LFB WomenFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

CAB Madeira W83Benfica W73

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 Predictions graded

Predictions14–961%

Points by period: CAB Madeira W and Benfica W.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
CAB Madeira W	21	16	18	28
Benfica W	17	11	20	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Benfica arrive in Madeira unbeaten in the league with the deeper scoring and rebounding record, but they played in Europe three days ago while the hosts have had a week to prepare.

Benfica are the likely winners, about nine points clear over 40 minutes. No price in the quoted markets stands out at our numbers.

Context

Benfica turn around three and a half days after a EuroCup game while Madeira have had more than six days since their last outing. Sarah Te-Biasu's availability is unconfirmed and A. Barreto did not appear in the latest box score, so Benfica's rotation is not fully settled.

Vasconcelos took the job after Eugénio Rodrigues, who built the club's first title-winning women's team, departed. The rebuild around him was extensive: seven departures and seven arrivals, with Schaquilla Nunn retained as the reigning league MVP and Maianca Umabano and Josephine Filipe added to a Portuguese core that already included Marta Martins, Inês Faustino and Joana Soeiro. Benfica had already beaten Sporting in the league and then won their EuroCup Women group opener. The rotation is still being settled after so much change. Against CAB Madeira the open question is how Vasconcelos splits his foreign players across two competitions, with Sarah Polleros just back from injury and Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved.
- Ricardo Vasconcelos replaced Eugénio Rodrigues as Benfica's women's head coach for 2026-27.
- Vasconcelos previously coached the Portuguese national team and spent several years in the Spanish second division.
- Benfica brought in seven players and let seven go over the summer, with Vasconcelos under contract to 2029.
Gonçalves left Benfica during the summer's seven-in, seven-out rebuild and rejoined the Madeira club that launched her career. Her Benfica spell produced three league titles, two Portuguese Cups, two Vítor Hugo Trophies, a SuperCup and a Federation Cup while she wore the captain's armband. She now faces a Benfica team with a new head coach and a heavily changed Portuguese core, led by Marta Martins, Inês Faustino and Joana Soeiro with newcomers Maianca Umabano and Josephine Filipe. The fixture hands Madeira a player with direct knowledge of the visitors' structures and gives Gonçalves her first competitive meeting with her former club since the move. Her exact role in the Madeira rotation has not been set out publicly.
- Marcy Gonçalves returned to CAB Madeira, where her career began.
- She captained Benfica for three seasons, winning three league titles, two Portuguese Cups, two Vítor Hugo Trophies, one SuperCup and one Federation Cup.
- Milica Ivanovic and Maria João Bettencourt have also represented both clubs.
Nunn is the fixed point of Benfica's rebuilt frontcourt. The club kept her after her MVP season and surrounded her with 1.88m Germany international Sarah Polleros and 1.88m Mexican centre Mariana Valenzuela, while turning over most of the backcourt and the bench. Her 26-point, 12-rebound night against Saarlouis came four days before the Madeira trip and made her the game's top performer, with two assists and a steal added. That interior threat gives Benfica a reliable scoring option on the road, especially while the guard rotation settles around Joana Soeiro, Inês Neto and Inês Faustino. Benfica have not said how they will manage her workload between the European group phase and the domestic league.
- Schaquilla Nunn scored 26 points and took 12 rebounds in Benfica's 69-65 EuroCup Women win over Saarlouis Royals on 13 October.
- She made 10 of her 13 two-point attempts and finished with an efficiency rating of 33.
- Nunn was named the league's MVP last season and stayed at Benfica for 2026-27.
- Benfica won a EuroCup game for the first time in two years.
Polleros arrived as part of Benfica's interior rebuild alongside Mexican centre Mariana Valenzuela and incumbent MVP Schaquilla Nunn, giving the club three frontcourt options around 1.88m. Her absence meant Benfica had only two of their four foreign players available during the opening league games, when the Portuguese guards carried a larger share of the work. Her return against Saarlouis restores that depth for a road game in Madeira, and it eases the load on Nunn inside. The club has not said how much she will be used so soon after the injury.
- Sarah Polleros was one of two Benfica foreign players listed as injured in early October.
- She returned for the 69-65 EuroCup Women win over Saarlouis Royals on 13 October.
- Polleros, a 1.88m Germany international, joined Benfica from the Spanish league this season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBenfica WEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostBenfica WEstimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonCAB Madeira W +6.5Estimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostBenfica WEstimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W cover +14.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · HandicapwonCAB Madeira W +14.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostBenfica WEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostBenfica W -0.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W cover +8.5 in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonCAB Madeira W +8.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostBenfica WEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonBenfica WEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonCAB Madeira W +3.5Estimated chance56.9%

