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Predictions graded

Lefkadas79Promitheas80

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Points by period: Lefkadas and Promitheas.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Lefkadas	25	20	18	16
Promitheas	17	23	27	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams are 0-2, but Lefkadas play at home for the first time in the league this season while Promitheas arrive three days after a FIBA Europe Cup loss under a new coach.

Promitheas are the likelier winner, though the forecast is low-confidence, with a 40-minute score of 78.8-84.2 pointing their way. No quoted price stands out at our numbers, and the 1.68 on Lefkadas to score over 80.5 points, overtime included, is not one to take.

Context

Promitheas played on 14 October and are adjusting to a new coach; Lefkadas have had a week and open at home. Those conditions add uncertainty to the matchup, but they do not establish a clear performance advantage.

Vovoras left two days after the 59-84 home loss to Panathinaikos, with Promitheas still chasing a first league win. The club confirmed the exit on 12 October and handed the bench to Michelakos, who had been working inside the staff. His opening night was the 83-87 FIBA Europe Cup defeat by Trier in Patras on 14 October, a game in which Promitheas wiped out an eight-point half-time deficit before losing late. Four days on, he takes a first league fixture at Lefkadas. A new coach usually reshapes rotation, minute allocation and late-game play-calling, and the players are still adjusting to a different voice. The club has not stated whether the arrangement is permanent, so the practical effect on how Promitheas play here remains open.
- Promitheas confirmed on 12 October that Giorgos Vovoras had left his position as head coach.
- Michalis Michelakos was placed in charge, initially on a temporary basis, and ran the bench for the first time on 14 October.
- That first game ended in an 83-87 FIBA Europe Cup home defeat to Gladiators Trier, after Promitheas had trailed 41-49 at half-time.
The two Patras defeats frame the coaching handover: Panathinaikos ran away before half-time on 10 October, and Trier edged a one-possession game on 14 October despite Promitheas erasing an eight-point interval deficit. The European loss is the only match under Michelakos so far, so the new staff is working from a very small sample. Lefkadas are a newly promoted side rather than a EuroLeague opponent, which changes the level of the test, and a first win of the league campaign would settle a difficult fortnight. How much of the second-half recovery against Trier transfers into this game is unknown, and no fresh rotation plan has been published.
- Panathinaikos won 84-59 in Patras on 10 October, leading 43-26 at half-time.
- Trier won 87-83 in Patras on 14 October.
- Promitheas had trailed 41-49 at the interval of the Trier game before drawing level in the second half.
Lefkadas stepped up a division and began with two road trips, so the visit of Promitheas is their first home outing of the campaign. The 86-73 reverse at PAOK on 10 October followed an opening-round loss and left them with a week between games, giving the staff time to prepare a home debut. Promitheas arrive with a new coach and without a league win themselves, which makes this an early opportunity for Lefkadas to bank a result in front of their own crowd. The step up in level is still being absorbed, and how the team handles a full home game against top-flight opposition is untested.
- PAOK beat Lefkadas 86-73 in Thessaloniki on 10 October and led by that score inside the final minute.
- It was Lefkadas' second defeat in two league games.
- Lefkadas' next fixture is their first home game of the league season.
Promitheas are combining the Basket League with a FIBA Europe Cup group campaign, and the Trier match on 14 October sat between league rounds. The Lefkada trip comes three days later, while Lefkadas have had a full week since their defeat at PAOK. Michelakos therefore has one match of evidence on which to judge how his rotation copes with the compressed week, and the European fixtures continue afterwards. The club has not said it will rest anyone, and a short gap on its own does not establish fatigue, so the size of any rotation effect is unclear. Lefkadas' longer preparation is the main concrete scheduling difference.
- Promitheas hosted Gladiators Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Lefkadas last played on 10 October, losing at PAOK.
- The fixture at Lefkadas is set for a 17:00 local tip-off on 17 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lefkadas and 15 for Promitheas, across seasons and competitions.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPromitheas +2.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lefkadas and 15 for Promitheas, across seasons and competitions.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPromitheas +2.5Estimated chance69.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPromitheasEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPromitheasEstimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostPromitheasEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPromitheasEstimated chance56.5%

