LNB ÉliteFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Gravelines-Dunkerque83Dijon92

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–569%

Points by period: Gravelines-Dunkerque and Dijon.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Gravelines-Dunkerque	20	22	26	15
Dijon	30	23	21	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Unbeaten Dijon, top of LNB Élite at 3-0, visit a Gravelines side still without a league win and with Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin reported injured inside, though Quinn's status is unconfirmed.

The expected score after 40 minutes is 78.0-87.9, so a Dijon win is the likely outcome, even though Gravelines have taken three of the last four meetings on their own floor. No price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Quinn and Martin reported injured leaves Gravelines thin inside against Dijon's 213cm centre Shevon Thompson, and Holston's return restores the visitors' main backcourt threat; Quinn's availability for this game is not confirmed.

Gravelines started the season without Neal Quinn, their 213cm centre, and the club signed former Olympiakos big man Hassan Martin on 18 September on an initial two-month deal as cover. Martin was hurt himself within days, and by 27 September Gravelines were looking at yet another medical signing; a 4 October bulletin described the treatment room as still full. With Quinn out and Martin also affected, the interior minutes fall to younger options, including 18-year-old Jahel Trèfle. Dijon's Shevon Thompson, a 213cm centre, gives the visitors a direct way to test that thin frontcourt. Gravelines have not confirmed Quinn's status for this game.
- Neal Quinn was already injured when Gravelines signed Hassan Martin as his replacement on 18 September.
- Hassan Martin was hurt himself within days, and Gravelines were already considering another medical signing by 27 September.
- The club's treatment room was still full before the 4 October game against ASVEL.
Thorpe's injury was given a six-week timeline in late September, which points to a return in early November, beyond this fixture. Gravelines responded by signing R.J. Nembhard, a 27-year-old guard with NBA experience, as a medical replacement on 1 October. The move followed the earlier signing of Hassan Martin to cover Neal Quinn, so the club has already used two medical jokers in the opening weeks. Nembhard gives the coaching staff another ball-handler while Thorpe recovers, but the roster remains in flux during a winless start. Thorpe's exact return date has not been announced.
- L.J. Thorpe is expected to be out for around six weeks after being injured in late September.
- R.J. Nembhard signed as Thorpe's medical replacement on 1 October.
Holston, 40, missed time with a thigh injury before returning for the home game against Limoges on 9 October. He hit 9 of 10 shots on the way to 28 points in a 108-96 win, and coach Vincent Dumestre described it as an MVP-level performance. The result kept Dijon unbeaten at 3-0 and top of the table. His return removes the clearest fitness question over the visitors' backcourt before the trip to Dewerdt, though the club has not said how heavy a workload he will carry in a second game inside a week.
- David Holston returned from a thigh injury on 9 October and scored 28 points on 9-of-10 shooting in a 108-96 win over Limoges.
- Vincent Dumestre said Holston played at MVP level in that game.
Dijon have opened with three straight league wins and lead Betclic Élite after beating Limoges 108-96 at home on 9 October. Gravelines have lost all three, including an overtime defeat to Le Mans at Dewerdt, a home loss to ASVEL and a 101-73 beating at Nanterre; they also went out of the Coupe de France 106-81 at Denain. The table separates the sides sharply: the visitors arrive unbeaten, the hosts without a win. Gravelines' two home defeats were closer than the Nanterre margin, so the gap between the records overstates the gap between the performances so far.
- Dijon's 108-96 home win over Limoges on 9 October kept them unbeaten at 3-0 and top of Betclic Élite.
- Gravelines lost 101-73 at Nanterre on 10 October, their third league defeat in three games.
- Gravelines lost their opener to Le Mans in overtime and went down at home to ASVEL.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon win in about 78 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDijonEstimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonDijonEstimated chance76.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonDijonEstimated chance69.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon cover -5.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · HandicapwonDijon -5.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonDijonEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gravelines-Dunkerque and 15 for Dijon, across seasons and competitions.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonGravelines-Dunkerque +4.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gravelines-Dunkerque and 15 for Dijon, across seasons and competitions.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonGravelines-Dunkerque +5.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonDijon -2.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonDijonEstimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostDijonEstimated chance58.8%

