Energa Basket LigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Lublin76Gdynia73

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1433%

Edges0–20%

Points by period: Lublin and Gdynia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Lublin	21	27	16	12
Gdynia	19	15	20	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Gdynia bring a 2-0 start into the third round at winless Lublin, where the hosts need a first Energa Basket Liga win.

The likely outcome is a Gdynia win by around seven to nine points, with their rebounding and perimeter scoring doing the damage. The two prices with a case are Gdynia to win by five or more at 1.84 and Gdynia to score over 86.5 points at 1.70, while Lublin with a 4.5-point start at 1.74 does not make the same case.

Context

Gdynia are expected to be without Jarosław Zyskowski while Mate Vucić's condition remains open after playing weakened in the 11 October derby; those availability questions are the main current sporting uncertainty around the game.

The medical update published on 15 October put Zyskowski's return to full-load training up to four weeks away, so he will not be available for the Round 3 trip to Hala Globus. His rehabilitation has been partly based at the Osada49 centre, with the club describing a closely supervised process rather than an imminent return. The practical effect for this game is a shorter rotation for the coaching staff, who must cover his place internally. The uncertainty sits in the timeline itself: four weeks is an estimate, and only a faster recovery would change anything, and not before this fixture.
- Jarosław Zyskowski's rehabilitation is progressing to plan, with his progress assessed positively.
- He is expected to return to full-load training within the next four weeks.
- Part of his rehabilitation work has been carried out at the Osada49 centre.
- The programme remains under constant supervision by the club's staff.
Vucić was below full strength for the derby but still played and delivered a double-double as Gdynia beat Trefl Sopot on 11 October. That suggests the problem was manageable on the night, and the club has published no diagnosis or follow-up update since, so his condition for the trip to Lublin is genuinely open. Because the issue was described only as weakness, there is no basis for assuming a specific absence or a specific minutes limit. If it has cleared, the frontcourt is unchanged; if not, the staff would need to reshape the interior rotation.
- Mate Vucić took the court despite feeling weakened and recorded a double-double in the 11 October derby against Trefl Sopot.
- He finished with 13 points, 12 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals.
Gdynia's derby win on 11 October ran through its backcourt: Garbacz hit seven three-pointers on the way to 26 points and Stein added 25 with six rebounds and five assists. The club noted the 51-point combined total was its best from two perimeter players, each with at least 20, since 2018/19, and Garbacz took the supporters' MVP vote. For Lublin the scouting problem is a two-man perimeter attack arriving in form, and the hosts' perimeter defence will be the first point of pressure. The caveat is sample size, since this was a single game and Lublin will try to force the ball out of Garbacz's hands.
- Jakub Garbacz scored 26 points, including seven three-pointers, in the 11 October derby against Trefl Sopot.
- Alex Stein added 25 points, six rebounds and five assists in the same game.
- The 51-point combined output was the club's best from two perimeter players scoring at least 20 each since the 2018/19 season.
- Garbacz was chosen as the game's MVP in a supporters' vote.
Lublin began at home to Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski on 3 October and then lost at Dziki Warszawa on 11 October, leaving them without a win after two rounds. Coach Wojciech Kamiński faced a long post-game press conference after the second defeat, and the club's messaging before Saturday has been about breaking the run in front of its own crowd. Gdynia arrive off a derby win, so the early-season pressure sits with the hosts. The uncertainty is whether the shooting and execution improve at home, since no single cause for the slow start has been identified publicly.
- Lublin opened the campaign with a home fixture against Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski on Saturday 3 October.
- Lublin then played away at Dziki Warszawa on 11 October.
- Head coach Wojciech Kamiński took questions at the post-game press conference after the Dziki game.
- The build-up to the Gdynia fixture centred on ending the winless start at Hala Globus.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Gdynia -4.5

1.84fair 1.66

Market 54.3% · BetBugs 60.3%

+5.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Gdynia have started the season scoring freely while holding opponents near 76, and their rebounding advantage should give them extra possessions in Lublin. Lublin have been competitive at home but are giving up too many points and their shooting volume does not yet offset that, so Gdynia should win a fairly high-scoring game by a handful of points.

