NBLFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Pardubice79Decin82

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions10–1050%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Pardubice and Decin.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Pardubice	27	27	8	17
Decin	17	23	20	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Pardubice's home scoring meets a Decin side that has defended well and rebounded strongly, though Decin's road scoring has fluctuated.

Pardubice are the likelier winners, but the 1.1 prices on Pardubice are too short for the risk. Two prices make sense: Decin +12.5 at 1.78 and over 165.5 combined points at 1.78.

Context

Pardubice have three days between their 14 October league win and this game, while Decin have had seven days since 10 October; Decin's low conceded totals in recent league wins are the main on-court condition.

Pardubice's 45-point defeat in Prague came against the club they met in last season's final. Four days later they beat Olomoucko 88:61 at home, a 27-point win that steadied the league start. That Wednesday fixture also puts Pardubice into this game on a three-day turnaround. The scale of the swing is the open question: the same group lost by 45 and then won by 27 inside a week, and Decin's defence will show quickly which version is closer to the norm. The home response to Olomoucko suggests the Slavia afternoon was an outlier, but one game is thin evidence either way.
- Slavia Prague beat Pardubice 105:60 in round five of the Czech league on 10 October.
- Slavia and Pardubice met in the previous season's final.
- Pardubice beat Olomoucko 88:61 at home on 14 October.
Three of Decin's league wins have been built on low conceded totals: 51 at Olomoucko, 57 at home to USK Prague and 79 in a 30-point opening win at Plzen. Tomáš Grepl has leaned on a young lineup and singled that group out after the Olomoucko game. The one wobble is instructive: Decin led by more than ten at Opava, lost the third quarter and were beaten 83:76 after 22 turnovers. Pardubice scored 88 at home on 14 October, so this is the sharpest test of Decin's defensive numbers yet. Whether the young side holds its shape if the game tightens late is the main uncertainty.
- Decin won 76:51 at Olomoucko on 4 October, conceding 51 points.
- Tomáš Grepl praised the performance of a young lineup after the win.
- Decin beat USK Prague 74:57 at home on 23 September and won 109:79 at Plzen in their opener.
- Decin's league defeat came 83:76 at Opava on 26 September after 22 turnovers.
Timko arrived as Decin's American signing and quickly became their primary scorer: 23 points in the opening 109:79 win at Plzen, then 19 in the 74:57 home win over USK Prague, where Štěrba added 16. Decin's other wins have come from defence rather than volume, so Timko is the player most likely to decide a tight game. Pardubice conceded 105 points at Slavia Prague on 10 October, which makes the matchup around Timko the individual thread of this fixture. How Pardubice choose to defend him is the open question.
- Erik Timko scored 23 points as Decin won 109:79 at Plzen on 17 September.
- Timko led Decin's scoring with 19 points in the 74:57 home win over USK Prague on 23 September, with Štěrba adding 16.
Pardubice's European debut runs alongside the domestic season. They opened Group E at Reggiana on 6 October and lost 82:65, then were beaten 105:60 at Slavia Prague in the league four days later. The club is now promoting its first Basketball Champions League home game against Málaga at the enteria arena, with club boss Pavel Stara calling for a full house, and Nymburk will stage its own European home games in the same building. For this fixture the effect is indirect: the European calendar adds midweek games and travel around league fixtures, and rotation is the area most exposed to that added load.
- Pardubice were drawn in Group E with Unicaja, Pallacanestro Reggiana and BC Juventus Utena.
- Reggiana beat Pardubice 82:65 in the opening group game on 6 October.
- Pardubice want a full enteria arena for the home game against Málaga, which club boss Pavel Stara calls a historic Champions League first.
- Nymburk will play its European home games in Pardubice.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Decin +12.5

1.78fair 1.63

Market 56.2% · BetBugs 61.3%

+5.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin cover +12.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Pardubice have the more efficient offense and a clear recent head-to-head and home-court edge, while Decin's scoring has leaned on defense against weaker attacks and their road output has been modest outside the Plzen opener. Decin's rebounding and lower turnover rate should keep it competitive, but Pardubice's home scoring rate points to a lead of roughly eight to ten points.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 165.5

1.78fair 1.66

Market 56.2% · BetBugs 60.4%

+4.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. The game has more than 165.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Pardubice have the more efficient offense and a clear recent head-to-head and home-court edge, while Decin's scoring has leaned on defense against weaker attacks and their road output has been modest outside the Plzen opener. Decin's rebounding and lower turnover rate should keep it competitive, but Pardubice's home scoring rate points to a lead of roughly eight to ten points.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPardubice +3.5Estimated chance77.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice win in about 76 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPardubiceEstimated chance75.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostPardubiceEstimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPardubiceEstimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPardubiceEstimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPardubice -0.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.78
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin cover +12.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · HandicapwonDecin +12.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonPardubiceEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostDecin +3.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostPardubiceEstimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin cover +6.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostDecin +6.5Estimated chance56.7%

