FMP Beograd66Siroki Brijeg78

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–1446%

Points by period: FMP Beograd and Siroki Brijeg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
FMP Beograd	22	18	10	16
Siroki Brijeg	25	17	17	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two unbeaten ABA League records meet in Belgrade, where FMP Beograd's 2-0 start and an expected score of 86.5-79.2 after 40 minutes make them the likely winner over a Siroki Brijeg side also 2-0 but beaten in the Bosnian league on 12 October.

Siroki's 54.7% two-point shooting keeps the game live. No prices are available for this fixture, so the forecasts are unpriced rather than recommended.

Context

Both sides have their regular rotations available, with no confirmed absences. FMP have five days since their 11 October game and Siroki roughly four after a 12 October league defeat, so the sharper edge is the home court rather than any condition.

Široki Brijeg hosted a Cedevita Olimpija side that also plays in the EuroCup and fell behind in a tight game at Pecara. They were a point down at half-time and six down after three quarters before closing the gap, with Tayler Persons hitting the decisive shot and Chavaughn Lewis scoring 11 points before the break. Beating that level of opposition at home gives Široki Brijeg confidence, but this is their first top-division ABA League season and the uncertainty is whether they can repeat that late-game execution on the road in Belgrade.
- Široki Brijeg beat Cedevita Olimpija at home in ABA League Round 3 on 10 October.
- They trailed 36-37 at half-time and 47-53 after three quarters before completing the comeback.
- Tayler Persons made the winning basket and Chavaughn Lewis had 11 points by half-time.
FMP Beograd began the 2026/27 ABA League season at home in Železnik against Crvena zvezda, the dominant club in Serbian basketball, and won a game few expected them to take. It ended a run of 44 straight defeats in the fixture. Brandon Rush, Jamiya Neal and Nikola Gašić led the scoring. That result set the tone for FMP's start, and the platform they carry into this Round 4 home game is a settled, confident rotation. The uncertainty is whether the intensity of a season opener can be reproduced in a less charged fixture against Široki Brijeg.
- FMP Beograd beat Crvena zvezda in their ABA League season opener in Železnik on 4 October.
- The victory ended a sequence of 44 consecutive defeats against Crvena zvezda.
- Brandon Rush, Jamiya Neal and Nikola Gašić led FMP's scoring in the win.
FMP Beograd recruited Jamiya Neal in the summer and gave him a leading role straight away. He responded with 27 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists on his ABA League debut against Crvena zvezda, then took the competition's Round 2 MVP award as the round's leading scorer. His shot creation gives FMP a primary option alongside Brandon Rush, who also featured among that round's best. The uncertainty for this fixture is how Široki Brijeg's perimeter defence copes with that pairing in Belgrade.
- Jamiya Neal recorded 27 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists with a 32 PIR on his ABA League debut on 4 October.
- He joined FMP Beograd as a summer signing before the season.
- He was named the NLB MVP of ABA League Round 2 and led the round for points.
FMP Beograd followed their opening win over Crvena zvezda with a road victory at Krka Novo mesto on 11 October. They led 45-38 at half-time and 64-48 after three quarters before closing the game out, reaching 2-0 in the ABA League. The win showed FMP can control a road game after an emotional home opener. They go into this Round 4 home fixture unbeaten, and the uncertainty is how they respond after the gap between ABA League rounds.
- FMP Beograd won at Krka Novo mesto in ABA League Round 3 on 11 October.
- The result took their ABA League record to 2-0 for the season.
- FMP led 45-38 at half-time and 64-48 after three quarters.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonFMP Beograd +4.5Estimated chance82.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd win in about 72 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFMP BeogradEstimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd cover +0.5 (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · HandicaplostFMP Beograd +0.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostFMP Beograd +2.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostFMP BeogradEstimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonSiroki Brijeg +4.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostFMP BeogradEstimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonFMP BeogradEstimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostFMP BeogradEstimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostFMP Beograd -2.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostFMP BeogradEstimated chance55.8%

Points9 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. The game has more than 149.5 points (overtime included) in about 85 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 149.5Estimated chance84.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · Team PointswonSiroki Brijeg under 87.5Estimated chance76.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostFMP Beograd over 18.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSiroki Brijeg under 22.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. The 1st half has more than 77.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 77.5Estimated chance69.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg score more than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonSiroki Brijeg over 17.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · Team PointslostFMP Beograd over 82.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonFMP Beograd over 19.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostFMP Beograd over 19.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSiroki Brijeg under 41.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. Siroki Brijeg score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSiroki Brijeg under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: FMP Beograd 86.5, Siroki Brijeg 79.2. FMP Beograd score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for FMP Beograd and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP Beograd are 2-0 in the 2026 ABA League, scoring 90 at home against Crvena Zvezda (Oct 4) and 79 at Krka (Oct 11), for 169 points in two games.
- Siroki Brijeg are also 2-0 in the ABA League, winning 87-81 at Borac Mozzart (Oct 2) and 70-69 at home against Cedevita Olimpija (Oct 10), but lost 96-106 at Slavija in the Bosnian league on Oct 12.
- Across 14 tracked box scores FMP shoot 51.6% on two-pointers and 78.7% from the free-throw line, while Siroki's 15 tracked games show 54.7% on two-pointers but only 70.2% at the line.
- FMP's Jamiya Neal (21.5 points) and Brandon Rush (21.0) have led a settled two-game rotation, while Siroki lean on Chavaughn Lewis (16.0) and Tayler Persons (14.3) over four tracked games.
- Siroki score freely but concede heavily, giving up 104, 106 and 107 points in three of their last six outings dating to May 2026.
- FMP have had five days' rest since Oct 11 versus roughly four for Siroki, who played a domestic league game on Oct 12.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonFMP Beograd under 44.5Estimated chance55.4%