SuperettanFinished

Predictions graded

Trelleborg84Alvik97

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–955%

Points by period: Trelleborg and Alvik.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Trelleborg	20	27	18	19
Alvik	19	30	16	32

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Trelleborg's home form against an Alvik side yet to play a league game away this season makes this one of the tighter calls in the Superettan: the expected score after 40 minutes is 85.9-84.4 to the hosts.

Trelleborg should edge it, with Alvik's 43.3 rebounds a game keeping it close. Prices are listed across the game and the quarters, but none stands out as worth backing.

Context

Both teams last played on 10 October 2026, giving each seven days between games. No availability change is confirmed, though Alvik's D. Jones did not appear in that latest game and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 September 2026.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTrelleborg +4.5Estimated chance75.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg cover +4.5 (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · HandicaplostTrelleborg +4.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTrelleborg +2.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonTrelleborg +2.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonTrelleborg +1.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTrelleborgEstimated chance54.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 52 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostTrelleborgEstimated chance52.4%

Points7 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Alvik score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAlvik over 16.5Estimated chance81.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTrelleborg over 17.5Estimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance77.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTrelleborg over 18.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTrelleborg over 82.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Alvik score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostAlvik under 44.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Alvik score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAlvik under 22.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Alvik score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trelleborg and 15 for Alvik, across seasons and competitions.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostAlvik over 19.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Alvik score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAlvik under 87.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTrelleborg over 41.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. Trelleborg score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostTrelleborg over 20.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trelleborg 85.9, Alvik 84.4. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Trelleborg's three Superettan games this season (to 10 Oct 2026) average 85.3 scored and 79.3 allowed, including a 93-67 home win over Sollentuna.
- Alvik's four 2026-27 Superettan games were all at home and average 97.0 points, but the 127-59 win over Ockelbo on 19 Sep 2026 lifts that; the other three averaged 87.0 scored and 85.7 allowed.
- Alvik's 15-game box-score sample shows 43.3 rebounds per game against Trelleborg's 35.6, a clear second-chance advantage for the visitors.
- Over 15 games each, Trelleborg shoots 33.4% from three and 65.9% from the line; Alvik shoots 31.1% from three and 68.0% from the line.
- The two January 2026 meetings were both won by the home side: Trelleborg 99-61 on 31 Jan 2026 and Alvik 91-81 on 25 Jan 2026.
- Alvik guard D. Jones (10.0 points in 20.4 minutes) did not appear in the latest box score of 10 Oct 2026, and Trelleborg's A. Boijertz has not played since 27 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

54%

Chance of 170+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 54%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 54%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 46%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W99–61

Trelleborgv Alvik

Alvik

Jan 31, 2026·SUP

L91–81

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Jan 25, 2026·SUP

W74–83

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Sep 26, 2020·SUP

L20–0

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Feb 22, 2020·SUP

L104–66

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Sep 28, 2019·SUP

L80–75

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Feb 10, 2019·SUP

L62–86

Trelleborgv Alvik

Alvik

Jan 13, 2019·SUP

L68–64

Alvikv

Trelleborg

Nov 3, 2018·SUP

139.3Avg total points

18.5Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Superettan · Superettan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Trelleborg

2–167%

Alvik

2–250%

Recent Form

Trelleborg

8W 7L · last 15

vs Sollentuna93–67 Oct 10SUP

at Huddinge86–84 Sep 27SUP

vs Wetterbygden Stars77–87 Sep 19SUP

vs AIK Basket106–91 Apr 11SUP

at AIK Basket71–92 Mar 29SUP

at Huddinge82–91 Mar 28SUP

vs Fryshuset Basket109–102 Mar 14SUP

at Wetterbygden Stars107–80 Mar 6SUP

vs Aros Basket69–74 OTFeb 28SUP

at Aros Basket68–84 Feb 15SUP

at Eskilstuna76–90 Feb 14SUP

vs Eskilstuna102–101 Feb 7SUP

vs Alvik99–61 Jan 31SUP

at Alvik81–91 Jan 25SUP

at Blackeberg109–104 Jan 24SUP

Alvik

8W 7L · last 15

vs Fryshuset Basket77–93 Oct 10SUP

vs Eskilstuna90–63 Oct 4SUP

vs AIK Basket94–101 Sep 27SUP

vs Ockelbo127–59 Sep 19SUP

vs Eskilstuna82–96 May 6SUP

at Eskilstuna83–87 Apr 30SUP

vs Wetterbygden Stars81–60 Apr 26SUP

at Wetterbygden Stars69–71 Apr 24SUP

at IK Eos63–74 Apr 12SUP

at Malbas86–78 Apr 11SUP

vs Wetterbygden Stars98–62 Mar 28SUP

vs Aros Basket96–75 Mar 18SUP

at Djurgarden84–80 Mar 15SUP

vs Eskilstuna99–88 Mar 4SUP

vs Huddinge90–92 Feb 18SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Trelleborg

Stats

3–2

Alvik

Trelleborg leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.4pp

53.1%

+0.4pp

52.7%

3-point %+2.3pp

33.4%

+2.3pp

31.1%

Free-throw %+2.1pp

65.9%

+2.1pp

68.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.1pp apart

33.3%

2.1pp apart

31.2%

Free throws per shot0.6pp apart

34.2%

0.6pp apart

34.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+7.7

35.6

+7.7

43.3

Turnovers per game2.8 fewer

12.5

2.8 fewer

15.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.