Viimsi6969 – 76BK Ogre76

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre win in about 75 of 100 games like this, overtime included.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBK OgreEstimated chance74.9%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonViimsi +6.5Estimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 73 of 100 games like this.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBK OgreEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · HandicapwonBK Ogre -2.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonBK OgreEstimated chance66.9%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBK Ogre -1.5Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonBK OgreEstimated chance61.7%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonBK OgreEstimated chance58.5%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonBK Ogre -0.5Estimated chance58.5%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonBK OgreEstimated chance57.2%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBK Ogre -1.5Estimated chance56.4%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. The 1st half has fewer than 91.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonViimsi under 43.5Estimated chance72.4%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonViimsi under 22.5Estimated chance72.1%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonViimsi under 22.5Estimated chance70.8%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonViimsi over 17.5Estimated chance66.1%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. Viimsi score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · Team PointswonViimsi under 81.5Estimated chance59%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBK Ogre under 45.5Estimated chance58.5%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Viimsi 78.8, BK Ogre 87.3. BK Ogre score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Viimsi and 15 for BK Ogre, across seasons and competitions.

• Viimsi are 0-4 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.5 points scored and 86.8 conceded in four games through 11 October.
• BK Ogre average 88.0 points in three league games this season, including a 106-81 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 10 October.
• Across the tracked samples (14-15 games), Ogre out-rebound Viimsi 34.1 to 26.7 per game and commit fewer turnovers, 11.9 to 14.6.
• Ogre make 54.7% of two-pointers against Viimsi's 50.4%, but only 65.8% of free throws versus Viimsi's 75.2%.
• Ogre have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, although Viimsi won the most recent 78-77 on 21 January 2026.
• Karl Gustav Jurtsenko leads Viimsi at 20.3 points per game in this season's four tracked games.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBK Ogre under 22.5Estimated chance55.7%