Points5 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance83.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonDecin over 15.5Estimated chance80.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPardubice over 19.5Estimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Pardubice score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPardubice over 20.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · Team PointswonDecin over 76.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pardubice and 15 for Decin, across seasons and competitions.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostDecin under 21.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.78
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. The game has more than 165.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 165.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pardubice 89.0, Decin 80.2. Decin score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pardubice are 6-1 in the NBL, scoring 89.0 and conceding 79.6 per game over 7 league games through 14 October 2026.
- Decin are 4-2, scoring 85.7 and conceding 74.5 per game over 6 NBL games, most recently a 99-93 overtime loss at Hradec Kralove on 10 October.
- Pardubice's three home league games this season produced 88, 110 and 85 points (vs Olomoucko, NH Ostrava, Brno).
- Over 15-game box-score samples Pardubice shoot 52.2% on two-pointers to Decin's 46.4%, while Decin rebound better (36.3 vs 31.9) and turn it over less (12.1 vs 15.9).
- Pardubice won all four meetings in 2025-26, scoring 90, 115, 92 and 125, including 115-74 and 125-77 at home.
- Rest: Pardubice 3 days since 14 October, Decin 7 days since 10 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonDecin over 38.5Estimated chance58%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

165.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 166+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 165.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W76–90

Decinv

Pardubice

Mar 14, 2026·NBL

W115–74

Pardubicev Decin

Decin

Jan 24, 2026·NBL

W87–92

Decinv

Pardubice

Dec 20, 2025·NBL

W125–77

Pardubicev Decin

Decin

Oct 18, 2025·NBL

L84–62

Decinv

Pardubice

Jan 5, 2025·NBL

L74–82

Pardubicev Decin

Decin

Oct 26, 2024·NBL

W83–57

Pardubicev Decin

Decin

Mar 9, 2024·NBL

W76–79

Decinv

Pardubice

Jan 27, 2024·NBL

L64–99

Pardubicev Decin

Decin

Nov 11, 2023·NBL

W111–112

Decinv

Pardubice

Sep 23, 2023·NBLOT

171.9Avg total points

20.3Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Pardubice

6–186%

Decin

4–267%

Recent Form

Pardubice

9W 6L · last 15

vs Olomoucko88–61 Oct 14NBL

at Slavia Prague ERA NBK60–105 Oct 10NBL

at Reggiana65–82 Oct 6CL

vs NH Ostrava110–98 Oct 3NBL

at Srsni Pisek92–82 Sep 30NBL

at Hradec Kralove88–78 Sep 26NBL

at Olomoucko100–54 Sep 23NBL

vs Brno85–79 Sep 19NBL

at Nymburk74–91 Jun 15NBL

vs Nymburk86–57 Jun 13NBL

at Nymburk71–92 Jun 11NBL

vs Nymburk101–100 Jun 8NBL

vs Nymburk79–78 Jun 7NBL

at Nymburk74–80 Jun 3NBL

at Nymburk73–81 Jun 2NBL

Decin

8W 7L · last 15

at Hradec Kralove93–99 OTOct 10NBL

at Olomoucko76–51 Oct 4NBL

vs Brno86–78 Sep 30NBL

at Opava76–83 Sep 26NBL

vs USK Prague74–57 Sep 23NBL

at Plzen109–79 Sep 17NBL

at Brno78–98 May 11NBL

vs Brno81–86 May 8NBL

at Brno65–75 May 5NBL

vs Brno84–75 May 2NBL

vs Brno82–66 May 1NBL

at Brno98–89 Apr 28NBL

at Brno94–107 Apr 27NBL

vs Usti n. Labem85–80 Apr 18NBL

vs Opava70–78 Apr 11NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Pardubice

Stats

3–2

Decin

Pardubice leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+5.8pp

52.2%

+5.8pp

46.4%

3-point %+3.9pp

33.3%

+3.9pp

29.4%

Free-throw %+0.3pp

73.4%

+0.3pp

73.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s10.1pp apart

38.1%

10.1pp apart

28.0%

Free throws per shot10.4pp apart

34.3%

10.4pp apart

44.7%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+4.4

31.9

+4.4

36.3

Turnovers per game3.8 fewer

15.9

3.8 fewer

12.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.