ProligaFinished

Predictions graded

Santo Andre72Maia59

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions3–1319%

Points by period: Santo Andre and Maia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Santo Andre	10	21	18	23
Maia	20	11	16	12

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Santo Andre have split their first two league games and meet a Maia side that opened with 105 points and has won all four listed meetings.

Maia are the likelier winner, with the expected score around Maia 79, Santo Andre 75 after 40 minutes and a win in about 64 of 100 games like this including overtime. Prices are available on the game and period markets, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Maia have won all four listed meetings and average 84.3 points scored over their last 15 completed games, while Santo Andre concede 70.8 points per game over their last 15. Maia have played only one 2026-27 game and last played on 3 October, so their current level is harder to judge.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Santo Andre cover +7.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonSanto Andre +7.5Estimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostMaia +1.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMaiaEstimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Santo Andre cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSanto Andre +3.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostMaiaEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostMaiaEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostMaiaEstimated chance55.2%

Points1 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia score more than 33.5 points in the 1st half in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostMaia over 33.5Estimated chance81.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Santo Andre score more than 31.5 points in the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSanto Andre over 31.5Estimated chance79.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Santo Andre score more than 14.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSanto Andre over 14.5Estimated chance78.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostMaia over 17.5Estimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 34.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostMaia over 17.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance61.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Santo Andre score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Santo Andre and 15 for Maia, across seasons and competitions.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostSanto Andre under 19.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Santo Andre 74.7, Maia 79.3. Maia score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Santo Andre are 1-1 in Proliga 2026-27, averaging 71.0 points scored and 72.5 allowed over two games.
- Maia won their only Proliga game this season 105-96 at home to Ginasio Olhanense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Across the 15-game samples, Maia averaged 84.3 scored and 77.1 allowed; Santo Andre averaged 72.4 and 70.8 (one overtime game each).
- Maia have won all four listed meetings, by 5, 4, 5 and 7 points between Mar 2024 and Apr 2025.
- Maia shoot 34.5% from three with 40.9 rebounds and 16.3 turnovers per game; Santo Andre shoot 27.3% from three with 37.8 rebounds and 17.6 turnovers (15 games each).
- Santo Andre last played on 10 Oct 2026 (7 days' rest); Maia last played on 3 Oct 2026 (14 days' rest).
BetBugs · Team PointslostMaia over 78.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

153.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 154+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 153.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L73–78

Santo Andrev Maia

Maia

Apr 19, 2025·PRO

L64–60

Maiav

Santo Andre

Apr 16, 2025·PRO

L84–79

Maiav

Santo Andre

Mar 29, 2024·PRO

L82–89

Santo Andrev Maia

Maia

Mar 2, 2024·PROOT

152.3Avg total points

5.3Avg margin

4meetings

League table

Proliga · Proliga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Santo Andre

1–150%

Maia

1–0100%

Recent Form

Santo Andre

6W 9L · last 15

at Academica78–73 Oct 10PRO

vs Galomar64–72 Oct 3PRO

vs Galomar74–86 May 2PRO

at Sangalhos94–61 Apr 25PRO

at Sampaense80–87 Apr 19PRO

vs Lusitania70–85 Apr 3PRO

vs Benfica Lisboa B60–51 Mar 28PRO

vs CB Queluz72–73 OTMar 21PRO

at Academica63–68 Mar 14PRO

at Galomar66–71 Mar 7PRO

vs Sangalhos85–77 Feb 28PRO

vs Sampaense78–51 Feb 22PRO

at Lusitania73–76 Feb 12PRO

at Benfica Lisboa B65–69 Feb 6PRO

at CB Queluz64–62 Feb 1PRO

Maia

10W 5L · last 15

vs Ginasio Olhanense105–96 Oct 3PRO

at Ginasio Olhanense83–73 May 1PRO

vs CD Povoa75–73 Apr 25PRO

vs Portimonense73–63 Apr 18PRO

vs CAB Madeira108–100 OTApr 4PRO

at Ginasio109–81 Mar 29PRO

vs Ginasio87–80 Mar 28PRO

at Illiabum69–72 Mar 21PRO

vs Imortal B84–49 Mar 15PRO

vs Ginasio Olhanense93–69 Mar 7PRO

at CD Povoa76–85 Mar 1PRO

at Portimonense74–78 Feb 21PRO

at CAB Madeira81–75 Feb 14PRO

vs Illiabum75–79 Jan 31PRO

at Imortal B73–84 Jan 25PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Santo Andre

Stats

1–4

Maia

Maia leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+6.1pp

52.0%

+6.1pp

45.9%

3-point %+7.2pp

27.3%

+7.2pp

34.5%

Free-throw %+2.0pp

70.9%

+2.0pp

72.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.4pp apart

31.4%

1.4pp apart

30.0%

Free throws per shot5.4pp apart

31.2%

5.4pp apart

36.6%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+3.1

37.8

+3.1

40.9

Turnovers per game1.3 fewer

17.6

1.3 fewer

16.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.