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Predictions graded

Fenerbahce77Petkim Spor82

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1139%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Fenerbahce and Petkim Spor.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Fenerbahce	12	21	18	26
Petkim Spor	24	15	19	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Fenerbahce play their third game in six days, while Petkim Spor have been idle since 10 October.

Fenerbahce should still win, with an expected score near 91.5-80.2 after 40 minutes, but the 1.09 on that win offers nothing. Two prices do: the first half going over 82.5 combined points at 1.80, and Petkim with a 13.5-point start at 1.88.

Context

Fenerbahce have played twice since Petkim's last outing, a genuine freshness gap, though no Fenerbahce rotation plan is confirmed and the gap alone does not decide the result.

Fenerbahçe opened the week with a 99-80 EuroLeague win over Žalgiris Kaunas on 13 October and followed it with a 74-65 win over Partizan on 15 October, and the club had already billed the stretch as three games in six days with a 3-0 target. Sunday's 15:30 tip is the third of them, less than three days after the Partizan game, while Petkim have been idle since 10 October. Fenerbahçe's EuroLeague core played two games in three days, so the staff may reshape or shorten the domestic rotation, but no plan has been announced and any change to the starting five is unconfirmed.
- Fenerbahçe beat Zalgiris Kaunas 99-80 on 13 October and Partizan 74-65 on 15 October, both at home.
- The club billed the sequence as three games in six days and set a 3-0 target for the week.
- The Petkim Spor game is the third of those dates and tips at 15:30 local.
The blocks came in a second half that flipped the game: Fenerbahçe trailed early, then took the third quarter 34-16 on the way to 74-65, a fifth EuroLeague win of the season. Thirteen of the 14 blocks were on two-point attempts and 12 came within 2.25 metres of the rim, with Bingham's five the individual high. Those are the same big men who absorb the double-week load, so the question for Sunday is whether that paint protection holds on a short turnaround.
- Fenerbahçe's 14 blocks against Partizan broke the previous EuroLeague single-game record of 12, set by Žalgiris.
- Marcus Bingham Jr. blocked five shots in 21 minutes.
- Fenerbahçe won the third quarter 34-16 to turn the game.
Biberovic, a 2.01m forward, spent eight seasons in Istanbul and left at 25 for Dallas, where he hit three three-pointers in 19 minutes on debut. He had shot 43.9% from beyond the arc in the EuroLeague and 48.9% in the BSL the season before, and his exit came in the same summer that Devon Hall, Bonzie Colson, Khem Birch, Mikael Jantunen and Metecan Birsen also departed. The wing minutes now sit with Shields, Clyburn and Juzang, with Onuralp Bitim behind them, so the domestic pecking order is still being settled as Fenerbahçe meet Petkim.
- Tarik Biberovic joined the Dallas Mavericks after eight seasons at Fenerbahçe.
- He made his NBA debut on 9 October, hitting three three-pointers in 19 minutes.
- Fenerbahçe's summer arrivals included Will Clyburn, Shavon Shields, Shane Larkin, Braxton Key, Trent Forrest, Johnny Juzang, Marcus Bingham Jr., Sertaç Şanlı and Ignas Sargiunas.
Oscar Cluff scored 23 points and took eight rebounds as Körfez completed the comeback, and the defeat left Petkim 1-2 after a 96-87 loss at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October and an 85-81 home win over Denizli on 26 September. Every game has been tight, and the late execution that failed against Körfez is the part that travels badly to a road game at Fenerbahçe. Petkim have had eight days to work on it while Fenerbahçe played twice in that time, so freshness favours the visitors even if the results do not.
- Körfez Basket trailed by ten entering the fourth quarter and won 91-90 in Aliağa on 10 October.
- Petkim's first three league games finished 85-81, 96-87 and 90-91.
- Khyri Thomas was named among the league's notable performers for round three.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 82.5

1.80fair 1.59

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 63.1%

+7.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Fenerbahce are the stronger side at home in this league and their domestic defense has been leaky enough (89 points allowed per game) that Petkim should score respectably, but Petkim's road scoring has been limited and Fenerbahce's two-point efficiency and rebounding edge (35.5 vs 29.2 per game) point to a clear home win. Fenerbahce's third game in six days may trim the margin slightly, which is why the home total sits near 92 rather than higher.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Petkim Spor +13.5

1.88fair 1.76

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 56.7%

+3.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor cover +13.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Fenerbahce are the stronger side at home in this league and their domestic defense has been leaky enough (89 points allowed per game) that Petkim should score respectably, but Petkim's road scoring has been limited and Fenerbahce's two-point efficiency and rebounding edge (35.5 vs 29.2 per game) point to a clear home win. Fenerbahce's third game in six days may trim the margin slightly, which is why the home total sits near 92 rather than higher.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce win in about 81 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFenerbahceEstimated chance81.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostFenerbahceEstimated chance79.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor cover +8.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fenerbahce and 15 for Petkim Spor, across seasons and competitions.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPetkim Spor +8.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostFenerbahceEstimated chance72.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonFenerbahceEstimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostFenerbahceEstimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostFenerbahceEstimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor cover +13.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · HandicapwonPetkim Spor +13.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor cover +7.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPetkim Spor +7.5Estimated chance55.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce cover -1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fenerbahce and 15 for Petkim Spor, across seasons and competitions.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostFenerbahce -1.5Estimated chance55%

