Latvia-Estonian LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Keila KK71Tartu Ulikool89

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions16–770%

Points by period: Keila KK and Tartu Ulikool.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Keila KK	19	21	9	22
Tartu Ulikool	19	23	26	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tartu Ulikool arrive from a Skopje win three days ago to face a Keila side conceding 88.7 points a game in the league.

An expected 88-81 Tartu scoreline makes them the likely winner in regulation and over the full game. No quoted price is worth backing here; the 16.5-point start for Keila is the most interesting number on the board, but not a price to take.

Context

The one genuine sporting condition is Tartu's three-day turnaround from a European road game, balanced against Keila's seven days of rest. No squad update or rest plan has been confirmed for either side, and Tartu's own recent scoring has swung sharply between continental games.

Tartu's two group games produced opposite endings: a home collapse in which they conceded 103 to Dziki Warszawa on 6 October, and a one-possession road win in Skopje on 14 October. The same group also contains AEK Larnaca, Iraklis and Wurzburg, so the level of opposition differs from the Latvia-Estonian League. The swing is why the Keila game is hard to read purely from Tartu's recent scoring: they have been beaten heavily and won narrowly within the same week of continental play, and nothing dated explains which version travels to Keila.
- Dziki Warszawa won 103-76 in Tartu in the opening round on 6 October, with Austin Luke scoring 20 points and adding five assists.
- Tartu Ulikool beat MZT Skopje 95-92 in Skopje on 14 October in the second round of the group.
- After round one Tartu sat bottom of the group at 0-1 with a minus-27 differential.
Tartu's calendar has European games bracketing league rounds: round one on 6 October, the Skopje road game on 14 October, and the Keila fixture on 17 October, with the remaining group rounds still ahead. That structure is where any minutes management would come from, and it is the main reason the visitors' rotation for a league game could differ from their strongest available five. No squad update, rest plan or rotation comment for the Keila game has been released, so the size of any change is unconfirmed.
- Tartu's second-round Europe Cup game at MZT Skopje was played on 14 October, three days before the league fixture in Keila.
- The group's opening round was played on 6 October and its second round on 14 October, placing continental games in midweek slots during the domestic season.
- Tartu's group also includes Dziki Warszawa, AEK Larnaca, Iraklis, Wurzburg and MZT Skopje.
Keila's league season has been lopsided: a 30-point defeat at VEF Riga on 29 September and a 24-point home loss to Valmiera Glass Via on 3 October, a game in which both Verners Kohs (24) and Aminu Mohammed (23) went past 20 for the visitors. Those are the clearest dated markers of how the home side has coped with the stronger attacking teams in the competition, and they come before a visit from a Tartu side that has been scoring in the nineties in Europe. Whether Keila's defence tightens at home is the open question.
- VEF Riga beat Keila KK 90-60 on 29 September, with Aleksandrovs scoring 14 points and taking nine rebounds.
- Valmiera Glass Via won 106-82 in Keila on 3 October, led by Verners Kohs with 24 points and Aminu Mohammed with 23 points and seven rebounds.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK cover +16.5 (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · HandicaplostKeila KK +16.5Estimated chance76.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool win in about 71 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTartu UlikoolEstimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTartu UlikoolEstimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostKeila KK +4.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonKeila KK +4.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK cover +7.5 in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonKeila KK +7.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTartu UlikoolEstimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonTartu UlikoolEstimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTartu Ulikool -0.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostTartu UlikoolEstimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonTartu UlikoolEstimated chance55.6%

