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Predictions graded

Telsiai94Vilkaviskis70

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–1055%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Telsiai and Vilkaviskis.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Telsiai	21	15	35	23
Vilkaviskis	21	21	12	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Telsiai's 5-0 NKL start and 70.4 points conceded per game meet a Vilkaviskis side scoring 88.3 points per game but conceding 86.3.

Telsiai should win, with the 40-minute picture around 86.8-77.8. The first-half handicap is the one price that comes out ahead: Telsiai to be more than 2.5 points ahead at half-time at 1.8.

Context

Both teams last played on 15 October 2026 and have about two days' rest, so freshness is level. Telsiai's five double-digit wins in 2026-27 are the main current-form signal; Vilkaviskis's 2-1 record in last season's meetings is the counterweight.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Telsiai -2.5

1.80fair 1.66

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60.2%

+4.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Telsiai's current five-game run combines the best scoring output of their recent form with clearly the best defense in this matchup, while Vilkaviskis score well but give up points freely and shoot poorly from outside. With both teams on equal rest, Telsiai's edge at home should hold at roughly a nine-point margin, though Vilkaviskis' inside scoring and recent head-to-head win keep their total respectable.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai win in about 76 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTelsiaiEstimated chance76.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTelsiaiEstimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostTelsiai +1.5Estimated chance72.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostTelsiaiEstimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostTelsiaiEstimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostTelsiai -2.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostTelsiaiEstimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai cover -6.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · HandicapwonTelsiai -6.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Vilkaviskis cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostVilkaviskis +3.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonTelsiaiEstimated chance57.8%

Points8 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostTelsiai over 17.5Estimated chance81.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Vilkaviskis score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVilkaviskis under 44.5Estimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTelsiai over 17.5Estimated chance77.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Vilkaviskis score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonVilkaviskis under 22.5Estimated chance73.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostTelsiai over 40.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTelsiai over 84.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Telsiai score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTelsiai over 20.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. Vilkaviskis score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Telsiai and 15 for Vilkaviskis, across seasons and competitions.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonVilkaviskis under 20.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. The 1st half has more than 80.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 80.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Telsiai 86.8, Vilkaviskis 77.8. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Telsiai are 5-0 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 84.4 and conceding 70.4 per game (422-352) through the 15 October 2026 win at Neptunas 2.
- All five Telsiai wins this season were by double digits (margins 11 to 20 points) between 1 and 15 October 2026.
- Vilkaviskis are 2-2 in NKL 2026-27, scoring 88.3 and conceding 86.3 per game, with 97 and 107 points allowed in their two losses (1 and 15 October 2026).
- Across 15 box scores, Vilkaviskis shoot 56.0% on two-pointers but only 30.3% on threes and turn the ball over 14.2 times per game, against Telsiai's 12.1.
- Head-to-head in 2025-26: Vilkaviskis won 77-72 in Telsiai on 7 March 2026 and 99-74 at home on 18 October 2025, while Telsiai won 86-83 at home on 20 December 2025.
- Both teams last played on 15 October 2026, so rest is effectively equal at about two days.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 162.5Estimated chance56.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

162.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

57%

Chance of 163+ points

Near break-even

Over 1.76 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 57%.

Move the line main 162.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L72–77

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Mar 7, 2026·NKL

W86–83

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Dec 20, 2025·NKL

L99–74

Vilkaviskisv Telsiai

Telsiai

Oct 18, 2025·NKL

W78–76

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Apr 17, 2025·NKL

W72–87

Vilkaviskisv Telsiai

Telsiai

Apr 14, 2025·NKL

W89–74

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Apr 11, 2025·NKL

L80–76

Vilkaviskisv Telsiai

Telsiai

Mar 1, 2025·NKL

W95–84

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Jan 18, 2025·NKL

L104–73

Vilkaviskisv Telsiai

Telsiai

Nov 2, 2024·NKL

W83–67

Telsiaiv

Vilkaviskis

Feb 15, 2024·NKL

162.9Avg total points

12.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NKL · NKL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Telsiai

5–0100%

Vilkaviskis

2–250%

Recent Form

Telsiai

8W 7L · last 15

at Neptunas 285–72 Oct 15NKL

at Kedainiai BC73–61 Oct 10NKL

vs Mazeikiai83–72 Oct 8NKL

vs Plunges Olimpas90–70 Oct 3NKL

at Rytas 291–77 Oct 1NKL

vs Neptunas 266–93 Mar 25NKL

at Neptunas 253–78 Mar 23NKL

vs Neptunas 267–61 Mar 20NKL

vs Suduva-Mantinga68–84 Mar 14NKL

at Rytas 265–88 Mar 12NKL

vs Vilkaviskis72–77 Mar 7NKL

at Mazeikiai86–74 Mar 5NKL

at Kedainiu SC77–75 Feb 28NKL

vs Zalgiris Kaunas 283–93 Feb 24NKL

at Vytis VDU93–109 Feb 19NKL

Vilkaviskis

6W 9L · last 15

vs Silute81–97 Oct 15NKL

at Kauno Atletas84–76 Oct 8NKL

vs Kretinga84–65 Oct 3NKL

at Zalgiris Kaunas 2104–107 Oct 1NKL

at Vytis VDU75–86 Apr 28NKL

vs Vytis VDU78–87 Apr 25NKL

at Vytis VDU91–101 Apr 23NKL

at Suduva-Mantinga65–77 Apr 17NKL

vs Suduva-Mantinga72–76 Apr 14NKL

at Suduva-Mantinga77–104 Apr 11NKL

vs Silute99–86 Apr 4NKL

at Silute100–95 Mar 31NKL

vs Silute88–82 Mar 27NKL

vs Zalgiris Kaunas 292–81 Mar 14NKL

at Vytis VDU82–89 Mar 12NKL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Telsiai

Stats

2–3

Vilkaviskis

Vilkaviskis leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.2pp

51.8%

+4.2pp

56.0%

3-point %+0.4pp

29.9%

+0.4pp

30.3%

Free-throw %+3.0pp

70.6%

+3.0pp

67.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.9pp apart

32.2%

7.9pp apart

24.3%

Free throws per shot1.5pp apart

30.5%

1.5pp apart

29.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.4

33.3

+1.4

34.7

Turnovers per game2.1 fewer

12.1

2.1 fewer

14.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.