EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Virtus Bologna86Baskonia78

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions12–475%

Points by period: Virtus Bologna and Baskonia.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Virtus Bologna	24	22	22	18
Baskonia	12	22	19	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Virtus Bologna bring a three-game EuroLeague winning run into a meeting with a Baskonia side that changed coach and lost Markus Howard this week.

Virtus are 3-2, Baskonia 1-4 and conceding 95.6 points a game, and the expected score after 40 minutes is 93-85 to the hosts. Quotes are available, but no price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Baskonia changed coach and lost Markus Howard on 14 October while sitting bottom of the EuroLeague at 1-4; Virtus are 3-2 on a three-game winning run and hold a narrow two-point shooting and rebounding edge across the last 15 completed games for each side.

Baskonia changed coach in mid-October, dismissing Paolo Galbiati and turning to Velimir Perasovic for a fourth spell. The move came with the team leading the Spanish ACB but rooted to the bottom of the EuroLeague, and it followed Markus Howard's exit. Perasovic inherits a squad adjusting to both a new voice and a reshaped backcourt, and he is expected to take charge for the first time in Bologna. The uncertainty is how much a new coach can alter rotations, defensive schemes and late-game plays within days of the appointment.
- Baskonia announced on 14 October that Paolo Galbiati had been dismissed as head coach.
- Baskonia named Velimir Perasovic as his replacement the same day.
- Perasovic is starting a fourth spell in charge of the club.
Howard was the 2024 EuroLeague scoring leader and Baskonia's most-used perimeter scorer across four seasons in Vitoria. His exit removes a proven shot-creator and leaves the backcourt to players such as Chris Duarte, A.J. Lawson and D.J. Stewart to absorb more creation. Zenit confirmed the deal runs through the 2027-28 season and reunites Howard with Dusko Ivanovic. The open question for the Bologna trip is whether Baskonia add a replacement guard or lean on the current group while a new coach settles in.
- Baskonia announced Markus Howard's exit on 14 October after four seasons with the club.
- Howard has signed for Zenit Saint Petersburg, where he reunites with coach Dusko Ivanovic.
- Zenit hold the contract through the 2027-28 season.
Virtus opened the EuroLeague season with two defeats, then won three in a row, capped by a 96-94 road win at Paris in which Derrick Alston scored 23 points and Wendell Moore added 14. The run has taken Virtus to 3-2 and given coach Alex Mumbrú's rotation momentum before hosting a Baskonia side that has just changed coach and lost Markus Howard. The uncertainty is whether Virtus can sustain the level against a team whose staff and backcourt are in transition, rather than the size of any single win.
- Virtus Bologna won 96-94 at Paris Basketball on 14 October, a third consecutive EuroLeague victory.
- Derrick Alston scored 23 points and Wendell Moore added 14 in the Paris win.
- Virtus lost their opening two EuroLeague games before the run.
Baskonia's domestic and European results have split sharply: they lead Spain's ACB while sitting bottom of the EuroLeague, with their only continental win an 86-76 home defeat of Olimpia Milano in which A.J. Lawson scored 16 points and D.J. Stewart added 12. The coaching change and Howard's departure followed that gap. The Bologna trip tests whether the new staff can translate the Spanish-league form to EuroLeague nights, and the specific uncertainty is how quickly the team adjusts to a different coach and a reshaped backcourt.
- Baskonia lead Spain's ACB yet sit bottom of the EuroLeague.
- Their only EuroLeague win this season came at home to Olimpia Milano, 86-76.
- A.J. Lawson scored 16 points and D.J. Stewart added 12 in that win over Milano.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna win in about 74 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVirtus BolognaEstimated chance74.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonVirtus BolognaEstimated chance72.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonVirtus BolognaEstimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · HandicapwonVirtus Bologna -3.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVirtus Bologna -1.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostVirtus BolognaEstimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Baskonia cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Virtus Bologna and 15 for Baskonia, across seasons and competitions.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBaskonia +3.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonVirtus BolognaEstimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonVirtus BolognaEstimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Virtus Bologna and 15 for Baskonia, across seasons and competitions.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostVirtus Bologna -1.5Estimated chance55.9%