Points9 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 32.5 points in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 32.5Estimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W score more than 63.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCAB Madeira W over 63.5Estimated chance72.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W score more than 14.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonCAB Madeira W over 14.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. The game has more than 141.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 141.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W score more than 31.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonCAB Madeira W over 31.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W score more than 15.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonCAB Madeira W over 15.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. The 1st half has more than 70.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 70.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBenfica W over 17.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. CAB Madeira W score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonCAB Madeira W over 15.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. Benfica W score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostBenfica W over 18.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. The 1st quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CAB Madeira W 69.7, Benfica W 79.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CAB Madeira W and 15 for Benfica W, across seasons and competitions.
- CAB Madeira are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, scoring 78 and 81 on the road against Uniao Sportiva (10 Oct 2026) and Barcelos (5 Oct 2026), conceding 71 in both.
- Benfica are 2-0 in LFB Women 2026-27, beating Sanjoanense 97-50 (10 Oct 2026) and Sporting 75-63 away (4 Oct 2026), and also beat Saarlouis 69-65 in EuroCup Women on 13 Oct 2026.
- Across their last 15 games Benfica average 74.5 points scored and 63.1 conceded, with 41.8 rebounds per game (15 box scores); Madeira average 69.9 scored and 71.1 conceded over 15 results, with 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 turnovers per game (14 box scores).
- Benfica shot 46.3% on two-pointers and 28.8% on three-pointers over 15 tracked games; Madeira shot 44.9% and 28.4% respectively over 14.
- The most recent head-to-head was Madeira 80-68 at home on 18 Jan 2026, but Benfica won 72-28 in the October 2025 meeting and have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Madeira had six days' rest since 10 Oct 2026; Benfica played on 13 Oct 2026 and travel, with Sarah Te-Biasu's fitness unresolved and A. Barreto absent from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance57.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 17, 02:24

Selected line

141.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

69%

Chance of 142+ points

+13 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 69%.

Move the line main 141.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 69%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 31%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W80–68

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Jan 18, 2026·LFB

L72–28

Benfica Wv

CAB Madeira W

Oct 26, 2025·LFB

L92–61

Benfica Wv

CAB Madeira W

Mar 1, 2025·LFB

L65–101

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Dec 1, 2024·LFB

L42–63

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Jan 14, 2024·TAC

L58–73

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Jan 7, 2024·LFB

L73–65

Benfica Wv

CAB Madeira W

Oct 15, 2023·LFB

L70–63

Benfica Wv

CAB Madeira W

Jan 29, 2023·LFB

L57–58

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Oct 23, 2022·LFB

L63–78

CAB Madeira Wv

Benfica W

Feb 5, 2022·LFB

133Avg total points

19Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LFB Women · LFB Women - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

CAB Madeira W

2–0100%

Benfica W

2–0100%

Recent Form

CAB Madeira W

8W 7L · last 15

at Uniao Sportiva W78–71 Oct 10LFB

at Barcelos W81–71 Oct 5LFB

at Gdessa Barreiro W50–81 Mar 22LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W74–85 Mar 7LFB

at Sanjoanense W84–73 Feb 28LFB

vs Gdessa Barreiro W56–55 Feb 24LFB

at Esgueira W74–86 Feb 21TAC

vs Sporting CP W71–70 Feb 18LFB

vs SC Coimbroes W72–67 Feb 14LFB

at Barcelos W63–68 Feb 8LFB

at Braga W71–49 Feb 1TAC

vs Galitos W60–61 Jan 31LFB

at Uniao Sportiva W65–87 Jan 24LFB

vs Benfica W80–68 Jan 18LFB

at Esgueira W70–75 Jan 3LFB

Benfica W

13W 2L · last 15

vs Saarlouis W69–65 Oct 13EUR

vs Sanjoanense W97–50 Oct 10LFB

at Sporting CP W75–63 Oct 4LFB

vs Gdessa Barreiro W73–31 Sep 27SUP

at Quinta Dos Lombos W77–67 May 14LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W59–73 May 10LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W73–69 OTMay 8LFB

at Quinta Dos Lombos W64–80 May 3LFB

at Quinta Dos Lombos W68–65 May 2LFB

vs Barcelos W74–70 Apr 25LFB

at Barcelos W70–59 Apr 19LFB

vs Esgueira W75–69 Apr 11LFB

at Esgueira W96–67 Apr 4LFB

vs Gdessa Barreiro W76–56 Mar 29TAC

vs Esgueira W72–62 Mar 28TAC

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

CAB Madeira W

14 games

Stats

1–4

Benfica W

Benfica W leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+1.4pp

44.9%

+1.4pp

46.3%

3-point %+0.4pp

28.4%

+0.4pp

28.8%

Free-throw %+0.9pp

80.7%

+0.9pp

79.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.1pp apart

26.3%

4.1pp apart

30.4%

Free throws per shot2.2pp apart

31.6%

2.2pp apart

33.8%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+7.7

34.1

+7.7

41.8

Turnovers per game0.3 fewer

16.1

0.3 fewer

15.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.