Points2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 81.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 20.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 40.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonGravelines-Dunkerque under 20.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. Dijon score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonDijon over 21.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gravelines-Dunkerque 78.0, Dijon 87.9. The 1st half has fewer than 84.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Dijon are 3-0 in LNB Élite, scoring 92.7 and allowing 76.3 per game (278-229) through 9 October; Gravelines are 0-3 at 78.3-91.3 (235-274).
- Gravelines' last four across competitions average 79.0 scored and 95.0 allowed, including 73-101 at Nanterre on 10 October and 81-106 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Dijon's last four across competitions average 90.0 scored and 75.0 allowed, including 108-96 over Limoges on 9 October and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez on 3 October.
- Over 14 box-scored games, Dijon shoot 57.5% on twos, 38.5% on threes and 79.2% from the line with 12.0 turnovers; Gravelines shoot 53.6%, 36.6% and 73.7% with 13.3 turnovers.
- Gravelines have won three of the last four meetings at their own court, including 93-85 on 24 January 2026, but Dijon won the November 2025 meeting 109-83.
- Gravelines' Neal Quinn and Hassan Martin are reported injured inside, while Dijon's David Holston returned from a thigh problem with 28 points on 9 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 84.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

45%

Chance of 169+ points

7 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 45%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W93–85

Gravelines-Dunkerquev Dijon

Dijon

Jan 24, 2026·LNB

L109–83

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Nov 15, 2025·LNB

L93–77

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

May 3, 2025·LNB

L83–84

Gravelines-Dunkerquev Dijon

Dijon

Dec 27, 2024·LNB

L113–70

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Nov 27, 2024·FRE

W71–55

Gravelines-Dunkerquev Dijon

Dijon

Jan 27, 2024·LNB

L90–69

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Oct 7, 2023·LNB

L95–85

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

May 9, 2023·LNB

W71–69

Gravelines-Dunkerquev Dijon

Dijon

Oct 1, 2022·LNB

L99–85

Dijonv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

May 10, 2022·LNB

167.9Avg total points

15.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Gravelines-Dunkerque

0–30%

Dijon

3–0100%

Recent Form

Gravelines-Dunkerque

2W 13L · last 15

at Nanterre73–101 Oct 10LNB

at Denain-Voltaire81–106 Oct 6FRE

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne65–70 Oct 4LNB

vs Le Mans97–103 OTSep 26LNB

at JL Bourg78–95 May 16LNB

vs Nanterre80–85 OTMay 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne79–88 May 1LNB

vs Le Mans83–96 Apr 18LNB

at Limoges64–93 Apr 11LNB

vs Le Portel100–78 Apr 5LNB

at Chalon/Saone81–86 Mar 27LNB

vs Monaco77–89 Mar 21LNB

at Paris115–109 OTMar 15LNB

vs Boulazac91–92 Mar 8LNB

at Cholet85–91 Feb 13LNB

Dijon

8W 7L · last 15

at St. Chamond82–71 Oct 13FRE

vs Limoges108–96 Oct 9LNB

at Pau-Orthez89–61 Oct 3LNB

vs Strasbourg81–72 Sep 25LNB

at Le Portel126–80 May 16LNB

vs JL Bourg101–83 May 9LNB

at Nanterre69–87 May 2LNB

vs Boulazac103–85 Apr 17LNB

at Cholet74–111 Apr 11LNB

at Monaco95–108 Apr 5LNB

vs Paris76–92 Mar 27LNB

at Nancy94–96 Mar 20LNB

vs Saint Quentin119–127 OTMar 15LNB

at Strasbourg98–96 OTMar 7LNB

vs Limoges86–101 Feb 14LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Gravelines-Dunkerque

14 games

Stats

0–5

Dijon

14 games

Dijon leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.9pp

53.6%

+3.9pp

57.5%

3-point %+1.9pp

36.6%

+1.9pp

38.5%

Free-throw %+5.5pp

73.7%

+5.5pp

79.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.6pp apart

41.1%

6.6pp apart

34.5%

Free throws per shot2.0pp apart

31.7%

2.0pp apart

33.7%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.2

28.5

+1.2

29.7

Turnovers per game1.3 fewer

13.3

1.3 fewer

12.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.