Points3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. The game has fewer than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 167.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. The 1st half has fewer than 83.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 83.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPromitheas under 43.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPromitheas under 86.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lefkadas 78.8, Promitheas 84.2. Promitheas score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lefkadas lost their first two Basket League games, 75-91 at Kolossos Rhodes on 3 October and 73-86 at PAOK on 10 October, conceding 88.5 points per game.
- Promitheas are 0-2 in the Basket League, losing 88-94 at home to Peristeri on 3 October and 59-84 at home to Panathinaikos on 10 October, then 83-87 at home to Trier in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October.
- Across 15 box scores Promitheas shot 54.7% on two-pointers, 35.2% on three-pointers and 75.3% from the free-throw line; Lefkadas' two box scores show 51.4%, 32.5% and 68.6%.
- Promitheas average 27.0 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers over 15 games; Lefkadas average 28.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers over two games.
- Lefkadas have had seven days since their last game, while Promitheas played on 14 October, three days before this fixture.
- Promitheas changed head coach on 12 October, and the Trier game on 14 October was the new coach's first match in charge.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPromitheas under 21.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

41%

Chance of 168+ points

11 pp below break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 41%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L73–79

Lefkadasv

Promitheas

Jan 28, 2017·BAS

L78–70

Promitheasv

Lefkadas

Oct 15, 2016·BAS

W62–63

Promitheasv

Lefkadas

Apr 9, 2016·A2

W87–69

Lefkadasv

Promitheas

Nov 28, 2015·A2

145.3Avg total points

8.3Avg margin

4meetings

League table

Basket League · Basket League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Lefkadas

0–20%

Promitheas

0–20%

Recent Form

Lefkadas

11W 4L · last 15

at PAOK73–86 Oct 10BAS

at Kolossos Rhodes75–91 Oct 3BAS

at Dafni65–54 Apr 4A2

vs Psychikou87–78 Mar 28A2

vs Peiramatiko Machites55–63 Mar 21A2

at Koroivos73–68 Mar 18A2

vs Volos64–53 Mar 14A2

at Panerythraikos80–79 Mar 7A2

vs Lavrio88–80 Feb 28A2

at Papagou72–64 Feb 21A2

vs Egaleo77–71 Feb 15A2

at Proteas Voulas67–73 Feb 12A2

vs Vikos88–81 Feb 9A2

vs Chalkida76–71 Jan 24A2

at Sofadon67–61 Jan 17A2

Promitheas

5W 10L · last 15

vs Trier83–87 Oct 14FIB

vs Panathinaikos59–84 Oct 10BAS

at Trepca91–77 Oct 7FIB

vs Peristeri88–94 Oct 3BAS

vs Vechta73–103 Sep 19CL

vs Korfez Basket94–93 Sep 17CL

vs Vienna Basket92–82 Sep 15CL

vs Iraklis97–85 Apr 25BAS

at AS Karditsas79–95 Apr 18BAS

vs Panathinaikos63–96 Apr 4BAS

at PAOK70–100 Mar 28BAS

vs Kolossos Rhodes76–98 Mar 21BAS

at Mykonos99–89 Mar 14BAS

at AEK Athens85–102 Mar 7BAS

vs Peristeri77–84 Feb 14BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Lefkadas

2 games

Stats

2–3

Promitheas

Promitheas leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.3pp

51.4%

+3.3pp

54.7%

3-point %+2.7pp

32.5%

+2.7pp

35.2%

Free-throw %+6.7pp

68.6%

+6.7pp

75.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.1pp apart

28.1%

6.1pp apart

34.2%

Free throws per shot10.8pp apart

30.7%

10.8pp apart

41.5%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.0

28.0

+1.0

27.0

Turnovers per game1.1 fewer

13.0

1.1 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.