Points8 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance83.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTartu Ulikool over 17.5Estimated chance82.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance76.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonKeila KK over 17.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool score fewer than 93.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTartu Ulikool under 93.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKeila KK over 76.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostKeila KK over 18.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTartu Ulikool under 46.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTartu Ulikool under 23.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonKeila KK over 38.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Tartu Ulikool score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keila KK and 15 for Tartu Ulikool, across seasons and competitions.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTartu Ulikool over 20.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keila KK 80.9, Tartu Ulikool 88.0. Keila KK score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Keila's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games (Sep 29-Oct 10) produced 72.3 points scored and 88.7 conceded per game.
- Tartu's four league games through Oct 9 averaged 84.0 points scored and 83.0 conceded, with a 2-2 record.
- Across 15 box scores each, Tartu average 37.5 rebounds and a 39.6% free-throw rate versus Keila's 31.8 rebounds and 29.6%.
- Tartu played at MZT Skopje on Oct 14 (95-92 win) and face a three-day turnaround; Keila last played on Oct 10.
- In the latest head-to-head on Jan 17 2026, Keila lost 93-96 at home to Tartu; Tartu also won 89-83 at home on Oct 5 2025.
- Keila lost 82-106 at home to Valmiera on Oct 3, while Tartu scored 85 at Ventspils on Oct 2 and 87 at Liepaja on Sep 30.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostKeila KK over 19.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 171+ points

8 pp below break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L93–96

Keila KKv

Tartu Ulikool

Jan 17, 2026·LAT

L89–83

Tartu Ulikoolv

Keila KK

Oct 5, 2025·LAT

L63–90

Keila KKv

Tartu Ulikool

Feb 26, 2025·LAT

L89–85

Tartu Ulikoolv

Keila KK

Dec 3, 2024·LAT

L77–73

Tartu Ulikoolv Keila

Keila

Dec 12, 2023·LAT

W80–73

Keilav

Tartu Ulikool

Nov 15, 2023·LAT

L95–74

Tartu Ulikoolv Keila

Keila

Apr 23, 2023·KOR

L61–83

Keilav

Tartu Ulikool

Apr 18, 2023·KOR

L65–60

Tartu Ulikoolv Keila

Keila

Apr 14, 2023·KOR

W80–75

Keilav

Tartu Ulikool

Mar 3, 2023·LAT

158.4Avg total points

10.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Keila KK

1–233%

Tartu Ulikool

2–250%

Recent Form

Keila KK

3W 12L · last 15

at Parnu75–70 Oct 10LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via82–106 Oct 3LAT

at VEF Riga60–90 Sep 29LAT

at Tal Tech81–110 Apr 17KOR

vs Tal Tech65–73 Apr 14KOR

at Tal Tech58–83 Apr 11KOR

vs Valmiera Glass Via74–96 Mar 14LAT

at Keila Coolbet83–93 Mar 11LAT

vs Latvijas Universitate119–115 OTMar 7LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo73–98 Mar 3LAT

at Viimsi73–95 Feb 22LAT

vs Ventspils80–84 Feb 7LAT

at BK Ogre99–112 OTFeb 4LAT

vs Rigas Zelli69–91 Jan 27LAT

at BK Liepaja86–82 Jan 21LAT

Tartu Ulikool

9W 6L · last 15

at MZT Skopje95–92 Oct 14FIB

vs Rigas Zelli74–94 Oct 9LAT

vs Dziki Warszawa76–103 Oct 6FIB

at Ventspils85–92 Oct 2LAT

at BK Liepaja87–83 Sep 30LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo90–63 Sep 24LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo85–65 May 29KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo109–116 OTMay 26KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo77–83 May 23KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo82–81 May 20KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo83–78 May 16KOR

vs Parnu76–72 May 9KOR

at Parnu70–63 May 7KOR

vs Parnu82–75 May 4KOR

at Parnu81–101 Apr 30KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Keila KK

Stats

0–4

Tartu Ulikool

Tartu Ulikool leads in 4 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+1.4pp

49.7%

+1.4pp

51.1%

3-point %+0.8pp

30.9%

+0.8pp

31.7%

Free-throw %+4.6pp

63.6%

+4.6pp

68.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.5pp apart

28.1%

3.5pp apart

31.6%

Free throws per shot10.0pp apart

29.6%

10.0pp apart

39.6%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game+5.7

31.8

+5.7

37.5

Turnovers per game—

12.9

—

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.