B LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Chiba97Shimane78

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 04:05 Predictions graded

Predictions16–770%

Points by period: Chiba and Shimane.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Chiba	23	23	22	29
Shimane	16	30	15	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Chiba are still looking for a first home win and host Shimane with big man Matt Costello reported out for four to six weeks, while Shimane's James Michael McAdoo is listed as injured and his availability is unclear.

The expected score after 40 minutes is Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2, which makes Chiba ahead after 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 such games and the winner, overtime included, in about 61. No prices are available, so the forecasts are unpriced and there is nothing to weigh them against.

Context

Chiba are without Matt Costello, reported out for four to six weeks, and Shimane's James Michael McAdoo is listed as injured with his status unconfirmed. Chiba have lost both 2026-27 B League home games, 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark, and begin three home games in five days.

Costello was signed to anchor Chiba's frontcourt and knows head coach Kovač's system, so his absence removes size, screening and passing at centre. The club responded by adding L.G. Gill, who played for Tokyo Hachioji Bee Trains, and had already brought in Luke Maye, a proven scorer. With the reported four-to-six week timeline running from late September, Costello is expected to miss this game, leaving Chiba's frontcourt thinner than planned against Shimane's big men. A firm return date has not been confirmed.
- Matt Costello was placed on the injured list with a reported four-to-six week absence.
- Chiba Jets signed forward L.G. Gill on 7 October as cover for Costello's injury.
- L.G. Gill averaged 11.3 points and 5.4 rebounds for Tokyo Hachioji Bee Trains in the 2024-25 season.
- Chiba had earlier added forward Luke Maye, who averaged 17.2 points last season, as injury cover.
McAdoo was included in Shimane's promotion for the club's home-opening series on 3-4 October. He was reported on 15 October to be on the injured list, which would remove a frontcourt option for the visit to Chiba. Shimane have not confirmed the injury or his availability, so his participation remains uncertain.
- James Michael McAdoo is reportedly on Shimane's injured list.
- Shimane included McAdoo among the players promoted for the club's home opener on 3-4 October.
Chiba have not yet won at home in the 2026-27 B.LEAGUE PREMIER season and are still chasing a first home win. Shimane come in with a productive offense that has been the focus of the matchup, so this is a test of whether Chiba can defend their own floor and finally break their home duck.
- Chiba Jets have not won a home game in the 2026-27 B.LEAGUE PREMIER season.
Saturday's game opens a stretch of three Chiba home games in five days, with Tokyo Sunrockers and Kyoto following on 19 and 21 October. The schedule may affect how the coaching staff spread minutes across the week, and this Shimane fixture is the first game of that block.
- Chiba Jets have home games against Shimane on 17 October, Tokyo Sunrockers on 19 October and Kyoto on 21 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostChiba +4.5Estimated chance77.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonChiba +1.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChibaEstimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba cover +0.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · HandicapwonChiba +0.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonChibaEstimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonChiba +0.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostChibaEstimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostChiba -0.5Estimated chance55.9%

Points11 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Shimane score more than 74.5 points (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Team PointswonShimane over 74.5Estimated chance80.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Shimane score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostShimane over 16.5Estimated chance78.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 36.5Estimated chance77.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonChiba over 19.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonChiba under 46.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Shimane score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonShimane over 39.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 167.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonChiba over 20.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba score more than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Team PointswonChiba over 85.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Chiba score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostChiba under 22.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Shimane score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostShimane under 21.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. Shimane score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonShimane under 21.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chiba 86.7, Shimane 83.2. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chiba and 15 for Shimane, across seasons and competitions.
- Chiba's five non-overtime 2026-27 B League games produced 86-109 points for and 92-103 against (Oct 2026), a high-scoring, leaky profile.
- Shimane's six 2026-27 B League games average 81.8 scored and 81.7 conceded, including 69 in a road loss at Ryukyu (10 Oct 2026).
- Over 15 tracked games Chiba shoot 54.5% on two-pointers, 32.4% on threes and 77.2% from the line, with 33.2 rebounds and 11.1 turnovers.
- Over 15 tracked games Shimane shoot 53.2% on two-pointers, 34.1% on threes and 73.7% from the line, with 31.3 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers.
- Chiba won both home meetings with Shimane last season, 96-82 and 78-64 (Nov 2025), though those rosters have changed.
- Chiba are 0-2 at home in 2026-27, falling 71-96 and 131-138 in overtime to Alvark (Oct 2026), so their home form is inconsistent.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 86.5Estimated chance55.2%

W96–82

Chibav

Shimane

Nov 9, 2025·B L

W78–64

Chibav

Shimane

Nov 8, 2025·B L

L78–86

Chibav

Shimane

Dec 29, 2024·B L

L81–85

Chibav

Shimane

Dec 28, 2024·B LOT

L90–59

Shimanev

Chiba

Dec 1, 2023·B L

W83–87

Shimanev

Chiba

Nov 30, 2023·B L

L81–79

Shimanev

Chiba

Dec 11, 2022·B L

W87–96

Shimanev

Chiba

Dec 10, 2022·B L

W74–81

Shimanev

Chiba

Oct 3, 2021·B L

L100–94

Shimanev

Chiba

Oct 2, 2021·B L

166.1Avg total points

9.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Chiba

0–0—

Shimane

0–0—

Recent Form

Chiba

7W 8L · last 15

at Yokohama106–108 OTOct 12B L

at Levanga Hokkaido109–103 Oct 10B L

at Kobe86–94 Oct 8B L

vs Alvark71–96 Oct 4B L

vs Alvark131–138 OTOct 2B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers79–95 Sep 26B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers97–92 Sep 25B L

at Nagasaki93–102 May 16B L

at Nagasaki74–82 May 15B L

vs Gunma72–68 May 11B L

vs Gunma85–79 May 10B L

vs Gunma68–87 May 9B L

vs Altiri Chiba96–87 May 3B L

vs Altiri Chiba98–81 May 2B L

vs Hiroshima D.88–74 Apr 26B L

Shimane

8W 7L · last 15

at Ryukyu69–90 Oct 10B L

vs Levanga Hokkaido95–83 Oct 7B L

vs Diamond Dolphins80–90 Oct 4B L

vs Diamond Dolphins73–85 Oct 3B L

at Nagasaki85–78 Sep 25B L

at Nagasaki89–64 Sep 23B L

vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles68–90 May 3B L

vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles91–85 May 2B L

vs Ibaraki Robots81–69 Apr 26B L

vs Ibaraki Robots79–88 Apr 25B L

at Nagasaki74–106 Apr 22B L

at Hiroshima D.73–72 Apr 19B L

at Hiroshima D.104–102 OTApr 18B L

vs Kyoto76–75 Apr 15B L

at Alvark68–70 Apr 12B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Chiba

Stats

4–1

Shimane

Chiba leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+1.3pp

54.5%

+1.3pp

53.2%

3-point %+1.7pp

32.4%

+1.7pp

34.1%

Free-throw %+3.5pp

77.2%

+3.5pp

73.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.5pp apart

33.5%

3.5pp apart

37.0%

Free throws per shot6.2pp apart

30.3%

6.2pp apart

24.1%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.9

33.2

+1.9

31.3

Turnovers per game1.6 fewer

11.1

1.6 fewer

12.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.