Points4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Baskonia score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBaskonia under 89.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna score more than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 44.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna score more than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostVirtus Bologna over 90.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 21.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostVirtus Bologna over 22.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Bologna 93.0, Baskonia 84.8. Virtus Bologna score more than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus are 3-2 in the EuroLeague and have won three straight, including 96-94 at Paris on 14 October and 96-94 at home to Olympiacos on 1 October.
- Baskonia are 1-4 in the EuroLeague, conceding 478 points in five games (95.6 per game), with road losses of 111-88 at Valencia (29 September) and 106-89 at home to Olympiacos (24 September).
- Virtus score 87.8 per EuroLeague game this season and have hit 96, 98 and 96 in their last home outings across EuroLeague and Lega A (1 October, 4 October, 8 October).
- In five EuroLeague games Baskonia average 85.2 points, and their only continental win was an 86-76 home result against Olimpia Milano on 2 October.
- Virtus shoot 57.6% on two-pointers and 77.1% from the line across 15 tracked games, slightly better inside than Baskonia (56.7%) with a 34.6 to 32.5 rebounding edge per game.
- Head-to-head in EuroLeague last season split: Baskonia won 87-76 at home on 6 November 2025 and Virtus won 82-72 in Bologna on 10 April 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonVirtus Bologna over 22.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:56

Selected line

177.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

52%

Chance of 178+ points

Near break-even

Over 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 52%.

Move the line main 177.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L72–82

Virtus Bolognav

Baskonia

Apr 10, 2026·EUR

L87–76

Baskoniav

Virtus Bologna

Nov 6, 2025·EUR

W76–74

Virtus Bolognav

Baskonia

Jan 10, 2025·EUR

W81–82

Baskoniav

Virtus Bologna

Dec 12, 2024·EUR

L89–77

Baskoniav

Virtus Bologna

Apr 19, 2024·EUR

L91–95

Virtus Bolognav

Baskonia

Apr 12, 2024·EUR

W81–91

Baskoniav

Virtus Bologna

Dec 14, 2023·EUR

W88–83

Virtus Bolognav

Baskonia

Feb 24, 2023·EUR

L90–79

Baskoniav

Virtus Bologna

Dec 22, 2022·EUR

166Avg total points

7.3Avg margin

9meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Virtus Bologna

3–260%

Baskonia

1–420%

Recent Form

Virtus Bologna

9W 6L · last 15

at Paris96–94 Oct 14EUR

at Venezia93–86 Oct 11LEG

at Bayern94–87 Oct 8EUR

vs Maxima Roma98–89 Oct 4LEG

vs Olympiacos96–94 Oct 1EUR

at Olimpia Milano85–87 Sep 29EUR

at Varese90–69 Sep 27LEG

at Fenerbahce68–78 Sep 25EUR

at Olimpia Milano71–80 Sep 19LEG

at Venezia83–90 Jun 6LEG

at Venezia85–89 Jun 4LEG

vs Venezia98–79 Jun 1LEG

vs Venezia83–91 May 30LEG

vs Trento106–95 May 26LEG

at Trento90–81 May 24LEG

Baskonia

8W 7L · last 15

vs Dubai79–93 Oct 13EUR

vs Joventut Badalona93–73 Oct 11ACB

vs Besiktas84–92 Oct 9EUR

vs Basquet Girona118–78 Oct 4ACB

vs Olimpia Milano86–76 Oct 2EUR

at Valencia88–111 Sep 29EUR

at San Pablo Burgos98–97 Sep 27ACB

vs Olympiacos89–106 Sep 24EUR

at Joventut Badalona84–96 Sep 19SUP

vs Joventut Badalona88–96 Jun 7ACB

at Joventut Badalona63–82 Jun 5ACB

vs Joventut Badalona85–71 Jun 3ACB

vs Unicaja92–89 May 29ACB

at Real Madrid88–83 May 27ACB

vs Granada121–85 May 17ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Virtus Bologna

Stats

2–3

Baskonia

Baskonia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.9pp

57.6%

+0.9pp

56.7%

3-point %+1.7pp

32.6%

+1.7pp

34.3%

Free-throw %12/13 games+2.5pp

77.1%

+2.5pp

79.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.0pp apart

28.7%

4.0pp apart

32.7%

Free throws per shot12/13 games2.4pp apart

36.2%

2.4pp apart

33.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.1

34.6

+2.1

32.5

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

12.9

0.5 fewer

12.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.