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Predictions graded

Akita102Shinshu95

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 05:05 Predictions graded

Predictions16–576%

Points by period: Akita and Shinshu.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Akita	27	23	27	25
Shinshu	23	22	28	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Akita's home game against Shinshu looks close, with the visitors leaning on rebounding and free-throw shooting against an Akita side that scores less but also gives up less.

Shinshu are the likelier winners, by about two points over 40 minutes. No prices are available for this fixture, so the forecasts are unpriced and there is no quoted number to take.

Context

Akita have a confirmed injury-list listing, forward Angelo Chol with left patellar tendinitis and no announced return date, while Shinshu are a reshaped side that has committed 110 turnovers in seven games, 40 of them in the first quarter. Those are real conditions, but the expected margin is only about two points, so they add uncertainty rather than a clear swing.

Angelo Chol is a listed power forward who was registered on the B.League injury list on 25 September 2026 because of left patellar tendinitis. Akita added Reid Travis the same day to strengthen the frontcourt alongside Yanni Wetzell and Baiqing Zhao. Whether Chol is fit for the CNA Arena Akita fixture is unclear, and no return date has been announced.
- Akita registered Angelo Chol on the B.League injury list on 25 September 2026.
- The league's contract-status list recorded the problem as left patellar tendinitis.
- Akita signed frontcourt player Reid Travis on the same day.
Shinshu returned to the top division after three seasons with Judd Flavell, who previously led the New Zealand men's national team, as head coach. The club added seven players and turned over roughly half the roster, and named Takatoshi Furukawa captain with Eliet Donley and Mike Daum as vice-captains. The new staff and reshaped squad are still building cohesion, so Shinshu's set-up at Akita carries some uncertainty, even after their first top-flight win.
- Shinshu appointed Judd Flavell, who previously coached the New Zealand men's national team, as head coach for 2026-27.
- The club added seven players and turned over about half its roster for its return to the top division after three seasons.
- Takatoshi Furukawa was named captain, with Eliet Donley and Mike Daum as vice-captains.
Takatoshi Furukawa and Akio Oguri both played for Akita before joining Shinshu, and the 17 October fixture brings them back to CNA Arena Akita. Furukawa, 38, is Shinshu's captain and one of the club's close-season additions, while Oguri is part of the travelling squad. Their roles in Shinshu's rotation and their history with the home club are part of the matchup for the visitors.
- Akita's 17 October 2026 home game is against a Shinshu side featuring former Akita players Takatoshi Furukawa and Akio Oguri.
- Furukawa, 38, is Shinshu's captain for 2026-27.
- Oguri is part of the Shinshu squad making the trip to Akita.
Shinshu have turned the ball over at a high rate at the start of games, with 40 of their 110 turnovers in the first seven games coming in the opening quarter, leading to 54 opponent points. Their rebounding has held up, but the slow starts have given opponents early momentum. Against an Akita side at home, the opening quarter could shape how the game unfolds.
- Shinshu recorded 110 turnovers over their first seven games of the season.
- Forty of those turnovers came in the first quarter, leading to 54 points for opponents.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita cover +8.5 in the 1st half in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonAkita +8.5Estimated chance77.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAkita +5.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAkita +4.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonAkita +2.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita cover +4.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · HandicapwonAkita +4.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu win in about 56 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostShinshuEstimated chance56.3%

Points11 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita score more than 32.5 points in the 1st half in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAkita over 32.5Estimated chance84.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. The 1st half has more than 71.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 71.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 33.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 33.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 34.5Estimated chance79.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonShinshu over 16.5Estimated chance78.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonShinshu over 35.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita score more than 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 16.5Estimated chance74.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 16.5Estimated chance74.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 17.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonShinshu over 18.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. The game has fewer than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 164.5Estimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonShinshu over 19.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Akita score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAkita under 81.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.3, Shinshu 81.3. Shinshu score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita's six 2026-27 B.League games (Oct 11 back to Sep 26) average 72.0 points scored and 81.3 conceded, including 81 in their only home game (Oct 8 vs Brave Thunders).
- Shinshu's seven 2026-27 B.League games average 82.7 scored and 85.9 conceded; their four road games average 78.5 scored, with 95 conceded at Shiga on Oct 12.
- Shinshu rebound better (37.3 per game, 522 over 14 box scores) than Akita (32.2 per game, 483 over 15), and shoot free throws much better (78.5% on 326 attempts vs Akita's 69.1% on 217).
- Akita shoot the three slightly better (31.5% vs 30.1%) and turn the ball over less (13.3 vs 15.3 per game over this season's boxes).
- The last two head-to-head meetings (B.League, Dec 2023) both finished Akita wins, 80-70 and 83-64, but those rosters and seasons are three years old and both clubs have changed heavily.
BetBugs · Team PointslostShinshu under 83.5Estimated chance56%

W70–80

Shinshuv

Akita

Dec 3, 2023·B L

W64–83

Shinshuv

Akita

Dec 2, 2023·B L

W73–80

Shinshuv

Akita

Nov 27, 2022·B L

W83–87

Shinshuv

Akita

Nov 26, 2022·B LOT

W75–79

Shinshuv

Akita

Nov 7, 2021·B L

L76–51

Shinshuv

Akita

Nov 6, 2021·B L

W76–80

Shinshuv

Akita

Oct 4, 2020·B L

W55–80

Shinshuv

Akita

Oct 3, 2020·B L

L84–95

Akitav

Shinshu

Mar 6, 2016·BJ

W91–65

Akitav

Shinshu

Mar 5, 2016·BJ

152.7Avg total points

13.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Akita

0–0—

Shinshu

0–0—

Recent Form

Akita

3W 12L · last 15

at Utsunomiya Brex82–71 Oct 11B L

vs Brave Thunders81–87 Oct 8B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers76–86 Oct 4B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers63–90 Oct 3B L

at Sendai75–73 Sep 27B L

at Sendai55–81 Sep 26B L

vs Saga70–87 May 3B L

vs Saga72–85 May 2B L

at Toyama77–94 Apr 26B L

at Toyama72–82 Apr 25B L

vs Hokkaido76–108 Apr 22B L

at Altiri Chiba74–75 Apr 19B L

at Altiri Chiba65–83 Apr 18B L

at Sendai46–79 Apr 15B L

vs Koshigaya Alphas87–85 OTApr 12B L

Shinshu

5W 10L · last 15

at Shiga76–95 Oct 12B L

vs NeoPhoenix81–83 Oct 10B L

at Nagasaki71–74 Oct 8B L

at Yokohama89–84 Oct 4B L

at Yokohama78–85 Oct 3B L

vs Toyama99–81 Sep 27B L

vs Toyama85–99 Sep 26B L

vs Yokohama Excellence84–100 May 17B2.

vs Yokohama Excellence88–90 May 16B2.

vs Fukushima73–96 May 11B2.

vs Fukushima82–74 May 10B2.

vs Fukushima83–90 May 9B2.

vs Fukui90–89 May 4B2.

vs Fukui82–88 May 3B2.

vs Fukui96–82 May 2B2.

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Akita

Stats

2–3

Shinshu

14 games

Shinshu leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.0pp

49.7%

+2.0pp

51.7%

3-point %+1.4pp

31.5%

+1.4pp

30.1%

Free-throw %+9.4pp

69.1%

+9.4pp

78.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.7pp apart

35.8%

0.7pp apart

35.1%

Free throws per shot12.3pp apart

22.9%

12.3pp apart

35.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.1

32.2

+5.1

37.3

Turnovers per game2.0 fewer

13.3

2.0 fewer

15.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.