Team PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Gdynia over 86.5

1.70fair 1.55

Market 58.8% · BetBugs 64.7%

+5.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this. Gdynia have started the season scoring freely while holding opponents near 76, and their rebounding advantage should give them extra possessions in Lublin. Lublin have been competitive at home but are giving up too many points and their shooting volume does not yet offset that, so Gdynia should win a fairly high-scoring game by a handful of points.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Lublin cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonLublin +6.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia win in about 72 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGdyniaEstimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostGdyniaEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostGdyniaEstimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Lublin cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLublin +4.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.84
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · HandicaplostGdynia -4.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostGdyniaEstimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostGdyniaEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostGdynia -2.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonGdyniaEstimated chance55.9%

Points4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonGdynia over 18.5Estimated chance75.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 38.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance70.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · Team PointslostGdynia over 86.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score more than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostGdynia over 43.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. The game has more than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 169.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Lublin score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLublin over 19.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Lublin score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLublin over 19.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostGdynia over 21.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 84.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lublin 82.5, Gdynia 89.9. Gdynia score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lublin and 15 for Gdynia, across seasons and competitions.
- Lublin are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga, scoring 77 at Dziki Warszawa (11 Oct) and 79 at home to Ostrow Wielkopolski in overtime (3 Oct), conceding 97 and 84.
- Gdynia are 2-0 this season, beating Slask Wroclaw 95-70 at home (4 Oct) and Trefl Sopot 96-82 at home (11 Oct), scoring 95.5 and conceding 76.0 per game.
- Across the 15 tracked box scores each, Gdynia average 36.5 rebounds to Lublin's 29.1, while turnovers are close (13.3 vs 13.8).
- Shooting over those same 15 games: Lublin 59.1% on two-pointers and 78.6% from the line; Gdynia 55.4% and 73.1%, with three-point accuracy almost identical (31.1% vs 31.4%).
- In the most recent meeting, Gdynia won 101-80 in Lublin on 3 May 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, though Lublin won the earlier 2025-26 meeting 87-75 in Gdynia (3 Jan 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonGdynia under 23.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 170+ points

+2 pp above break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L80–101

Lublinv

Gdynia

May 3, 2026·ENE

W75–87

Gdyniav

Lublin

Jan 3, 2026·ENE

L102–92

Gdyniav

Lublin

Mar 6, 2025·ENE

W96–72

Lublinv

Gdynia

Oct 31, 2024·ENE

L90–82

Gdyniav

Lublin

Mar 13, 2024·ENE

W98–88

Lublinv

Gdynia

Nov 16, 2023·ENE

W72–71

Lublinv

Gdynia

Feb 4, 2023·ENE

L90–79

Gdyniav

Lublin

Oct 16, 2022·ENE

W90–76

Lublinv

Gdynia

Mar 17, 2022·ENE

L78–66

Gdyniav

Lublin

Nov 13, 2021·ENE

168.5Avg total points

12.3Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Lublin

0–20%

Gdynia

2–0100%

Recent Form

Lublin

4W 11L · last 15

at Dziki Warszawa77–97 Oct 11ENE

vs Ostrow Wielkopolski79–84 OTOct 3ENE

at Dabrowa Gornicza100–105 May 6ENE

vs Gdynia80–101 May 3ENE

vs GTK Gliwice86–82 Apr 26ENE

at Gornik Walbrzych86–81 Apr 18ENE

at Trefl Sopot97–103 OTApr 11ENE

at Dziki Warszawa72–103 Apr 4ENE

at Slask Wroclaw91–98 OTMar 29ENE

at Zielona Gora73–76 Mar 19ENE

vs Anwil Wloclawek97–91 Mar 14ENE

at Ostrow Wielkopolski78–93 Mar 8ENE

vs Czarni Slupsk101–96 Feb 15ENE

at Torun88–97 Feb 6ENE

vs Krosno87–95 Feb 1ENE

Gdynia

7W 8L · last 15

vs Trefl Sopot96–82 Oct 11ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw95–70 Oct 4ENE

at Dziki Warszawa78–92 Jun 12ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa89–84 Jun 9ENE

at Zielona Gora89–96 May 31ENE

vs Zielona Gora83–85 May 28ENE

vs Zielona Gora64–90 May 26ENE

at Slask Wroclaw71–54 May 23ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw86–84 OTMay 20ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw86–75 May 18ENE

at Slask Wroclaw82–92 May 15ENE

at Slask Wroclaw84–87 OTMay 13ENE

at Torun86–95 May 6ENE

at Lublin101–80 May 3ENE

at Legia84–91 Apr 26ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Lublin

Stats

2–3

Gdynia

Gdynia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+3.7pp

59.1%

+3.7pp

55.4%

3-point %+0.3pp

31.1%

+0.3pp

31.4%

Free-throw %+5.5pp

78.6%

+5.5pp

73.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.4pp apart

30.8%

1.4pp apart

29.4%

Free throws per shot2.7pp apart

37.7%

2.7pp apart

35.0%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+7.4

29.1

+7.4

36.5

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

13.8

0.5 fewer

13.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.