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Predictions graded

Tokyo Sunrockers95Nagasaki63

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 08:05 Predictions graded

Predictions24–292%

Points by period: Tokyo Sunrockers and Nagasaki.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tokyo Sunrockers	30	22	18	25
Nagasaki	20	15	17	11

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tokyo Sunrockers have the rest and the size at home, averaging 39.9 rebounds per game against Nagasaki's 31.1, while Nagasaki bring three straight wins but an injury-hit frontcourt and a midweek East Asia Super League trip.

One expected 40-minute score of 85.8-73.7 makes Tokyo the likely winner, with more than 154.5 combined points the other forecast. No prices are available for this fixture, so both forecasts stay unpriced.

Context

Nagasaki were without Akil Mitchell and Io Nagano for the 3 and 4 October games, added Pablo Aguilar as cover, and played a midweek East Asia Super League game on 14 October before travelling, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October and hold a clear rebounding edge.

Nagasaki registered Akil Mitchell on the injury list in early October and left him out of the squad for the 3 and 4 October games, with the club saying he did not travel. No return date was given. Mitchell is a frontcourt import, and his absence leaves Nagasaki lighter inside as they prepare for the trip to Tokyo. The club has moved to add cover, but whether Mitchell is fit for this fixture has not been confirmed.
- Nagasaki's official roster notice for 3 October listed Akil Mitchell as registered on the injury list.
- The club repeated the injury-list entry for its 4 October game and said he did not accompany the team.
Tokyo Sunrockers announced that Jean Lawrence Harper Jr. would miss the 11 October game after he was injured in the 9 October loss to Toyama. The club said he stayed with the squad, which suggests the problem is not expected to be long term. Harper is a first-team member, and his absence would trim the Sunrockers' rotation options. Whether he returns for this home game has not been confirmed.
- The club announced that Jean Lawrence Harper Jr. would miss the 11 October game because of an injury sustained in the Toyama game.
- The club added that he stayed with the team.
Nagasaki moved for Pablo Aguilar in early October after Akil Mitchell went on the injury list. Aguilar returns to the club after four seasons and said he wanted to help the team and enjoy basketball again with Nagasaki's supporters. He was still listed as not having joined the squad for the 3 and 4 October games, so his integration was not complete. The Spanish forward is intended to ease the frontcourt shortage; whether he is ready to play in Tokyo remains unclear.
- Nagasaki announced the acquisition of Pablo Aguilar in early October, four seasons after his previous spell.
- Aguilar said he wanted to help the team and enjoy basketball again with Nagasaki's fans.
- The club's 3 and 4 October roster notices listed Aguilar as not yet having joined the squad.
Nagasaki's roster notice for the 3 and 4 October games listed Io Nagano with an ankle sprain and said he did not travel with the team. The guard has featured in the backcourt rotation, and his absence adds to a squad already missing frontcourt players. His condition was still described as a concern the following week. No return date has been set, leaving his availability for this fixture unresolved.
- Nagasaki's roster notices for the 3 and 4 October games listed Io Nagano with an ankle sprain.
- The club said he did not accompany the team for those fixtures.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result11 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers win in about 83 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 82 of 100 games like this.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance81.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTokyo Sunrockers +2.5Estimated chance75.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonTokyo Sunrockers -2.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTokyo Sunrockers -1.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers cover -8.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · HandicapwonTokyo Sunrockers -8.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonTokyo SunrockersEstimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers cover -1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonTokyo Sunrockers -1.5Estimated chance57.8%

Points13 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers score more than 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTokyo Sunrockers over 16.5Estimated chance83.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Nagasaki score more than 31.5 points in the 1st half in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonNagasaki over 31.5Estimated chance76.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. The 1st half has more than 72.5 points in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 72.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Nagasaki score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 21.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 36.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTokyo Sunrockers over 19.5Estimated chance68.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Nagasaki score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 20.5Estimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. The game has more than 154.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 154.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTokyo Sunrockers over 19.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Nagasaki score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 19.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTokyo Sunrockers over 41.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Nagasaki score fewer than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNagasaki under 76.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tokyo Sunrockers 85.8, Nagasaki 73.7. Tokyo Sunrockers score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Tokyo Sunrockers and 15 for Nagasaki, across seasons and competitions.
- Tokyo Sunrockers average 87.6 points and allow 80.9 across their seven 2026-27 B League games, with 90+ in four of their last five (25 September–11 October).
- Tokyo have out-rebounded opponents 39.9 to 31.1 per game this season, a size edge Nagasaki carry into this trip after losing big men to injury.
- Nagasaki average 73.1 points across seven 2026-27 B League games, but only 70.5 in their two road games (4 and 5 October at Kyoto, one in overtime).
- Nagasaki's three wins from 8-12 October came while holding Kobe, Gunma and Shinshu to 69, 59 and 71 points, a sharp improvement on the 89 and 85 they conceded to Shimane in late September.
- Nagasaki played an East Asia Super League game on 14 October (83-98 loss to Busan), their third game inside a week, while Tokyo have not played since 11 October.
- Tokyo shoot 66.5% from the free-throw line and 30.3% from three this season; Nagasaki shoot 74.3% from the line and 31.2% from three.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTokyo Sunrockers over 84.5Estimated chance56.8%

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Nagasaki

0–0—

Recent Form

Tokyo Sunrockers

4W 3L · last 7

vs Sendai68–70 Oct 11B L

vs Toyama90–96 OTOct 9B L

at Shiga92–85 Oct 7B L

vs Akita86–76 Oct 4B L

vs Akita90–63 Oct 3B L

vs Chiba95–79 Sep 26B L

vs Chiba92–97 Sep 25B L

Nagasaki

9W 6L · last 15

vs Kobe85–69 Oct 12B L

vs Gunma70–59 Oct 10B L

vs Shinshu74–71 Oct 8B L

at Kyoto65–90 Oct 4B L

at Kyoto76–84 OTOct 3B L

vs Shimane78–85 Sep 25B L

vs Shimane64–89 Sep 23B L

vs Ryukyu72–64 May 26B L

vs Ryukyu66–60 May 24B L

vs Ryukyu69–71 May 23B L

vs Chiba102–93 May 16B L

vs Chiba82–74 May 15B L

vs Alvark96–56 May 8B L

vs Alvark93–78 May 7B L

vs Kyoto63–84 May 3B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tokyo Sunrockers

7 games

Stats

2–3

Nagasaki

Nagasaki leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+1.6pp

52.1%

+1.6pp

53.7%

3-point %+0.9pp

30.3%

+0.9pp

31.2%

Free-throw %+7.8pp

66.5%

+7.8pp

74.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.7pp apart

32.3%

3.7pp apart

36.0%

Free throws per shot2.3pp apart

32.7%

2.3pp apart

30.4%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+8.8

39.9

+8.8

31.1

Turnovers per game2.2 fewer

10.7

2.2 fewer

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.