda used Dejan Davidovac, Jordan Nwora, Chima Moneke and Semi Ojeleye inside.
Zvezda closed the EuroLeague double week with wins over ASVEL in France and Paris in Belgrade, the second of them 90-81 with Moneke scoring 23 points. Rather than returning to Belgrade, the squad went directly to Slovenia for the ABA League fixture in Novo mesto, a game that begins under 48 hours after the Paris game ended, and the first EuroLeague derby of the season against Partizan is scheduled for the following Thursday. That squeeze shapes how the staff use a roster already missing Motley and Ojeleye, because the Krka trip sits between two EuroLeague commitments. No rest or rotation plan has been announced.
- Crvena zvezda beat Paris 90-81 at home on 16 October for a fourth consecutive EuroLeague victory, completing a double week that also included a win at ASVEL.
- Chima Moneke scored 23 points with a PIR of 32 in the Paris win and was named player of the game.
- The team travelled to Slovenia on 17 October, with the fourth-round ABA League game at Krka starting less than 48 hours after the Paris final buzzer.
- The first EuroLeague derby of the season against Partizan follows on Thursday 22 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 163.5

1.92fair 1.61

Market 52.1% · BetBugs 62.1%

+10.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. The game has fewer than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Zvezda are the deeper, better-shooting side and have scored around 90 in their ABA games, while Krka's two home ABA games produced only 68 and 72 points. Zvezda's short turnaround and thin frontcourt should keep the gap from becoming a blowout.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet -12.5

1.94fair 1.69

Market 51.5% · BetBugs 59.2%

+7.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover -12.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Zvezda are the deeper, better-shooting side and have scored around 90 in their ABA games, while Krka's two home ABA games produced only 68 and 72 points. Zvezda's short turnaround and thin frontcourt should keep the gap from becoming a blowout.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet win in about 89 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance88.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 88 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance87.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance79.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for KK Krka Novo mesto and 15 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet +2.5Estimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for KK Krka Novo mesto and 15 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet, across seasons and competitions.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.5Estimated chance76.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.94
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover -12.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · HandicapwonCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet -12.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover -6.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet -6.5Estimated chance58.3%

Points0 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto under 75.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.92
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. The game has fewer than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 163.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto under 37.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. The 1st half has fewer than 81.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 81.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto under 18.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet under 22.5Estimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet over 21.5Estimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 71.3, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 86.7. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet score fewer than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Krka are 0-2 in the ABA League, losing 68-79 at home to FMP on 11 October and 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October.
- Krka are 4-0 in the Slovenian League, including a 92-68 home win over Helios on 14 October, but that is a lower-level competition.
- Zvezda have won four straight EuroLeague games, including 90-81 over Paris on 16 October, and scored 101 and 89 in their two ABA games.
- Across 15 games Zvezda shoot 57.8% on two-pointers and 34.3% on threes, against Krka's 55.8% and 32.6%; rebounds are 32.5 to 31.5 per game.
- In the last five ABA meetings in Novo mesto from 2019 to 2024, Krka averaged 65.4 points and Zvezda 86.8.
- Zvezda are without Semi Ojeleye, reported out on 17 October, and Jonathan Motley, while Ebuka Izundu is returning from an ankle sprain; Zvezda played on 16 October and Krka last played on 14 October.
BetBugs · Team PointslostCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet under 88.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

38%

Chance of 164+ points

15 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 38%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L81–69

Crvena zvezdav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Apr 27, 2025·ABA

L67–79

KK Krka Novo mestov

Crvena zvezda

Dec 29, 2024·ABA

L110–57

Crvena zvezdav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Mar 10, 2024·ABA

L67–90

KK Krka Novo mestov

Crvena zvezda

Nov 27, 2023·ABA

L76–56

Crvena zvezdav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Mar 28, 2022·ABA

L70–71

KK Krka Novo mestov

Crvena zvezda

Dec 11, 2021·ABA

L57–98

KK Krka Novo mestov

Crvena zvezda mts

Apr 20, 2021·ABA

L88–62

Crvena zvezda mtsv

KK Krka Novo mesto

Nov 2, 2020·ABA

L66–96

KK Krka Novo mestov

Crvena zvezda mts

Jan 4, 2019·ABA

L80–66

Crvena zvezda mtsv

KK Krka Novo mesto

Oct 13, 2018·ABA

150.6Avg total points

23.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

ABA League · AdmiralBet ABA League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

KK Krka Novo mesto

0–20%

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

1–150%

Recent Form

KK Krka Novo mesto

9W 6L · last 15

vs Helios Domzale92–68 Oct 14LIG

vs FMP Beograd68–79 Oct 11ABA

at Perspektiva Ilirija83–82 Oct 7LIG

vs Buducnost72–77 Oct 2ABA

vs Zlatorog Lasko77–61 Sep 29LIG

vs Tajfun Sentjur87–55 Sep 22LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija71–67 Sep 17SUP

vs Cedevita Olimpija71–87 Jun 1LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija74–91 May 30LIG

vs Cedevita Olimpija89–90 OTMay 27LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija97–74 May 23LIG

at Perspektiva Ilirija89–105 May 21LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija94–80 May 18LIG

at Polzela86–80 May 10LIG

vs Polzela94–58 May 7LIG

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

8W 7L · last 15

vs Paris90–81 Oct 16EUR

at Lyon-Villeurbanne84–82 Oct 13EUR

vs Buducnost101–91 Oct 10ABA

at Dubai77–58 Oct 8EUR

at FMP Beograd89–90 Oct 4ABA

vs Anadolu Efes77–72 Oct 1EUR

vs Hapoel Tel Aviv80–81 Sep 29EUR

vs Zalgiris Kaunas77–83 Sep 24EUR

vs Spartak Subotica89–90 May 29SUP

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet78–89 May 21ABA

at Partizan Mozzart Bet94–100 May 18ABA

vs Cedevita Olimpija95–86 May 15ABA

at Cedevita Olimpija86–92 May 12ABA

vs Cedevita Olimpija101–92 May 7ABA

vs Zlatibor116–62 May 3SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

KK Krka Novo mesto

Stats

2–3

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.0pp

55.8%

+2.0pp

57.8%

3-point %+1.7pp

32.6%

+1.7pp

34.3%

Free-throw %15/12 games+2.8pp

76.6%

+2.8pp

73.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.3pp apart

30.7%

0.3pp apart

31.0%

Free throws per shot15/12 games5.9pp apart

39.2%

5.9pp apart

33.3%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game15/13 games+1.0

31.5

+1.0

32.5

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

11.3

0.4 fewer

11.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.