Points3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 82.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · Team PointswonPetkim Spor over 77.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Petkim Spor score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPetkim Spor over 38.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. The game has more than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 169.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostFenerbahce over 22.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. Fenerbahce score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonFenerbahce under 23.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fenerbahce 91.5, Petkim Spor 80.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Fenerbahce averaged 85.0 points scored and 77.9 conceded across their last 15 games (7 Jun–15 Oct 2026), including EuroLeague home wins of 99-80 over Zalgiris (13 Oct) and 74-65 over Partizan (15 Oct).
- In this season's BSL, Fenerbahce are 2-1 but have allowed 89.0 points per game (85, 84, 98) while scoring 89.3, per the current table of 268 for / 267 against in three games.
- Petkim Spor are 1-2 in the BSL this season, scoring 87.3 and conceding 89.3 per game; all three were single-digit margins, including the 91-90 home loss to Korfez Basket on 10 October.
- Petkim's away scoring last season was modest (71, 69, 90, 80, 60, 57 in the 2025-26 BSL sample), though they scored 87 at Esenler Erokspor on 3 October 2026.
- Head to head, Fenerbahce won 78-70 in Aliaga on 25 January 2026 and 105-83 in Istanbul on 6 October 2025; the last ten meetings are mostly Fener wins but with variable margins.
- Shooting profile: Fenerbahce hit 58.8% on two-pointers across 15 tracked games versus Petkim's 50.7%, while Petkim shoot free throws better (77.9% vs 74.6%).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 18, 03:55

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

57%

Chance of 170+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.88 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 57%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W70–78

Petkim Sporv

Fenerbahce

Jan 25, 2026·BAS

W105–83

Fenerbahcev

Petkim Spor

Oct 6, 2025·BAS

W75–88

Petkim Sporv

Fenerbahce

Mar 9, 2025·SUP

L66–75

Fenerbahcev

Petkim Spor

Nov 3, 2024·SUP

W71–100

Petkim Sporv

Fenerbahce

May 18, 2024·SUP

W102–72

Fenerbahcev

Petkim Spor

May 16, 2024·SUP

W59–81

Petkim Sporv

Fenerbahce

Mar 25, 2024·SUP

W68–81

Petkim Sporv

Fenerbahce

Feb 14, 2024·TUR

W96–85

Fenerbahcev

Petkim Spor

Nov 26, 2023·SUP

W101–96

Fenerbahcev

Petkim Spor

May 18, 2023·SUP

165.2Avg total points

16.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Basketbol Süper Ligi · Super Lig - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Fenerbahce

2–167%

Petkim Spor

1–233%

Recent Form

Fenerbahce

12W 3L · last 15

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet74–65 Oct 15EUR

vs Zalgiris Kaunas99–80 Oct 13EUR

at Cayirova100–85 Oct 10BAS

at Panathinaikos74–92 Oct 8EUR

vs Korfez Basket85–84 Oct 4BAS

vs Dubai76–66 Oct 2EUR

vs Bayern100–76 Sep 29EUR

at Bahcesehir Kol.83–98 Sep 27BAS

vs Virtus Bologna78–68 Sep 25EUR

vs Besiktas72–59 Sep 22SUP

at Besiktas77–75 Jun 19BAS

at Besiktas82–71 Jun 17BAS

vs Besiktas93–68 Jun 15BAS

vs Besiktas80–88 Jun 13BAS

at Anadolu Efes102–93 OTJun 7BAS

Petkim Spor

4W 11L · last 15

vs Korfez Basket90–91 Oct 10BAS

at Esenler Erokspor87–96 Oct 3BAS

vs Denizli Basket85–81 Sep 26BAS

at Tofas71–73 May 10BAS

at Besiktas69–81 May 5BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.76–95 May 1BAS

vs Manisa100–87 Apr 19BAS

at Trabzonspor90–84 Apr 12BAS

vs Anadolu Efes60–85 Apr 5BAS

at Merkezefendi80–92 Mar 28BAS

vs Bursaspor91–82 Mar 23BAS

at Bilbao60–85 Mar 18FIB

at Esenler Erokspor57–74 Mar 14BAS

vs Bilbao69–77 Mar 11FIB

vs Buyukcekmece95–104 Mar 7BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Fenerbahce

Stats

3–2

Petkim Spor

Fenerbahce leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+8.1pp

58.8%

+8.1pp

50.7%

3-point %+1.4pp

32.8%

+1.4pp

34.2%

Free-throw %11/15 games+3.3pp

74.6%

+3.3pp

77.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.7pp apart

31.5%

1.7pp apart

33.2%

Free throws per shot11/15 games11.5pp apart

40.9%

11.5pp apart

29.4%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+6.3

35.5

+6.3

29.2

Turnovers per game2.9 fewer

11.2

2.9 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.